Friday, May 06, 2016

What? Thomas Ricks Said What???



The headline is a little on the abrupt side: "A stunning profile of Ben Rhodes, the asshole who is the president's foreign policy guru."

Byline: Thomas Ricks.

Now, if you're not familiar with Tom, he's a Pulitzer-prize winning defence correspondent formerly of the Wall Street Journal and the Washington Post. Not the sort of guy who usually pens words like "asshole." Not his style. So, what's the beef with this guy, Ben Rhodes?

Ricks' vitriol was inspired by an item in the New York Times magazine, "The aspiring novelist who became Obama's foreign policy guru." To Ricks, Mr. Rhodes is way out of his league.

Perhaps the key sentence is this: “His lack of conventional real-world experience of the kind that normally precedes responsibility for the fate of nations — like military or diplomatic service, or even a master’s degree in international relations, rather than creative writing — is still startling.”

Rhodes comes off like a real asshole. This is not a matter of politics — I have voted for Obama twice. Nor do I mind Rhodes’s contempt for many political reporters: “Most of the outlets are reporting on world events from Washington. The average reporter we talk to is 27 years old, and their only reporting experience consists of being around political campaigns. That’s a sea change. They literally know nothing.”

But, as that quote indicates, he comes off like an overweening little schmuck. This quotation seems to capture his worldview: “He referred to the American foreign policy establishment as the Blob. According to Rhodes, the Blob includes Hillary Clinton, Robert Gates, and other Iraq-war promoters from both parties who now whine incessantly about the collapse of the American security order in Europe and the Middle East.” Blowing off Robert Gates takes nerve.


I expect cynicism in Washington. But it usually is combined with a lot of knowledge — as with, say, Henry Kissinger. To be cynical and ignorant and to spin those two things into a virtue? That’s industrial-strength hubris. Kind of like what got us into Iraq, in fact.
Fact check: Obama’s hasn’t been an original foreign policy as much as it has been a politicized foreign policy. And this Rhodes guy reminds me of the Kennedy smart guys who helped get us into the Vietnam War. Does he know how awful he sounds? Kind of like McGeorge Bundy meets Lee Atwater.

Oh dear, at least the clock is running down and that narrows the risk that Obama can get us in deeper than we already are. I hope. And, hell, I thought I was a curmudgeon.

BTW - Foreign Policy's Friday Afternoon Follies are now up. Read'em if you dare. Bring your crying towel while you're at it.



War Crime, a Term That Has Lost All Meaning


There was a time we were all about "war crimes." We vilified war criminals. They were monsters and not just Nazis either. We wanted nothing more than to see them swinging from a rope.

We built up intricate bodies of law defining crimes of war, crimes against humanity, all these things we would simply not stand for, no sir. Torture, attacks on civilians, commencing hostilities without lawful justification - we worked up a whole codex of unacceptable actions.

First we had Nuremberg and we sent a lot of Nazis packing. Next up we ran a sequel for the Japanese. Then we set up this court in the Hague and we even prosecuted a few of these murderous martial fiends. Who can forget the image of Slobodan Milosevic in the prisoner's dock?

Only then our side, the good guys, got into this war crime business ourselves - big time. We were still okay with putting little nations' monsters to stand trial but we wouldn't be having any of that nonsense for our people.

You can go back as far as Henry Kissinger, ever further back except almost no one recalls their names. Bush, Cheney and their cohort should be languishing in some dismal cellblock right now. They aren't. That won't be happening either.

We still bang up some 90-year old geezer who kept the books at some Nazi concentration camp but these people, who are responsible for civilian deaths by the tens of thousands, no they get a pass.

Israel has an entire campaign strategy, Dahiyeh, that is a tailor-made war crime. It targets civilians. It deliberately targets their essential infrastructure - water, sewer and power plants. It's a blueprint. You start with their civilian infrastructure, take that out. Then you hit their hospitals and their schools. After that you shift your focus to their residential neighbourhoods. Sure that's a flagrant and calculated violation of any number of laws of war and human rights but, hey, it doesn't matter - not when you've got Washington and Ottawa on your side.

Israel isn't our only war crimes ally. What about Saudi Arabia? It loves getting those American cluster bombs and dropping them on Houthi villages in Yemen knowing that Ottawa and Washington will just smile and look the other way.

It seems somebody just bombed a refugee camp in Syria. The UN says it's a war crime. Does it matter? Hardly.

Laws of war and laws of human rights are funny things. Once they become honoured mainly in the breach they become irrelevant. Words like "war crime" that used to stir the soul to righteous indignation  are stripped of their currency, reduced to so much lip flap.

Yet they are important. Their decline points the way we're headed, the Brave New World that awaits.  In case you're wondering, it won't be kind.


What Must Go On Inside a Prime Minister's Mind

Jesus, do you think he's clued in? Do you think Justin has realized with an abrupt shock that, hard as we were on the other guy, we would hold him to a much higher standard?

Justin, for all his failings, isn't the other guy, Harper. He isn't a complete shit. Justin is affable. He's nice. He's damn hard not to like. He and Sophie can certainly bust a few moves. He can do some wicked yoga poses. The man's a veritable street artist. All that stuff is great. The world press eats it up and begs for more. Only that's not what we really expected when we handed him the keys to 24 Sussex (ramshackle as that was).

He has done some good things. Right off the bat he sent his ministers some pretty direct "mandate letters," their marching orders. He told them what he wanted done and now.

He told the hyper-ambitious, Mark Garneau, to raise the drawbridge and lower the portcullis on supertankers plying the north coast. The Northern Gateway pipeline would be no more. That should have been a piece of cake. All he had to do was reinstate the 2008 US/Canada tanker exclusion zone. This one:


Harper rescinded it. Garneau needs to reinstate it. When do we want it? Now! When are we gonna get it? Better ask if, not when.

After those interminable years under Harper's heel we had high expectations for what we thought was going to be a progressive leader. Trudeau wasn't long in bursting that bubble.

His dad, the prime minister who earned everyone's respect even if some of it was given grudgingly, enshrined the rights of the individual against the state while curbing the powers of the state against the individual in the masterful Charter of Rights and Freedoms. Justin has taken a different path - the Surveillance State. Not sure how you reconcile father and son.

Then there's the Saudi arms deal, the shrinking deal that went from $15-billion (back when we were dealing in petro-bucks) to about $12-billion today with the post-bitumen Loonie. The Canadian people don't like that deal. They don't much like Saudis or their brutal ways either. But to Justin, betraying his vaudevillian nature, "the show must go on." Of course Trudeau stayed in the safety of the trenches. When the whistle blew he sent Dion up over the top. Oooh, that was brutal.

Maybe the worst act of betrayal (correct me if I'm wrong) came when the government needlessly backed the Tory motion to condemn the BDS (boycott, divest, sanction) movement to help force Israel to end its generational oppression of the Palestinian people and the wholesale theft of the Palestinian homelands.

Even Gideon Levy of the Israeli progressive paper,  Haaretz, recognizes that BDS isn't the best weapon to curb Netanyahu's excesses, it's the only weapon. Shut that down and you give Bibi a free hand.

...even if we are not enthusiastic about it we have no choice but to recognize that boycott, divestment and sanctions is the only game in town, the last hope for the change that Benn also wants. This is the only means to stop Israel from persisting in its crimes. The only alternative is bloodshed, which no one wants.

In our name, the government of Canada led by Justin Trudeau assisted in the perpetuation of the oppression of the Palestinian people and, in all likelihood, the eventual loss of what little remains of their homeland. Not only is that not progressive, that goes completely beyond the bounds of anything remotely liberal. Oh well, he's in great company. Ask Roseanne. And, he's foursquare with The Donald.

He doesn't get everything wrong. There are some things he simply doesn't get at all. His dumbass remark about how "there have always been forest fires" is a case in point.  I don't know who explained that to him but whoever that was forgot to tell him that over the past few decades the extent of forest fires has doubled - DOUBLED - as in twice what it was just a few decades ago. And it's getting, in every all-caps sense of the word, WORSE with each passing decade. And he's just f#@king oblivious to this serious and worsening threat. 

