Monday, February 17, 2020

Things Look Different From the Salish Sea


I guess it's a West Coast thing. Maybe it's the granola. The simple fact is that British Columbia is the best province in Canada. When it comes to health outcomes, if BC was a nation we'd be ranked third, a close third behind Sweden and Switzerland. We have a much better climate and an outdoors that seems to invite people outside whether it's sailing the coast, fishing for a salmon for dinner, skiing the mountains (Whistler, Blackcomb, all the rest), hiking the magnificent forests, trail riding on mountain bikes or just walking the beaches there's usually something to draw you outside.

There's an attitude, a vibe, out here on the left coast that's a bit different. Maybe it's the isolation of the multiple mountain ranges that sequester us. We're just more progressive. We have some fine progressive media outlets such as the venerable Georgia Straight, The Tyee and the surprisingly good National Observer. In a nation dominated by chains such as National Post, Bell/Globe Media and such, these indie papers are a very welcome breath of fresh air, even sanity.

There is an understated distrust of things east of the Rockies, especially governments, provincial and federal. We don't like getting steamrollered by "the east" which is pretty much everything from the foothills to the Ottawa River.

Maybe it's all of these things that explain why we're more sympathetic to protests whether it's to block a new coal port on the Fraser or First Nations standing against our government to defend the old growth forests of Clayoquot Sound, or the 1995 Shuswap/Secwepemc standoff at Gustafsen Lake. Does this sound familiar?


The Royal Canadian Mounted Police launched one of the largest police operations in Canadian history, including the deployment of four hundred tactical assault team members, five helicopters, two surveillance planes and nine Armoured Personnel Carriers. (the vehicle shown is not an APC but an AFV, an Armoured Fighting Vehicle of the sort we used in Afghanistan) The RCMP kept journalists well away from the site and some reporters became uneasy that the only side of the story being told was that preferred by the police. 
On September 11, RCMP detonated an explosive device buried in an access road to the camp, heavily damaging a supply truck being driven by occupiers. The incident resulted in a firefight that made use of the military-loaned Armoured Personnel Carriers (APCs). Non-indigenous occupier Suniva Bronson was shot in the arm during the shootout and would be the only injury in the extensive exchange of bullets. On the following day, an unarmed man crossing a field designated as a no-shoot zone was shot at by police sharp shooters. Police later admitted to this mistake. The standoff ended peacefully on September 17 when the few remaining occupiers left the site under the guidance of medicine man, John Stevens. 
By the end of the 31-day standoff, police had fired up to 77,000 rounds of ammunition, and killed a dog. One of the indigenous leaders claimed that at least one of the shooting incidents blamed on them in fact occurred when two APCs fired on one another when their view was obscured. The operation was the largest paramilitary operation in British Columbia history and cost $5.5 million.
Then, as now, more blame was attached to the federal government than was their due. Then, as now, the provincial government was NDP.

It's hard not to sympathize with the Wet'suwet'en when you see the state overplay its hand. Whether it's Coastal Gaslink (provincial NDP, LNG lobby) or the Trans-Mountain pipeline (federal Liberals, Alberta PCs, bitumen lobby) our First Nations are doing the heavy lifting and a good many of the rest of us are deeply grateful for their resistance. The Petro-State is not going to go quietly into the night. Imagine a government that declares a climate emergency one day and the very next day greenlighted a massive bitumen pipeline that it had stupidly purchased in our name.

Non-violent civil disobedience is the order of the day. I expect the Coastal Gaslink protests are just a pre-cursor to the resistance that will be sparked by Trudeau's Folly as the pseudo-green Dauphin drives his ridiculous pipeline to "tidewater."

It's like the "death of a thousand cuts." With each insult I feel more British Columbian and commensurately less Canadian. It's not the Wet'suwet'en who are undermining national unity. No, that's the handiwork of people like Trudeau and Kenney.

Sunday, February 16, 2020

An Open Letter to Bill Barr - "Be Gone"



1,100 signatures. Democrats and Republicans alike. That's quite a few. They're sending a message to Trump's lapdog Attorney General, Bill Barr - Go, Go Now.

