When it comes to fossil energy, Canadian politicians have been - well - f#@kups. That's doubly true for those idiots in Alberta.
Way back when there was a Wild Rose premier who understood what Alberta had, how to realize the benefit of it and how to avoid the built-in perils. That gentleman was Peter Lougheed.
Lougheed knew that oil wealth was volatile. It was a boom and bust commodity that could, in cycles, overheat an economy and then collapse it. He advocated for slow, controlled development and for setting the riches aside to avoid overheating the economy.
After Lougheed left his successors followed their own path, let' er rip. And all the misery and woes that Lougheed had warned them about came to pass - again and again and again.
Across the Atlantic, the Viking crowd had heard Lougheed's words and took them to heart. Norway began to manage its North Sea oil reserves according to Lougheed's formula. They treated their oil bounty for what it was, a windfall that belonged to all Norse, today and into the future. And so little Norway came to own the world's largest sovereign wealth fund, today in excess of a trillion dollars.
Now, seeking to safeguard that mountain of cash, Norway's sovereign wealth fund is moving to divest many billions in oil and gas stocks. Norway, it seems, realizes this Carbon Bubble is going to burst and doesn't want to be around for the big pop.
Wow, first it was the Saudis who announced plans to sell off Aramco and now Norway wants out.
Norway, which relies on oil and gas for about a fifth of economic output, would be less vulnerable to declining crude prices without its fund investing in the industry, the central bank said Thursday. The divestment would mark the second major step in scrubbing the world's biggest wealth fund of climate risk, after it sold most of its coal stocks.
"Our perspective here is to spread the risks for the state's wealth," Egil Matsen, the deputy central bank governor overseeing the fund, said in an interview in Oslo. "We can do that better by not adding oil-price risk."
Imagine if we could write the next two paragraphs about Ottawa and Alberta:
The fund has doubled in value over the past five years and was just given the go-ahead to boost its stock holdings to 70 per cent of its portfolio from 60 per cent to help drive returns. The government, which also controls Statoil ASA and offshore oil and gas fields, was forced to withdrew cash from the fund for the first time last year to meet spending commitments after oil prices dropped.
If only but, of course, we can't. Alberta took the Mardi Gras route and now faces the very real risk of bitumen becoming a stranded asset leaving the provincial and federal governments holding the bag for the costs of cleaning up the environmental devastation known as Athabasca.
With Tesla's announcements today, we're probably entering the end game of oil as a fuel source in vehicles. For the time being, the best option for companies buying electric transport trucks is to switch the batteries in and out of trucks when needed. Tesla can work toward batteries that can be charged in minutes (rather than hours as the case is now) in the meantime.
ReplyDeleteAlso, the greatest battery would be something that can power a supertanker over oceans. That's the death knell of carbon fuel.
And with the latest advances in battery study, I can imagine that happening within years, as researchers recently isolated the process which begins the internal decay of batteries. We're on the cusp of a new technological revolution, which could rival or surpass the microcomputer revolution.
https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-11-17/tesla-keeps-scaring-the-other-automakers
https://www.electricvehiclesresearch.com/articles/3916/solar-hybrid-supertanker-saves-60-million-per-year-on-fuel
https://www.engadget.com/2017/10/26/researchers-look-deeply-batteries-explode/
There's apparently not much easily recoverable cobalt ore in the world, and the Democratic Republic of Congo has most of it. It's needed for EV motor magnets, so no surprise that China has bought up as much in futures contracts as possible, seeing it has big deposits of lithium carbonate itself for batteries. China wants to make Tesla's Gigafactory look like a garden shed, and expects to corner the world market in battery production and EV motor manufacture. The US will be highly likely to attempt to scupper China's plans.
ReplyDeleteThe dried up lithium carbonate salt beds of Argentina and Chile are about to be reduced to rubble by industrial mining. And the enraptured nitwits cheering on Saint Elon at the intro of the Sem-Eye and Rodster couldn't care less about more mad dashes to denude the world of scarce resources, leaving lunar landscapes and exploited natives behind. There's money to be made, folks! They are hypnotized by the sheer glamour of it, all praise St Elon the saviour.
The eco-conscious seem to be capable of ignoring anything important that might be ecologically unfriendly about EVs. Shades of the great post by Lorne today concerning Orwell's presience regarding self-identified groups and their unconcern for anyone else that doesn't think like them.
The real problem is too many humans and too many greedy oligarchs, all intent on having a life of ease as you, Mound have pointed out innumerable times. It is all unsustainable on this small planet. There is no one great single thing that will save us or the planet, mere side excursions before doom. Luckily for me, speaking selfishly, I'm old and my mortality was exposed to me when my younger brother suffered a bad stroke this week and he's the skinny one, now blind, the flying fickle finger of fate for an opthamologist.
As for Norway, good luck to 'em. With luck there may be time left to spend some of their windfall before everything goes pear-shaped for good.
BM