Oh, I know. I should cut him some slack. He's a busy beaver working out hazmat pipeline routes to get hazmat dilbit to "tidewater." Because no matter what the Saudis think about the future of fossil energy, the world is craving Canadian bitumen, the highest-carbon/highest cost unconventional oil on the planet. We can safely bet Canada's future on that stuff.

I gotta wrap this up. One more. Okay, I've got it. How about that climate change plan, Justin, the one you said you would deliver within 90-days of taking office? Haven't seen any sign of that. No word on a new deadline either. I suppose there's a reason for that too.

Harper set laughably meagre targets for greenhouse gas emission reductions, really pathetic. Only you're not even going to meet those. You can't come out and say it because everybody would call you on it. This is only the most critical issue to Canada and future generations of Canadians but Cap'n Sunni Ways has bitumen to get to tidewater. Enough said.

I'll let the rest go for now. Only so much a guy can take at one sitting.







A Setback for the Predator State

Debtors Prison


It happened in Italy. Roman Ostriakov was given a six month jail term and a hundred Euro fine for stealing four Euros of food, cheese and sausages, from a Genoa supermarket. Why? He had no money and he had no food. He was famished (not in the sense we like to use that word).

Fortunately the sentence was appealed to the court of appeal where the panel quashed both verdict and sentence.

Judges overturned a theft conviction against Roman Ostriakov after he stole cheese and sausages worth €4.07 (£3; $4.50) from a supermarket.

Mr Ostriakov, a homeless man of Ukrainian background, had taken the food "in the face of the immediate and essential need for nourishment", the court of cassation decided.

Therefore it was not a crime, it said.

For the judges, the "right to survival prevails over property", said an op-ed in La Stampa newspaper (in Italian).

In times of economic hardship, the court of cassation's judgement "reminds everyone that in a civilised country not even the worst of men should starve".

An opinion piece in Corriere Della Sera says statistics suggest 615 people are added to the ranks of the poor in Italy every day - it was "unthinkable that the law should not take note of reality".

It criticised the fact that a case concerning the taking of goods worth under €5 went through three rounds in the courts before being thrown out.

The "historic" ruling is "right and pertinent", said Italiaglobale.it - and derives from a concept that "informed the Western world for centuries - it is called humanity".


Stealing small quantities of food to satisfy a vital need for food did not constitute a crime, the court wrote.

"The condition of the defendant and the circumstances in which the seizure of merchandise took place prove that he took possession of that small amount of food in the face of an immediate and essential need for nourishment, acting therefore in a state of necessity," wrote the court.


Don't hold your breath waiting for the Ostriakov decision to be followed in other jurisdictions. While the defence of necessity is anchored in the Common Law, plenty of the hungry went to the gallows for a loaf of bread. Ask Charles Dickens. Today, of course, inmates have become commercial commodities in the evolving prison/industrial complex.

Thursday, May 05, 2016

Is America's Supreme Court About to Legalize Outright Corruption?


The United States Supreme Court serves as a stark reminder of how Canadians should be grateful for the Supreme Court of Canada and how it serves our country.

America's top court, according to a new report in The New Yorker, appears to be on the brink of legalizing what almost any of us would see as outright corruption in government.

The US Supreme Court through decisions such as Citizens United has been instrumental in ushering in illiberal democracy in that country. The court has been dominated by radical rightwing ideologues. It is perhaps the most politicized top court in the developed world regularly dispensing what are blatantly partisan judgments that too often veer freely from what America once stood for.

Who's Spineless? Oh, I See, He's Talking About Our Government.



When Joe Arvay talks, intelligent people pause to listen. Arvay is one of British Columbia's finest legal minds, an incredibly skilled barrister.

Arvay was in Ottawa today to address the Commons justice committee on blatant flaws in the Trudeau government's death with dignity legislation also known to the troglodyte community as the assisted suicide bill.

Mr. Arvay, a paraplegic himself, wheeled into the committee room to tell justice minister Jody Wilson-Raybould and her posse that what the government is proposing to dish up is unconstitutional. He said it falls well short of the Supreme Court's ruling in Carter v. R.

Arvay said the government has no right to limit assisted death only to those with advanced terminal disease.

Parliament cannot now exclude a whole category of such persons — the physically disabled whose natural death is not reasonably foreseeable — from their charter right.

“To suggest the bill is constitutional because the minister thinks there’s some people who believe it should only go this far is, in my respectful submission, is not legal reasoning and has no merit.

“The Carter decision is the final word on the minimum rights that Canadian citizens are entitled to and those minimum rights are not limited to illnesses that are terminal. (Wilson-Raybould is) just wrong, I’m sorry to say.”

Arvay said the Trudeau government has, "become captured by the rhetoric of the disabled rights organizations.

“For many disabled people — and I’m one of them — we’ve managed to tolerate and adapt to our suffering and choose life over death. But to suggest that all physically disabled people have to subscribe to that notion is not just patronizing, it’s infantilizing,” he said.

“It’s treating all physically disabled people as children incapable of agency and autonomy and I just find that incredibly offensive. The trial judge did. The Supreme Court of Canada did. I don’t get why this government doesn’t understand that.”

The judgment is clear. The government is bound to follow it. That's called the "rule of law" and it is the cornerstone of democracy. Our government, no matter how well intentioned, is spineless, utterly feckless when it comes to tough issues.

Junior, like the guy he replaced, has a problem with the rule of law. Poor fellow, I think it makes him sad.

"There Have Always Been Fires. There Have Always Been Floods"


Right you are, Cap'n Sunni Ways. We've always had forest fires in Canada. Good of you to point that out.  Maybe you're more than a pretty face.

Only what you should have said or perhaps even noticed is how that's been changing since you grew out of Pampers.

...at least as early as 1993, scientific papers were exploring the link between rising carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, global warming and longer Canadian fire seasons.

It's a global phenomenon. A 2015 study in the journal Nature Communications found that between 1979 and 2013 the fire season has lengthened for more than a quarter of the planet's surface vegetation. In South America, the fire season has increased by an average 33 days. Globally, CO2 from wildfires can amount to more than half of all emissions from burning fossil fuels.

Alberta's wildfire season used to start at the beginning of April. Now it begins March 1.

"This is a foretaste of things to come," Mike Flannigan, professor of wildland fire at the University of Alberta, said in an interview Wednesday.

Looking at the annual Canadian fire data shows a series of spikes in area burned, said Flannigan. But using 10-year averages, he said, reveals that about one million hectares of forest burned annually in the early 1970s, a number that's now averaging well over two million hectares.

The three essential elements of wildfires are fuel, ignition sources and weather — with dry, hot weather impacting the quality of the fuel and both the sources and ease of ignition.


Sure, Junior, there have always been fires. Only they're a lot worse now than they used to be and it's your job to know the difference and do something about it. They're worse now - more frequent, bigger, more destructive - and there's worse to come, a lot worse.

Now stop looking like the deer caught in the headlights and deal with this.

Wildfires 101


The latest news is of an airlift underway of monumental proportions.  CBC News  reports that the province will attempt to fly many, perhaps most of the 25,000 people now sheltering in tar sands work camps north of Fort McMurray to safety in Edmonton.

It's not remotely clear how the Alberta authorities hope to do that. The Fort McMurray airport is closed to departures and arrivals. Moving thousands of people requires fairly large aircraft and, in this case, an ability to operate out of small, unimproved strips. The Canadian military could - theoretically - use Hercules and C-17 transports if a suitable landing area existed.

The Fort Mac fire was big yesterday. It grew eight-fold overnight. Now it's huge, about the size of metro-Calgary. As the fires sweep into the more populated south, additional communities have to be evacuated.