More than 1,100 former federal prosecutors and Justice Department officials called on Attorney General William P. Barr on Sunday to step down after he intervened last week to lower the Justice Department’s sentencing recommendation for President Trump’s longtime friend Roger J. Stone Jr. 
They also urged current government employees to report any signs of unethical behavior at the Justice Department to the agency’s inspector general and to Congress. 
“Each of us strongly condemns President Trump’s and Attorney General Barr’s interference in the fair administration of justice,” the former Justice Department lawyers, who came from across the political spectrum, wrote in an open letter on Sunday. Those actions, they said, “require Mr. Barr to resign.”
... 
Even as the lawyers condemned Mr. Barr on Sunday, they said they welcomed his rebuke of Mr. Trump and his assertions that law enforcement must be independent of politics. 
But Mr. Barr’s “actions in doing the president’s personal bidding unfortunately speak louder than his words,” they said.

Saturday, February 15, 2020

Clearing Up This Nonsense About "Hereditary Chiefs"


There are still many Canadians who think the federal government is genuinely pursuing reconciliation with Canada's First Nations.

Not so much.

As Nikiforuk recently explained, colonialism is once again the order of the day.
On Thursday, the RCMP and the Canadian state came to a moral crossroads on a snowy country road and looked briefly down a pathway to reconciliation. Then it said, “Fuck it.”

As reliable agents of the Canadian state and defenders of resource extraction, the RCMP let it be known that the Trudeau government puts highly subsidized methane projects ahead of reconciliation and UN declarations.
Not surprisingly, Ottawa and Victoria are also trying to throw shade on the hereditary chiefs of the Wet'suwet'en people.  They are, after all, not the "elected" chiefs who've thrown in with Coastal Gaslink. These hereditary chiefs are just a troublesome anachronism, a throwback to an earlier time - you know, before those indians became civilized. Those hereditary chiefs don't speak for the Wet'suwet'en people, just a small faction of cranks. How dare they set up protest camps?

That's the picture our governments are working to spin into our minds. They're trying to blow smoke up your ass. Fortunately Amber Bracken, writing in Macleans, has cleared the air.
The opposing positions of the two sets of chiefs has been represented by B.C. Premier John Horgan and in the media, as a fight within the nation between the equal actors of hereditary chiefs, who defend the land, and the band chiefs, who seek escape from poverty. Premier Horgan told the CBC he doesn’t think “a handful of people can stop progress and success for people who have been waiting for a break like this for many, many years.”

But this simplification obscures the fact that both sets of chiefs are on the side of their people, working against a colonial system that seeks economic certainty and the surrender of Indigenous land.

The Wet’suwet’en are not a nation divided, they are a nation with differing opinions on the best route to a better future after history of oppression. The band councils have sought opportunity, and funding, where they can find it. But based on Wet’suwet’en and Canadian law, it’s ultimately the hereditary chiefs who have jurisdiction to the territory, and they have been clear about their aim—to assert self-governance over their land and demand a nation-to-nation relationship with Canada. It’s a move that would benefit all Wet’suwet’en.
Each set of leaders has unique jurisdiction, in the same way that municipal and provincial governments do. The band chiefs, who were imposed by the Indian Act, govern their reserves, while hereditary chiefs predate Canada, and govern the entire Wet’suwet’en territory. It’s worth noting that they are not anti-industry and have long held logging agreements.
...
A key point that project proponents emphasize, is that 20 elected band councils signed benefits agreements, a phrasing that relies on Canadians’ social conditioning—one that assumes democratic systems are fundamentally more fair.
While talking about benefits agreements, duress is inherent in the process—First Nations can’t actually say no to any project in Canada. In addition, most councils are cash-strapped, and some reported that they were told the project would go ahead with or without their consent—they might as well get on board for a payout. Leaked examples of Coastal GasLink agreements show evidence of large provincial subsidies to get First Nations on board, attempts to muzzle pipeline dissent, and to limit Aboriginal rights.
It's an important article and I urge you to read it in its entirety. It puts paid to the bona fides of our governments and the pipeline police force. All this talk about "reconciliation" is just that - talk.

Some years ago I was talking with an Australian acquaintance, a mild-mannered sort of guy, about a legal victory achieved by his country's Aborigines that was in the news. I was floored, absolutely gutted, when this fellow said that Aborigines were entitled  to "anything a white man doesn't want."  At first I thought he was making an outrageous joke. He wasn't.


It's Not Just a Bunch of Cranky Indians


A good many Canadians imagine the Wet'suwet'en/Coastal Gaslink protests are a dispute between some hereditary First Nations chiefs and a pipeline company. It is that, to be sure, but there are many layers to this unrest.

On the Wet'suwet'en side there's a loose alliance that brings together the First Nations doing the heavy lifting but supported by two other groups, young people and environmentalists. They, in turn, are getting moral support from groups such as the Council of Canadians and from progressive media outlets such as The Tyee, and the National Observer.

