Wednesday, May 10, 2017
Too Early for Counting Chickens
There's still a possibility that Christy Clark may emerge from yesterday's election with a razor-thin majority. As things stand now she's looking at a minority with the NDP rebounding to within one seat of the Liberals.
Those inclined to revere Canada's most corrupt provincial government have declared it a win for Clark and her right wing Liberals. Yet only Christy Clark lost ground yesterday. In 2013 she trounced the hapless Adrian Dix, the Libs taking 49 seats to the NDP's 34. She fared much worse last night, her Libs losing ground to both the NDP and the Greens. The majority the B.C. Libs enjoyed since 2001 may have slipped through Crusty's fingers.
It's wait and see time. With the election this close every seat matters and there'll be a number of recounts mainly in ridings the NDP won by narrow margins.
There was plenty of blood spilled in this election. The NDP, eager to siphon off or discourage Green support, were pretty brutal with the Greens and their leader. I doubt there's much love lost between Horgan and Weaver but that's on Horgan.
If we are lucky and do wind up with a minority or coalition government I hope Weaver can extract the maximum advantage from the Green's balance of power position.
I voted Green because I believe they're the party of the future. They own the issue of climate change and that is only going to grow in its presence over the next decade. The B.C. Libs are inveterate fossil fuelers. The NDP is the party of "axe the tax" and not to be trusted.
The Green Party membership is well to the left of both Andrew Weaver and Elizabeth May. The membership still backs BDS among other things. The rank and file see the left/right divide clearly enough. They're just not ideologically aligned that closely with the NDP and there's nothing wrong with that.
From the National Observer, an article dispelling the myth that Green votes helped the B.C. Liberals.
The Greens doubled their popular vote from eight per cent in 2013 to 16 per cent Tuesday, said Kathryn Harrison of UBC. Her riding-by-riding look at the shift indicates it hurt the Liberals more often than the NDP.
The Liberals took 40.9 per cent of the popular vote compared to the NDP's 39.9 per cent.
“There were three cases where the Greens seems to have directly or indirectly hurt the NDP,” said Harrison. Greens won two former NDP ridings and helped a Liberal to win in a third by siphoning off NDP votes, she said.
“But in eight other ridings, the increase in the Green vote share came disproportionately from the Liberals share and allowed the NDP to win when they arguably wouldn't have otherwise.
“The NDP would have done worse in this election if it were not for the Green vote,” said Harrison.