High winds continue. Not surprising given that these major conflagrations generate powerful updrafts that generate ground winds. Also the fires have reached the point where the fire is causing its own lightning, never a good thing.

These fires can go on for weeks, months before they burn out. A torrential downpour would be nice but there's no significant rainfall in the forecast for the next two weeks at least.






From August, 2015 - Seth Meyers on Donald Trump

I so hope he's still right. I do, I do.

It's Just Like Flooding, Only Different.

Here's a dramatic video clip of the nightmare that is now Fort McMurray. I found it over at Kinsella's page where he admonishes those of the left or the right who might exploit it for political purposes to claim "victory" whatever in hell that might mean. Shame, shame - shame on them.



The fact is this wildfire could easily have happened forty miles north of Fort McMurray, 40 miles east of Fort McMurray or 40 miles west, perhaps 40 miles south of Fort McMurray and it would have gone largely unnoticed save, perhaps, for some news accounts of people in the region having to deal with a lot of smoke.

However this is Fort McMurray, a small city just down the road from the Athabasca Tar Sands, and it had a population of 80,000 people who have had to leave their homes. Got it.

So what is this "victory" to which Kinsella alludes? What is the political angle on this? Climate change, is that the political angle? Does he think climate change is a political football to be kicked this way by the left and punted in that other direction by the right?

Climate change is a matter of science. There should be nothing political about it. However in a petro-state it is intensely political because the petro-powers do their best to squelch public discussion about it. Sometimes they even call it a hoax or a "socialist plot."

We don't need the Fort Mac tragedy to demonstrate that climate change impacts are here, that they're destructive and that they're getting a lot worse faster than we had ever imagined just a few years ago. I guess you don't see that in the concrete slab that is urban Toronto.  Out here we see it, we live it. We don't have a choice.

We watched as pine beetle infestations killed off thousands of square miles of once verdant forests, turning them in death an awful rust colour. What's that got to do with climate change? Everything. We don't get the cold winters we had even a decade ago. Without enough cold days there's no winter kill of the beetle larvae. Come summer they emerge en masse and destroy vast swathes of forest.

We watch as new species enter our coastal ecosystem. White-sided dolphins in large numbers. Humpback whales too, plenty of them. Brown pelicans taking up residence in Victoria. California sea lions roosting year round in Fanny Bay. Marine life is migrating away from the warming southern waters. As the herring and sardines swim north, they bring their food chain with them. There's climate change in action.

We now fret over whether we'll manage to accumulate an adequate snow cap on the local mountains. Life out here - from spawning salmon to bears and eagles and wolves, even the forests - depend on that snow cap and the life-giving summer meltwater it provides. There's your climate change.

Fort McMurray is afire. It's not alone. There are massive forest fires underway from British Columbia to Manitoba. The entire middle third of Saskatchewan is under an extreme fire advisory and the rest isn't much better. That's what climate change does. It messes up the hydrological cycle, the lifeline of every terrestrial species on Earth. Get your heads around the idea that the hydrological cycle as we knew it during the 11,000 years of human civilization is broken, kaput.

While Fort McMurray is ablaze, America's eastern seaboard and Gulf coast is bracing for inundation from sea level rise. Miami streets flood regularly. They did an amazing job at looking the other way but that's over. They're not looking the other way any longer. They can't. Sea level rise compounded by high tides and hurricane season storm surges is a climate change Trifecta.

But if it's heatwaves and blazes and drought you're looking for, take a gander at the nations of south and southeast Asia. From Pakistan to the MeKong delta, it's a mess, a real nightmare that eclipses anything going on in Canada. It's causing unrest in India. China could be next. Climate change is a global scourge and countries in the tropical or equatorial zones are Ground Zero.

If this is, as Kinsella maintains, a political football then, and I'm sorry to say this, we're fu_ked, completely. Like the pine beetle infestation, like the steadily worsening wildfire season, like the species migration underway, like sea level rise and coastal inundation, like severe weather events of increasing frequency, intensity and duration, like our dangerously broken hydrological cycle, all Fort McMurray represents is another in a long line of routinely unheeded wake-up calls.

You have to be insensate to frame this as a political issue. It's a scientific matter. It's a matter of geology, hydrology, chemistry, biology, botany, atmospherics, physics, glaciation, meteorology and every other Earth science. Research in all of these disciplines - all of them, without exception - confirms the central hypothesis of anthropogenic global warming. Nobody is asking anyone to take this on faith, it's not a question of belief. Save that for your favourite religious fantasy. This is a question of science and an overwhelming mountain of omni-disciplinary research and testing. That's not something you believe. It is, however, something you must accept.

There is no political victory in this and there can be no victory unless and until our political leadership fully accepts the science and acts accordingly. Unfortunately there's no sign of that happening on the horizon.





I'm Sorry, But It's Terminal




It's death watch for the oil giants - BP, Chevron, Shell, Exxon-Mobil, Total.  A report released by the prestigious British think tank, Chatham House, concludes that the 20th century business model that brought them such wealth is no longer "fit for purpose."

There is still a chance they can be saved but it depends on them going cold turkey on hydrocarbons and they've got 10-years to do it.

The business model that sustained them during the 20th century is no longer fit for purpose. As a result, they are faced with the choice of managing a gentle decline by downsizing or risking a rapid collapse by trying to carry on business as usual.

Most commentary on the IOCs’ problems has focused on the recent fall in oil prices and the growing global commitment to tackle climate change. Important though these are, the source of their predicament is not confined to such recent developments over which they have no control. Their problems are more numerous, run deeper and go back further. The prognosis for the IOCs was already grim before governments became serious about climate change and the oil price collapsed.

The oil market is going through fundamental structural changes driven by a technological revolution and geopolitical shifts. The old cycle of lower prices followed by higher prices is no longer applicable.

In this new world, the only realistic option for the IOCs lies in restructuring and realizing many of their current assets to provide cash for their shareholders. Inevitably, this means that they must shrink into the remaining areas of operation, functionally and geographically, where they can earn an acceptable return. This would require a major change in the corporate culture of the IOCs. It remains to be seen whether their senior management could handle such a fundamental shift. If they can, the IOCs will be able to slip into a gentle decline but ultimately survive on a much smaller scale.

One strategy suggested is for the international oil companies to leverage their wealth to gain prominence in green energy technologies.

Hmm, we'll see. Old habits...

Nothing Brings Out the Straw Men Like a Wildfire




There are a lot of curious minds who are denouncing "lefties" for gloating over the fate that has befallen Fort McMurray from early season wildfires. Kinsella did it yesterday. Even Trudeau implied it although, being Trudeau, he just skirted the whole thing. Gary Mason did it in today's Globe & Mail.

The problem is that the orgy of schadenfreude they depict exists only in the murky recesses of their minds. I live on the BC coast. We don't like the Athabasca Tar Sands. We don't like dilbit or the hazmat threat it poses to our marine ecology. We don't like governments, federal and provincial, on the "wrong" side of the Rockies that seem bent on pushing pipelines and supertankers down our throats.

Sure, we don't like any of that stuff. But I have not heard anyone expressing anything but sympathy and concern for the people of Fort McMurray and what they're going through. I went to a liquor store and a grocery store yesterday. Both of them were soliciting contributions at the till for Fort McMurray relief and the people I queued with were chipping in two bucks here, five bucks there.

We're from the west. We know what wildfires are and how devastating they can be. Remember Kelowna you nitwits? Hell even the coastal rainforest has lost most of its immunity to wildfire. Everything is drying out. Even on this island, logging crews get pulled out of the forests in the summer when the fire hazard goes extreme. The climate has changed. Forest fire season begins much earlier than it did historically and it goes on  much longer.  Fires become more common, faster spreading, harder to contain. And guess what? It's expected to get worse.

So Kinsella and Trudeau and Gary Mason, please, take your vile straw men and shove them right back where you found them.