On the other side are the fossil energy giants (gas and oil) and governments, federal and provincial, Conservative, Liberal and NDP.

The dispute also brings into play the nature and history unique to the province and people of British Columbia. This part may be hard for some from other provinces to understand.
British Columbia's political culture has long involved strikes and protests and civil disobedience, often meant to inconvenience, usually centred around rights and race and resources.

"These have happened before and they will continue to happen," said Rod Mickleburgh, a longtime B.C. journalist who has written books on the labour movement.
A two-faced NDP government adds to the problem.
On the partisan politics side, it's another story of the NDP campaigning on progressive issues and then disappointing some of their most fervent followers.

"Once the NDP got elected for the first time in B.C [in 1972] the labour movement thought ... they were going to get everything they wanted. Well they didn't. And they were not happy about it. These are the tensions that make it just a little bit harder for them to govern."
Federal-provincial colonialism bubbles to the surface.
"B.C. as a province, for its entire history, built on its economy and its growth on the resource sector. And that always comes as a point of conflict when it comes to the issue of title around Indigenous rights," said Khelsilem, an elected Squamish Nation councillor. 
"It remains an unresolved issue and I think that that speaks to the heart of this issue."
The political calculus might not be the same for this government though, because we're in an age where young people are increasingly seeking different political options.

"There is a palpable sense of disappointment, or frankly heartbreak, by a lot of activists ... and indigenous people who in good faith hoped this government would be a little bit different," said Khelsilem, who has warned the government could lose support they've traditionally had in First Nations communities.

"They're putting a lot at risk in terms of the future."
Fractures are emerging - First Nations, young Canadians, environmentalists and progressives who are simply tired of past injustices unresolved, promises broken and a future betrayed.  It's the informal coming together of these parties based on shared or overlapping interests and concerns that may suggest the path we're on into the future.
However, it's different, argues Ben Isitt — a Victoria councillor who participated in this week's blockade of the legislature — because it's a new type of coalition, less centred around traditional labour and more focused on younger environmentalists and Indigenous leaders. 
"We're seeing those two movements come together ... giving more strength to this movement than some other ones we've seen in recent years," he said. 
Isitt, who wrote his PhD dissertation on the history of protests in B.C., also believes these demonstrators are willing to push the envelope.

"I was surprised to see, in terms of the depth of support ... the openness to militant tactics, or to more non-violent civil disobedience that the young people demonstrated."
At the beginning of this century some prominent historians wrote of the 21st century as a "century of revolution" that would see the world break out in turmoil, the old order displaced. Unfortunately, liberals, who ought to have availed themselves of the chance to lead, chose instead to stick with the easy (i.e. lazy) option - neoliberalism.  It was, in the view of many, the betrayal of progressivism by liberals that allowed rightwing populism to surface and spread.

It infuriated me, during Harper's reign, to watch as he shifted Canada's political centre well to the right. That was bad enough but then the Liberals and the NDP followed in Harper's wake. The Liberals became Conservative-Lite, the NDP opted to become Latter-Day Liberals as Layton tried to position them to form government. When Harper was ousted I fervently hoped that the new Liberal government would even Canada's political keel but, instead, it was content with the country listing to starboard.

With Canada in the throes of a looming climate crisis, what is there for young people in the main political parties? What does the petro-state of Canada have in store for them? They can read. They know that we have less than a decade to halve our greenhouse gas emissions. They're not interested in empty promises about what we'll do by 2050. Their necks are on the block now. Deeds not words. Today those deeds take the form of pipelines and pit mines, tailing ponds and orphan wells, massive wildfires, droughts and floods.

The Liberals, the Conservatives and, yes, the New Democrats are writing the future for today's young people and the generations to follow and they know it's being written indelibly to suit the boomers, the millennials, the Gen-Xers,  at their expense. Of course they resort to "militant tactics." What choice do they have?

Friday, February 14, 2020

Well That's Awkward



British Columbia's NDP government was deservedly proud of itself when, last November, BC became the first Canadian province to adopt the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples. It was passed unanimously to much thumping and applause.

But, of course, that was last November. It's now February and not even the same year. Three months is a long time. Things change. Everyone knows that. It was all done with the best of intentions to be sure but, you know...

