Tuesday, September 30, 2014
FUBAR In Iraq
There's no better word to describe the chaos in Iraq and Syria than FUBAR. If you don't know what it is, Google it.
There are some breathtakingly simple minds beating the drums for Canada to engage in combat against the Islamic State, ISIS. The trouble is that simple minds, even among self-identified Liberals, get a lot of good people killed.
The Harper government is chomping at the bit to "get some" ISIS butt and there are enough bellicose Liberals ready to go along. What Harper and his backers have in common is a phenomenally naive grasp of what is going on and how Western intervention is liable to turn out.
Foreign Policy's Aaron David Miller of the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, has a dandy assessment of the mess we're likely to get ourselves into.
Looking at our Syria policy, it has begun to dawn on me that we really face a two-part conundrum that we will have difficulty unpacking. First, there's the obvious: Hitting the Islamic State (IS) strengthens Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. Second: If we choose to hit him, we'll buck up IS, al-Nusra Front, and the rest of the swell groups that are in the Syrian opposition, not to mention alienating our new friends, Iraq's prime minister, and of course, Iran, and a few of our old acquaintances like Putin.