It's "Git Yer Load On" Day in Deutschland




Today is Father's Day (Vatertag) in Germany. This is the day when male Germans tend to get wrecked. I once had an old law professor, Tom Feeney, who told his eager students that you weren't drunk "until the same legs that carried you into a place won't carry you back out." Okay, Tom, you've just described German Father's Day.

Today, alcohol-related traffic accidents likely will multiply by three as virtually all male Germans will get jointly drunk. It's traditionally the most dangerous day of the year to be on the streets in Germany because it is Father's Day. The tradition always coincides with the Christian Feast of the Ascension of Jesus -- but Germans have a very particular understanding of how to celebrate being a father, it seems.

German men traditionally meet up in large groups that are equipped with at least one carefully decorated carriage filled with beer. They then descend on a day-long hike with their very own beer vehicles, but few make it to the end.

Why my people ever left, I don't know.

It's Saudi-Fest in Ottawa.

Saudi Arabia is out to stage a facelift in Canada. Somehow the kingdom got word that Canadians weren't exactly fond of it or its ways. Now we know that they know that we know about their abysmal human rights record and practices that are more than a little barbaric (tell Kelly Leitch we've got a job for her).


Polling suggests the vast majority of Canadians hold a dim view of the Saudi Arabian government, which is controlled by the ruling House of Saud. It has drawn major international condemnation for mass executions and jailing and flogging atheists. A UN panel alleges the country has committed serious human-rights violations in a war it has waged in Yemen.

The Saudi embassy, however, would like Canadians to consider other aspects of Saudi life as it seeks closer ties with Canada. More than 14,000 Saudi students attend Canadian universities and colleges, and last year, Saudi Arabia teamed up with a U.S. agribusiness company to buy more than 50 per cent of the Canadian Wheat Board, now renamed G3 Canada.

The embassy is issuing invitations to “Saudi Cultural Days in Canada” from May 18 to May 21 that will include demonstrations of Arab cuisine, calligraphy, fine arts, music, henna design and handicrafts, and seminars on Saudi-Canada relations. A spokeswoman for the Saudi embassy said it is the first time in 25 years that the country has staged this cultural display in Canada, but firmly rejected the notion it has anything to do with the controversy over the massive arms sale.

Those who want to immerse themselves in the more authentic aspects of Saudi life and culture will be sadly disappointed. Ottawa officials canceled plans for demonstrations of state of the art democracy suppression technology, the art of cluster bombing pesky Houthi women and children, or how to behead a witch in less than 12 blows of a sword. And, for the kids, the Saudis announced they have hired entertainer Justin Trudeau to make balloon animals for all the little ones.

Word From the Top


What does God make of Donald Trump's GOP blitzkrieg? Stephen Colbert asks:

Wednesday, May 04, 2016

Trudeau Has Flipped


Maybe it's because he reneged on his promise to present a climate change policy within 90-days of assuming office. Maybe it's his weak kneed support of expanded bitumen exports. Whatever it is, Trudeau has flipped.

Elizabeth May got under Junior's skin when she observed, quite accurately,  that the inferno blazing at Fort McMurray is consistent with a pattern that can be traced to climate change.

“The fact that the forest fire season has arrived so early in northern Alberta is very likely a climate event - very likely related to extreme high temperatures and very low humidity, very low precipitation and it is, as we saw in the quote from one of the firefighters - it’s a firestorm,” she said.

Trudeau, sounding remarkably like a Republican bottom feeder, retorted, " any time we try to make a political argument on one particular disaster, I think it’s a bit of shortcut that can sometimes not have the desired outcome. There have always been fires. There have always been floods." 

That sounds so much like the denialist line about how the climate has always been changing and it's every bit as disingenuous. Maybe Sparky hasn't been paying attention but climate change has brought dangerous changes to the western forest fire season. The season runs longer. It begins earlier and ends later. Fires are more intense, more widespread, more destructive.

British Columbia would like to send large numbers of forest firefighters to help out in Alberta but we can't. Our crews are engaged fighting fires in our province primarily in the northeast section. Saskatchewan is tinder dry and hoping to keep its fires from spreading out of control. The midsection of Saskatchewan is now designated at extreme fire risk.

For Junior to admonish Elizabeth May merely reflects on his own inadequacy. For him to infer that May is turning this into a political issue is appalling. 

David Schindler, a University of Alberta scientist who studies the ecology of inland bodies of water, said there have been increasingly favourable conditions for forest fires in recent years. He noted that climate scientists have been predicting the increase in forest fires for at least a decade.

"What's extraordinary up there is humidity has been very low and temperature very high," Schindler said in an interview with National Observer. "Those are all ingredients for fire weather formulas."

Since Trudeau the Lesser obviously doesn't have even a rudimentary grasp of what is going on maybe he should just stay quiet and go back to building another pipeline.

Donald Trump - Bibi's Best Friend



In an apparent bid to court Jewish voters, Donald Trump has changed course of Israel and now supports further Israeli settlement of the occupied Palestinian territories.

When asked whether there should be a pause in settlement construction in territory Israel captured in the Six-Day War but where Palestinians seek to establish their own state, Trump replied:

"No, I don't think it is, because I think Israel should have – they really have to keep going. They have to keep moving forward."

"No, I don't think there should be a pause," Trump said. "Look: Missiles were launched into Israel, and Israel, I think, never was properly treated by our country. I mean, do you know what that is, how devastating that is?"


Meanwhile, Haaretz columnist, Gideon Levy, has a word of advice for the Trudeau government:

...even if we are not enthusiastic about it we have no choice but to recognize that boycott, divestment and sanctions is the only game in town, the last hope for the change that Benn also wants. This is the only means to stop Israel from persisting in its crimes. The only alternative is bloodshed, which no one wants.

Sanctions and boycott are the most non-violent, legitimate means there are (Israel constantly preaches to the world to use them against its enemies) and have been proven effective.

...It is true that North Korea and Cuba did not surrender to boycotts, but they are not democracies and public opinion in those countries carries little weight. The Israelis, based on the experience of the past, are much more spoiled. Close down the international airport for two days and let’s see who’s for the settlement of Yitzhar; demand a visa for every little vacation abroad and let’s see who will say “the Land of Israel for the People of Israel.” And we haven’t even begun to talk about ongoing conditions of shortages and economic crisis that will require Israel to finally ask: Is all this really worthwhile to satisfy an appetite for real estate, is all this worthwhile for the caprice of the occupation, are they prepared to pay out of their own pocket and lifestyle for regions of the country that most people have never even seen and have no real interest in their fate?


...BDS has not yet begun to lick at our lives here. Meanwhile there is no real economic warfare, rather only movements that are only gradually changing international discourse about Israel. On the edges there are perhaps some elements of anti-Semitism, but it is basically a protest movement by people of conscience who want to do something. Economic decline as a result of it might occur quickly, not necessarily gradually. In South Africa the business community came to the government and said: Enough, this cannot go on. That could happen here too. 

It's beyond sad that our government of the day doesn't have Levy's honesty, his decency. When it comes to BDS, Trudeau and Trump are birds of a feather.

PostScript - Guess who has been given the go ahead to open an office in NATO headquarters in Brussels? You got it, Israel. 

It Is Finished

Less than 24 hours after Ted Cruz left the Republican race, John Kasich has announced he's also folding his campaign. That leaves only one contender for the Republican presidential nomination, the guy who just pocketed every remaining delegate.

Trump has the nomination stitched up as tight as anyone can get it. No brokered convention, nothing stands in his way.

Well, Lizzie May. Time to Earn Your Pay.



It was wonderful when Elizabeth May received a 93% vote of confidence from the Green Party rank and file last month.

She's done a good job but now she needs to up her game. Somebody has to step into the vacuum created by Justin Trudeau.

The prime minister vowed that he would have a climate change plan prepared within 90-days of taking office. Promise Broken. There is still no plan nor any sign that this government that seems to go wobbly when it comes to hard sledding will produce a climate change plan anytime soon.

Somebody has to put forward a plan, kickstart a national conversation about what Canada needs and must do in both mitigation and adaptation.

