"The National Research Council, says in a study commissioned by the C.I.A. and other intelligence agencies that clusters of apparently unrelated events exacerbated by a warming climate will create more frequent but unpredictable crises in water supplies, food markets, energy supply chains and public health systems.
“[Hurricane Sandy] is the sort of thing we were talking about,” said Mr. Steinbruner,
a longtime authority on national security. “You can debate the specific
contribution of global warming to that storm. But we’re saying climate
extremes are going to be more frequent, and this was an example of what
they could mean. We’re also saying it could get a whole lot worse than
that.”
Mr. Steinbruner, the director of the Center for International and Security Studies
at the University of Maryland, said that humans are pouring carbon
dioxide and other climate-altering gases into the atmosphere at a rate
never before seen. “We know there will have to be major climatic
adjustments — there’s no uncertainty about that — but we just don’t know
the details,” he said. “We do know they will be big.”
...Climate-driven crises could lead to internal instability or
international conflict and might force the United States to provide
humanitarian assistance or, in some cases, military force to protect
vital energy, economic or other interests, the study said.
...states will fail, large populations subjected to famine, flood or
disease will migrate across international borders, and national and
international agencies will not have the resources to cope.
...Mr. Steinbruner said that as the need for more and better analysis is
growing, government resources devoted to them are shrinking. Republicans
in Congress objected to the C.I.A.’s creation of a climate change center and tried to deny money for it. The American weather satellite program
is losing capability because of years of underfinancing and
mismanagement, imperiling the ability to predict and monitor major
storms.
That certainly has a familiar tone. The radical Right, a.k.a. the Harper regime, shutting down resources devoted to monitoring and analysis of global warming.
And China will be there like a dog after a bone to pick up the slack.
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