No one expects Elizabeth May to implement a plan. My party has but one seat in the House of Commons. That said, she can show us what could be done, what should be done and, from that, we can draw our own conclusions about why Trudeau is so reticent.

Let's talk about Canada's carbon budget. Let's explore the paltry returns we get from Tar Sands development in terms of value and jobs per tonne of greenhouse gas emissions. Let's discuss the merits of our federal government shelling out $34-billion a year in subsidies to the mostly foreign energy giants. Let's talk about the future Canada we'll bequeath our grandkids, the challenges they'll face and what we can do to help them meet conditions unlike any we've known in our lifetimes.

Bottom line - let's do what Trudeau said he would do, what he should be doing, but what he isn't touching. If he wants to make himself and his government irrelevant to this conversation (and he's doing a brilliant job of that so far) that's up to him.

Meanwhile, Back in the Kremlin


"Comrade President, it has happened. Trump is now the presumptive presidential candidate of America's Republican Party."

"Excellent. Now summon the Kremlin psychiatrists. We need this Trump profiled. I will roll him up like a decadent, cream filled croissant. America has finally gone too far. It has cut its own throat."

Meanwhile, at Langley, Virginia:



"Mr. Director, it has happened. Trump is now the presumptive presidential nominee of the Republican Party."

"Ah, goddamn! Shit, son of a bitch! America has finally gone too far. Wait, I know. Do we still have anyone around from that Grassy Knoll operation?"

Tuesday, May 03, 2016

As Long As We're Looking at Putting Statues on Parliament Hill

Here's a few that might be just dandy. They venerate legendary whistleblowers Julian Assange, Edward Snowden and former US soldier, Chelsea Manning. I wouldn't mind seeing these three honoured on Parliament Hill.

Trump Goes Wiggy


Has Donald Trump finally jumped the shark? Today he tried to link Ted Cruz' father to Lee Harvey Oswald and the Kennedy assassination.



Well, wiggy or not, Trump still managed to put paid to Cruz Jr. in Indiana. Now the GOP establishment has to prepare for the likely coronation of their new presidential candidate.

KPMG's Mea Culpa


Guess who's no longer in the tax shelter business? Yes, that's right, KPMG. It seems the accounting giant has done a little of the old "duck and cover" after getting caught red-handed conniving a little evasive tax shelter for the fabulously rich in the Isle of Man. One might suspect that the Panama Papers scandal was the straw that broke KPMG's tax dodging back. Apparently the boys in the grey suits don't have much appetite for doing a stretch in the Greybar Hotel.

The executive didn't exactly say just when KPMG stopped selling tax shelters but we'll probably find out more about that and other dodgy deals as the recently leaked documents are analyzed and, with any luck, other firms are hacked.

Yeah But How Do You Really Feel About Donald Trump?



For years he was senator John McCain's chief aide.  Now Mark Salter says Hillary would get his vote over Donald Trump because - because - wait for it - she's the better conservative. Really, who knew?

Mark Salter was for years McCain’s closest aide, serving as strategist, speechwriter, Senate chief of staff and biographer to the 2008 Republican presidential nominee. But now, Salter says he’ll break with the Republican Party if it nominates Trump and vote for Clinton instead.

“Basically, I think she’s the more conservative choice and the least reckless one,” Salter told MSNBC in an email. “[Trump’s] policy views are like some drunk’s rant. If he tried to do anything like he says he will, we’d have no allies, a lot more enemies, and more of them with nukes. Finally, he’s unfit for the office, too, temperamentally and morally, a narcissistic bigot.”

Salter is hardly alone among Republican operatives and policy hands expressing disgust with Trump. But he may the highest profile one yet to say he’d support the likely Democratic nominee instead.

“[T]he GOP is going to nominate for President a guy who reads the National Enquirer and thinks it’s on the level,” Salter tweeted Tuesday, adding Clinton’s slogan: “I’m with her.”


National Observer Calls Bullshit on Trudeau, Again.


When it comes to climate change and Canada we're awash in talk but marooned when it comes to meaningful action. Cap'n Sunny Ways seems to be focused on blowing smoke up our arses claiming that we can win the struggle to curb climate change by peddling ever more dilbit, the world's highest-cost/highest-carbon ersatz petroleum.

The folks over at the National Observer cut through all the petro-state bullcrap with a dandy comparison of carbon emissions in Canada versus those in the United Kingdom. Hint: one of these nations is sharply reducing its greenhouse gas emissions while the other is sharply increasing its total emissions.

For starters, let's deal with the apples and oranges issues. Canada is a nation of 35 million people. The UK isn't quite double that, 64 million.  We have a huge country with our population concentrated in a thin band along the American border stretching from the Atlantic to the Pacific. The UK is, by comparison, minuscule which translates into certain advantages on things such as transportation and fuel consumption. Okay, on with the show.


Although Britain has by far the larger economy, $2.5 trillion versus our $1.5 trillion, their emissions have fallen by 35% since 1990 while Canada's have risen by 20% (and we're just getting going). As shown above, around 1998 our growing total emissions passed Britain's declining total emissions. And we've never looked back either.

For Mr. Trudeau and Canadians, the UK provides a real-world example of a wealthy, top-tier economy, in a northern region, that has managed to significantly reduce their emissions and meet their climate promises.

As a bonus to the UK, their falling emissions are priming their economy for the coming tectonic shift to a post-carbon world. Today the UK economy produces $4,800 in GDP from each tonne of climate pollution (tCO2). Canada makes less than half as much, at $2,200. As we will see below, as soon as it become imperative to reduce climate pollution then continuing to expand the lowest-GDP emissions in your economy become a serious problem.

Canada's up-coming climate target for 2020 was made by former Prime Minister, Stephen Harper in Copenhagen. ... we are currently more than a hundred million tonnes above where we promised to be.  

The article goes on to blame Canada's dismal showing on two factors - motor vehicle emissions and, of course, the Tar Sands.

Back in 1990, Canada and the UK emitted similar levels of climate pollution from their nation's cars and trucks.

Since then, however, Canada's vehicle emissions surged 44 per cent, while the UK's declined slightly.

What did the UK do differently?

FUEL DUTY ELEVATOR

For one thing, starting back in the early 1990s, the Conservative government of Prime Minister John Major decided that the UK would be better off if it was less dependent on gasoline. So they implemented a "Fuel Duty Escalator" that increased gasoline taxes an average of around seven cents per litre, per year, for a decade.

...To put that gas tax increase in a climate perspective, it's exactly the same as increasing a carbon tax by $30 per year, for ten straight years. A G8 reportlabelled this UK policy a “best practice” for addressing climate change. In Canada, British Columbia's Climate Leadership Team recently recommended a similar, though much less ambitious, proposal to increase its official Carbon Tax by $10 per year.

...As Mr. Trudeau plans carbon pricing he might want to keep in mind that he would need to add a $500 carbon tax on gasoline to match what the UK does already. BC's proposal to increase its Carbon Tax by $10 per year would require fifty years (!) before it matches what the UK has already done.

Then, of course, there's the Athabasca Tar Sands problem. What to do, what to do? Here's what it looks like based on the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers numbers:



First take a look at the orange line -- CAPP's "slower growth" scenario. Tar sands pollution surges to 17 per cent of our national emissions budget by 2030. Amazingly, this is what happens if we don't build more pipelines.

Now check out the red line showing CAPP's "faster growth" scenario. That's what we get with one or two more big pipelines. Mr. Trudeau is pushing hard for this scenario. Tar sands emissions leap to around a quarter our nation's climate budget by 2030. And they are heading steeply upwards from there.

Problem number two is that Alberta's tar sands industry produces very little wealth and very few jobs, per tonne of climate pollution they release. This is called carbon efficiency and it is measured in $GDP produced per tCO2.

Today, Canada's economy averages$2,200 in GDP per tCO2. That has to jump to around $4,000 for us to meet our 2030 climate commitment while also maintaining our standard of living (per-capita GDP).

The Alberta tar sands industry produces only around $400 in GDP per tCO2. Ten time less than what we need.

The same holds true with Canadian employment. The tar sands produce ten times less employment per tCO2 than the national average.

Canada has never created any plan, which if followed, would meet any of our targets. Mr. Trudeau promised to deliver a 2030 plan by the end of his in first 90 days in office. But he didn't. Instead he pivoted to pushing a "faster growth" expansion of tar sands without first having a plan to handle the resulting flood of emissions. Sound familiar?

Once again Junior sounds eerily like the guy we just ditched. He talks a good game but it's pure bullshit.

Arctic Climate Connections - Where is Rube Goldberg Now That We Need Him?




The rapidly warming Arctic region is the perfect proving ground to show how climate change impacts have a synergy that is amplified by human activity, primarily greenhouse gas emissions.

A new study finds that the rate of Arctic sea ice loss is influenced by warming far south in the Pacific. It links the effects of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) to events across the Arctic Ocean. What troubles scientists is that the PDO is currently in its negative phase which should, but hasn't, brought cooler waters to the eastern Pacific. The positive phase will see warmer waters along the west coast of North America which will increase the impact on sea ice loss.

Another study explores a geological feature found across the permafrost, ice wedges. These ice spikes can span up to 30 metres at the surface. As they melt, the surrounding permafrost is no longer supported an collapses. In some places the surface subsidence has been recorded at 10 cms. or 4 inches per year. Much of the territory in the far north is already low lying and hence the subsidence makes these regions vulnerable to inundation from the sea.

Finally, from The Washington Post, "Dominoes Fall: Vanishing Arctic ice shifts jet stream, which melts Greenland glaciers." The warmer Arctic atmosphere has changed the Polar Jet Stream and given rise to blocking events that take the form of stationary waves (Rossby waves) that can plunge far south and simply stay there. This often takes the form of the dreaded "polar vortex" events that hit eastern North America. These blocking events were instrumental in the last severe flooding event in Calgary where a massive rainstorm was left parked over the area for several days.


Now it turns out that this newly energized Polar Jet is accelerating the melting of the Greenland ice sheet.

A recent set of scientific papers have proposed a critical connection between sharp declines in Arctic sea ice and changes in the atmosphere, which they say are not only affecting ice melt in Greenland, but also weather patterns all over the North Atlantic.

The new studies center on an atmospheric phenomenon known as “blocking” — this is when high pressure systems remain stationary in one place for long periods of time (days or even weeks), causing weather conditions to stay relatively stable for as long as the block remains in place. They can occur when there’s a change or disturbance in the jet stream, causing the flow of air in the atmosphere to form a kind of eddy, said Jennifer Francis, a research professor and climate expert at Rutgers University.


Now, two new studies have suggested that there’s been a recent increase in the frequency of melt-triggering blocking events over Greenland — and that it’s likely been fueled by climate change-driven losses of Arctic sea ice.

A paper set to be published Monday in the International Journal of Climatology reveals an uptick in the frequency of these blocking events over Greenland since the 1980s.


Last week scientists reported that the ice melt season had arrived in Greenland a month ahead of normal. The season kicked off with one day that took researchers by surprise on which the ice sheet lost a cubic kilometre of water, a gigatonne.

What is emerging is clear proof that, when it comes to climate change impacts, everything has "knock on" effects. It's all inter-related, causally linked. It's something out of the mind of Rube Goldberg.




It's the Day of Reckoning for Ted Cruz. Stephen Colbert Explains.

Republican weirdo presidential candidate, Ted Cruz, a.k.a. "Lucifer in the flesh," is facing his Waterloo - or he would be if Indiana had a town named Waterloo. Dammit, I just checked, it does. Waterloo, Indiana, population 2,242 or 666 of something like that.

Okay, back on track (and, yes, Waterloo boasts that Amtrak stops there several times every day). No, not that sort of track. Ted Cruz track. It seems that Indiana may be the end of the line (sorry) for Ted's presidential aspirations. He appears poised to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory virtually yielding the Republican nomination to Donald "Juice" Trump.

Last night Stephen Colbert explained that, "To know Cruz is to wish you didn't."



Poor old Ted, can't catch a break. He just creeps people out and, it seems, for good reason. Months ago somebody floated the meme of Cruz as the Zodiac Killer. On February 25th, Public Policy Polling released its forecast of the Republican and the Democratic Florida primaries. The polling report included this paragraph:

Finally we find that 38% of Florida voters think it's possible that Ted Cruz is the Zodiac Killer. 10% say he for sure is, and another 28% say that they are just not sure. Cruz is exonerated from being a toddler serial killer by 62% of the Sunshine State populace.

Update: Zodiac Cruz has succumbed under the weight of the Trump juggernaut, a vanquished man. It's just a feeling but I had a sense that reality settled in on Ted Cruz over the past few weeks as he began to realize that virtually no one likes him. It wasn't just a jealous snit by his fellow senators. It's the whole damn country. He seemed to be just a bit relieved that it's over. Then again, so am I.


Monday, May 02, 2016

Back in Business !! Just in Time For Summer Boating Season



Vancouver's Kitsilano Coast Guard Station is back in business as of today. The facility that provides ready response rescue for the area's boating crowd and freighters was shuttered by Stephen Harper, ostensibly to cut costs. Few bought that tall tale especially when it came in conjunction with Harper's lay offs designed to blind Fisheries and Oceans monitors responsible for safeguarding our marine habitat.

I may not have many good things to say about the Trudeau government lately but kudos are in order for this. Thank you, Mr. Trudeau. Well done.


National Observer - How Enbridge Manipulated the National Energy Board



The power of alternative media.

Vancouver's own, National Observer, has unearthed evidence suggesting shocking collusion between an energy giant and the industry-friendly federal regulator, the National Energy Board.

Under scrutiny is a NEB audit report released last July.

Both the company and its watchdog delivered positive messages about the published audit, explaining it showed how much Enbridge was improving.

But two things were happening behind the scenes before the public ever got wind of the report. Enbridge initially responded to the draft report by denying there were major problems. Secondly, the final report is different from the draft version that was privately shared with Enbridge in February 2015. The NEB, which is also based in Calgary, changed the conclusions in response to 28 pages of recommendations from Enbridge.


...While both the NEB and Enbridge maintained there were no immediate threats to public safety, two engineering experts told National Observer that they disagreed.

These critics said that the public should be alarmed about how the final report was edited, because the changes show that the regulator doesn’t know how to prevent disastrous spills from happening or how to respond when a catastrophe strikes.

“They don't even understand their limitations and the NEB has no idea what the issues are,” said Don Deaver, a former Exxon pipeline engineer from Texas, who now works as a private consultant after a career that lasted decades.


...The draft version of another section of the audit, describing how Enbridge protects natural ecosystems, included references to two secret environmental reports. But Enbridge said it didn't want the public to know about those reports and managed to convince the NEB to keep them hidden.

“These reports are confidential, internal Enbridge documents,” the company wrote in its 28-page response to the draft audit report, attached to a letter signed by its president of liquid pipelines, Guy Jarvis, on March 6, 2015. “As such, Enbridge requests that the reference to them be removed from the report, or referred to in a more generic fashion.”


Deaver said these disappearing paragraphs show that the NEB was hiding some inconvenient truth about the pipeline industry: Enbridge is struggling to figure out how to stop leaks on aging pipelines, and officials still don't know the best way to completely clean up after a catastrophic spill, such as what happended in Marshall.

“They (the industry and the watchdog) are using the wrong methods to analyze the growth of these cracking areas that they find along the pipe,” said Deaver.

Deaver added that if the two secret environmental reports refer to the aftermath of spills, they would expose one of the “dirtiest, darkest secrets of the pipeline industry" regarding the challenges of cleaning up after a major leak.

“Whenever there’s a lawsuit on a spill or something like that, the agencies allow the companies to hold back the reports until there’s a settlement,” Deaver said. “It could be embarrassing to the regulatory people (to reveal what’s in these company reports) because it could show that they (regulators) failed to take action.”


The NEB refused a request - through federal access to information legislation - to release copies of the environmental reports that it reviewed in the audit, explaining that it had only reviewed them at Enbridge offices and left them behind, without making any copies.

This is the second time in recent months that the NEB has done something like this: In December, it declined to release an internal corporate investigation report into a damaged pipeline buried by TransCanada Corp - Canada’s second largest pipeline company - because the NEB said its staff left that report behind at the company office in the middle of a separate investigation into serious safety allegations that were raised by a whistleblower.

It's not clear why the NEB would leave documents behind since it has full powers of inquiry and full powers of a federal court to investigate pipeline safety matters. These powers allow the NEB, under Canadian law, to take any evidence it needs to complete its investigations.

But the regulator, governed by a board that currently has 13 members - 12 of whom were appointed by the Conservative government of former prime minister Stephen Harper - wasn’t willing to provide a detailed explanation about any of the unusual decisions made in its recent investigations.


...After reviewing what was changed in the audit report, Evan Vokes, a former pipeline engineer who worked for TransCanada, said he was skeptical about the claims made by both the industry and its regulator. He believes pipelines would be safer if the regulators did a better job enforcing the rules.

“I think they’re trying to hide a safety risk,” Vokes said in an interview. “They continue to promise better and better performance on corrosion-related failures and they never manage to stop corrosion-related failures.”

U.S. officials blamed Enbridge for having a “culture of deviance” that contributed to the Michigan spill, which traveled about 50 km downstream on the river that leads to Lake Michigan. But the company and its regulators said that they were taking steps after the 2010 spill to prevent future disasters. Industry and federal officials had made similar statements after the Saskatchewan spill of 2007.


Yet another example of the audacious hypocrisy of the Trudeau Liberals. They freely slammed the National Energy Board while they were in opposition. Since coming to power they find the industry-dominated regulator just fine.

Elizabeth May Points Out the Obvious


Despite his "sunny ways," Justin Trudeau keeps showing that he's less than meets the eye. Elizabeth May, writing in the Island Tides paper, explains:

Canada is very popular at the UN these days. I think winning a seat on the Security Council in the next vote is looking like a sure thing. Trudeau’s speech was interrupted by applause more often than any other speaker in the General Assembly. His willingness to embrace basic principles of climate justice resonated as he explained Canada was committed to assisting developing countries ‘since they should not be punished for a problem they did not create’. 

On the other hand, our target remains the one tabled last year by the previous government— 30% below 2005 levels by 2030. Yet, there has been a weak environmental movement response to this sad reality. I get it. After 10 years of Harper, the movement is grateful to have a new Liberal government that is in favour of climate action. 

For months, mainstream media has been falsely reporting that Trudeau adopted that target in Paris. Internally, the bureaucracy is pressing the environment minister so hard that even the Harper target will be hard to reach

The worrying line in Trudeau’s speech was that Canada ‘will meet or exceed our target’. That sounds really good, but it is the first time the Prime Minister has associated himself at all with the Harper target. To keep our commitment to avoiding 1.5ºC we need to make our target reflect doing our fair share in the world. And that one isn’t it. It cannot be ‘meet or exceed’. To keep our promises in Paris, it can only be ‘exceed’—and by a lot. 

May goes on to note that we cannot hope to meet even Harper's targets if we permit the planned expansion of the Tar Sands production or launch a new effort to export LNG.

Why Now, Perhaps More Than Ever, We Need a National Vision



He came to us with a vision of what he called a "just society." We listened and we liked what we heard and we supported him as he enacted the laws focused on taking our Canada, leading us, to a new and better place. We saw, first hand, the power of vision.

Over the last decade we saw the legacy of that earlier vision as we were ruled - not led, not governed but ruled - by an authoritarian who utterly eschewed vision, perhaps knowing that whatever he might offer up as vision would be roundly rejected. His entire approach to governance - incrementalism - was the classic modus operandi of poachers and sneak thieves. We were ruled by a man who had no vision but boundless ambition to remake us and our country in his image. He attempted to do this and might have succeeded but for the legacy of that earlier vision manifested in the Charter of Rights and Freedoms that restrained him and held his impulsive instincts at bay.

Pundits have observed that Stephen Harper left no lasting legacy and that's why. He was a visionless ruler, a technocrat who wielded the levers of power to no particular end, no goal beyond the exploitation of corrupted hydrocarbon energy.

There are still some who consider that earlier leader, Pierre Trudeau, autocratic and there may be an argument to be made. The important thing, however, is that Pierre Trudeau did not exercise his control to advance neoliberalism. To the contrary, his governance was focused on the advancement of Canadian democracy, liberal democracy. He curbed the rights of the state against the individual and elevated the rights of the individual over the state. He enshrined rights and freedoms within constitutional instruments. What a fascinating man. What a time to be a Canadian, empowered. Heady stuff that.

Brian Mulroney put Canada on a somewhat different course. Like Reagan, he was well to the left of what passes for conservatism today. Still he ushered in the era of globalization, the economic engine of neoliberalism. It began with the FTA, the free trade pact with the US, that was quickly followed when NAFTA added Mexico to the deal.

Mulroney bought the theory that was in a matter of years disproved, discredited. He believed what he preached - that free trade would benefit the country and all Canadians. There would be more economic activity, more jobs, better pay. He failed to foresee that free market capitalism would turn predatory as corporatist forces, their restraints broken and their powers elevated almost to quasi-nation state levels, exploited their gifted freedom and powers. Industries were gutted, jobs were outsourced, wages stagnated or declined.

You might have thought our leaders would have cried, "Whoa, wait a second, this isn't working. We've got to scrap this and go back to square one." But they didn't. Instead they inked one free trade agreement after another, in each instance yielding just a little more state sovereignty to a corporatist rival that was largely unaccountable, amorphous.

Why did it keep going? Why is it with us today and growing rapidly? Because that's what a malignancy does. It keeps growing until the host, in this case liberal democracy, dies. It's both predatory and parasitic. As it continues it gives back ever less and much of what is given is tainted. It began as a corporate, commercial interest that metastasized into neoliberalism, a political power. Neoliberalism is the muscle of corporatism. It doesn't seek to reduce the state but to wrest effective control of the state, to displace democracy, and it works through people like our last prime minister.

A detailed and extensive exploration of this phenomenon can be found in Galbraith's, The Predator State. At one point he examines the stampede of neoliberalism during the Bush/Cheney regime when every important regulatory body was taken over by industry shills. Industry, commerce, capital became self-regulating, almost sovereign, giving rise to a genuine predator state. As for Canada, take a look at the makeup of the industry-friendly National Energy Board. Is it any wonder that the public interest gets such short shrift?

Harper is gone, praise Odin, but his NEB appointments still rule the roost. Harper is gone but Justin Trudeau has retained Harper's board. That seems incomprehensible. Is it, really? What is that telling us?

After three decades under the yoke of neoliberalism, what is Justin Trudeau's vision of Canada? What does he seek to make it other than, perhaps, a bit more pleasant, a bit less in your face?

The fact is that I haven't heard any stirring vision come out of this Trudeau, nothing that even remotely resembles our experience during his father's tenure. That wouldn't be enough to declare him a neoliberal although he is. The sorry fact is that every party in Parliament, including Tom "balanced budgets" Mulcair's NDP, is neoliberal. Oh I realize Tom, at least Latter Day Tom, comes across as a bit more progressive than Justin but it's a distinction of very limited difference.

There is no vision on offer from any of Canada's mainstream political parties. Electoral reform is, at best, a tweak - not a vision. Those who claim otherwise need to lift their eyes, look out to the horizon. We haven't done that sort of thing for decades, far too long and our country is the worse for it.

How do we escape the clutches of neoliberalism? How are we to rehabilitate liberal democracy? Who has that so desperately overdue vision?

In case you're wondering, not me. There are, however, things I believe we must do and things I am convinced we must absolutely stop doing. In no particular order, here are a few.

Let's take a look at Teddy Roosevelt's "Square Deal" speech of 1910 in which he laid out the foundational principles of a progressive order. There is so much in there, truly timeless wisdom, that I urge you to read it in its entirety. It speaks to the essential paramountcy of labour over capital. It calls for government in service to the populace, not powerful narrow interests. It champions conservation of national resources, control of corporations and consumer protection of every variety. Read it, absorb it and you'll have a pretty good start.

Let's recognize, in every aspect of policy making and planning at every level of government, the unprecedented perils and uncertainties that confront every nation and will overwhelm a good many in the course of this century. We cannot know what our nation and our world will look like more than a decade, two at the outside, from now. Why then are we entertaining thirty year, "locked in" trade deals? Where do we think Canada will be over that term? What about the partner nations we will be relying on? What if they can't fulfill their obligations to us? What if we default on our obligations to them? Will force majeure become the lingua franca of free market capitalism? What then?

It is this very uncertainty, unpredictability that so strongly argues for the restoration of the paramountcy of the public interest in every aspect of our governance. That will hinge on the recovery of our national sovereignty. We cannot have fetters, especially not decadal shackles, on our sovereignty. That denies us the ability to freely respond to the needs of our people when difficulties arise. There are contingencies in which we may need to be able to jettison trade baggage as our partners may well do to us for the same compelling reasons.

What use is there for a vision unless it can be conveyed to the people it needs to reach? To achieve that level of communication you must have an informed public, not a public manipulated by spin and guile. Re-establishing those lines of communication begins with the restoration of a vibrant, robust and free press in Canada. That necessitates breaking up today's corporate media cartel. This corporate media, exemplified by the PostMedia chain, doesn't disseminate information. It peddles messaging, information so heavily sculpted by omission and interpretation for the sole purpose of manipulating the reader.

It doesn't make much difference which system of voting is in place if the corporate interest is able to confound the voter and steer that vote.  A voter who is misled, confused, angry and/or fearful defeats the whole notion of an informed electorate freely consenting to how they will be governed. A corporate media cartel is a powerful instrument of neoliberalism. Curious that none of our parties, not even the NDP, is calling for that cartel to be taken down.

We need to rebuild, re-empower our society. We have held on, at times by our fingernails, thanks to the Charter of Rights and Freedoms but that's not nearly enough. Look at Canadian society today. Look at how divided we have become. We're corralled into camps that view each other with suspicion, fear, anger sometimes bordering on paranoia. There is no vision to unite us, to afford us the common ground we have found, despite our differences, in times past. We can live with our differences and still enjoy the benefits of social cohesion and common purpose.

This failure of social cohesion weakens all of us in every camp. It distracts us, it saps our resolve, it turns us into easy pickings for the forces of neoliberalism. It facilitates the transfer of economic and political clout into the hands of the elite which partly explains why every major party today is neoliberal.

Societal rehabilitation is called for and this can begin by tackling inequality in all of its forms - inequality of wealth, inequality of income, inequality of opportunity, inequality of access and influence - the list goes on. We cannot restore conditions as they were from the 50s through the 70s, at least not without surviving another major war, but there is much we can do to re-upholster our society, so that everybody gets a nice seat at the table.

We must commit to government's role in balancing the ever conflicting interests of labour versus capital. That is part and parcel of any viable progressive democracy. A thoughtful exploration of how to restore organized labour in Canada opens most if not every can of worms. It's messy, daunting but that is no excuse for continuing to ignore it.

One final idea that I would suggest is to revisit the issue of posterity, long ostracized from both policy making and planning. We must be willing to make sacrifices essential to the well being of future generations of Canadians.

Pierre Trudeau's vision looked to the future. It fully addressed posterity. We've already seen, first hand, what a wonderful thing the power of posterity can be when you most desperately need it.

Change, it seems, is never universally welcomed except in the wake of catastrophe. Neoliberalism has us on the path to catastrophe. It's inevitable. Our choice is to remain divided, confused, distracted and powerless and await our fate or to find that vision that all of us truly want and turn that vision into reality.


Sunday, May 01, 2016

Justin, Rachel and Brad - Completely Out of Touch with Canadians


Justin Trudeau, Rachel Notley and Brad Wall are determined to continue Canada's sullied fossil fuel past but the Canadian people want a fossil free future for Canada.

An Ekos poll found the controversial Leap Manifesto has already gathered a lot of support. Among those familiar with it, as many support the call for Canada to slash carbon emissions and be completely free of fossil energy by 2050 as those opposed.


The only party whose members oppose Leap is, predictably, the Conservatives. Justin's own Liberals support leap by a two to one, 50 to 25 margin. The strongest support, the Green Party, comes in at 59% followed by the NDP at 54%.

You would think that, with numbers like these, Trudeau wouldn't be quite as spineless in caving in to the demand for ever more hazmat dilbit coursing through ever more hazmat pipelines. You might think... but.

"New Pipelines to Tidewater"


Prison culture has its own lexicon, words that have a prison-specific meaning. One of these is "bitch." In prison the word describes a person who is easily cowed and then exploited by a predator. The bitch usually winds up performing certain, oh let's call them, "favours" out of fear of what awaits if he refuses. Once you're a bitch there's no going back. Performing favours is the cost of getting by.

Why do I get this nagging feeling that the Trudeau government has got this "prison bitch" quality? They're all butch when it comes to talking tough but their talk isn't matched by their actions. It's as though somebody got to them, turned them.

Stephane Dion, res ipsa loquitor:



Sounds like a guy whose sharing a cell with Bubba.

Then there's Trudeau's environmental Jean D'Arc, Catherine McKenna who restored Canada's credibility on climate change at the Paris climate summit last December where she boldly helped lead the effort to reduce the "never exceed" warming limit from the old 2C down to just 1.5C. Oh, how we swelled with pride.

Flash forward a couple of months and McKenna is singing a different tune. Now it's "go slow." Apparently taking any meaningful action, according to McKenna, could imperil national unity. Sounds like somebody took McKenna aside for a quiet word. So, if you're wondering, here's McKenna's adjusted bottom line: "I'm not saying we destroy our planet." Cathy, it doesn't matter what you say. You people say all manner of things. You're all over the board depending on who last pulled your string. What matters is what you do and that's all that matters.

Then there's Trudeau's stalwart Transport Minister, Marc Garneau. You might recall that upon taking office, Garneau received a mandate letter from Junior directing that he implement a supertanker moratorium on northern British Columbia waters, killing the Northern Gateway hazmat pipeline before it could inflict irreparable harm on the province and its coastal ecology. There it was, deal done, done deal. A collective sigh of relief was heard along the coast.

Now, in what has become standard procedure for the Trudeau government, the tune has changed.

The project was thought to be dead -- finished off by a Liberal campaign promise to restore a long-standing moratorium on oil tanker traffic off B.C.'s north coast.

But recent comments by federal Transport Minister Marc Garneau have opponents gearing up to fight the controversial pipeline proposal again.

Speaking to Bloomberg News, Garneau was quoted Monday as saying that the government still hasn't "worked out" what a moratorium on tankers actually means. The article also quoted Garneau as saying it is "premature" to say the Northern Gateway is dead.


The government hasn't "worked out" what a moratorium means? Well, why don't you just go back and have a look at the moratorium that kept the north coast safe for years until Harper rescinded it? Sorry, Garneau, you're a bitch.

I call this here banjo "Justin" and I play it
every chance I git.

And if you need more proof of how quickly and thoroughly this has become a lickspittle government, check out Aaron Wherry's analysis piece at CBC's website, "Justin Trudeau's leadership measured by the pipeline question."

If you want to see prison bitchdom in action be sure to cursor down to the clip of National Resources minister Jim Carr.