You see, everybody is getting hung up on Article 10 of the declaration:
Indigenous peoples shall not be forcibly removed from their lands or territories. No relocation shall take place without the free, prior and informed consent of the indigenous peoples concerned and after agreement on just and fair compensation and, where possible, with the option of return.
Everyone knows that no rule is ever really absolute. There have to be exceptions. Like pipeline companies, for example. Surely they have a superior competing interest, right? Just because there's a law saying something else doesn't make it so, eh?

Now the Feds are Backpeddling on Open Pen Fish Farms.



What am I saying? Of course, it's the BC coast. Why would anyone expect the Trudeau government to keep its promise?  From The Narwhal:
Following an outcry from the salmon farming industry, the Trudeau government has backed away from its election campaign commitment to phase out open net pen salmon farming on B.C.’s West Coast by 2025.

Jane Deeks, press secretary for Bernadette Jordan, Minister of Fisheries and Oceans, confirmed in an email to The Narwhal that a transition plan will be developed by 2025 but open net pen salmon farms will not be removed by that date.

“Our government is working on a responsible plan to transition the industry away from open net-pen salmon farming in B.C., and we have committed to developing this plan by 2025,” Deeks said in an email in response to questions from The Narwhal. 
“Our government will not impose drastic, systemic change on Canadian communities,” Deeks said. “We believe that the best policies come from meaningful engagement with those who will be directly affected.”
"Meaningful engagement"? I thought that meant Mounties in full combat gear with assault rifles and snipers.
Following the escape of hundreds of thousands of salmon from an open net pen farm in 2017, the state of Washington committed to phasing out all open net pen Atlantic salmon farming operations by 2025.

The state also stopped hundreds of thousands of salmon infected with an Icelandic strain of piscine orthoreovirus (PRV) from being transferred to the farms, saying wild salmon could be at risk.

Both Fisheries and Oceans Canada (DFO) and the B.C. Salmon Farmers Association maintain the piscine orthoreovirus is no cause for concern.

In B.C., infected fish are still transferred to ocean pens even though a June 2018 DFO study suggested “migratory chinook salmon may be at more than a minimal risk of disease from exposure to the high levels of PRV occurring on salmon farms.”

Johns said the Trudeau government’s revised commitment to develop a plan by 2025 is “simply not good enough.”

“It’s not acceptable. Our wild salmon simply cannot wait. We have had a catastrophic year.” 
Last year’s Fraser River salmon returns were the lowest in recorded history, Johns noted. Only 300 chinook returned to Clayoquot Sound last year and Skeena River salmon were “decimated,” he said. In the Alouette River in Maple Ridge, 60,000 chum were expected last year but only 500 returned.

“We have a government that is not dealing with it as the crisis that it is,” Johns said.

“We have a salmon emergency taking place in British Columbia, and this will be the government that will watch our salmon go the way of our Atlantic cod. It will be under their watch, because inaction is something that will lead to it.”

America's Emperor Defends His Throne



Even Trump's loyal handmaiden thinks the president goes too far by meddling in the administration of justice. A.G. Bill Barr recently complained that Trump's incessant tweets, weighing in on cases before the courts, makes Barr's job "impossible."

Trump's response? So what.
In a morning tweet, Mr. Trump quoted Mr. Barr saying that the president “has never asked me to do anything in a criminal case.” The president said he had “so far chosen” not to interfere in a criminal case even though he insisted that he was not legally bound to do so. 
“This doesn’t mean that I do not have, as President, the legal right to do so, I do, but I have so far chosen not to!” he said. 
Though he and Mr. Barr both said the president has not directly asked for any specific inquiries, Mr. Trump has long pressured law enforcement officials both publicly and privately to open investigations into political rivals and to drop inquiries. Mr. Trump also pressed former Attorney General Jeff Sessions to retake control of the Russia investigation after he recused himself.
He's "chosen not to" meddle? Only in his bizarre little mind.
His claim in Friday’s tweet that he has “so far chosen” not to interfere in criminal cases is contradicted by a record of his actions during the his three years in office. 
Robert S. Mueller III, the special counsel in the Russian election interference inquiry, documented numerous instances in which the president sought to obstruct justice as federal investigators examined the activities of Mr. Trump’s White House advisers and former campaign aides. In his final report, Mr. Mueller said that Justice Department rules did not allow sitting presidents to be indicted.

Ever Heard of a "Splatometer"?



This summer will mark my 55th year of (lawfully) riding motorcycles. I've ridden through a lot of countries, mainly the UK, Western Europe, a bit of northwest Africa, North America (east to west, north to south, rinse, repeat) and other places.  You can't do that without inadvertently eating your fair share of bugs, insects. It used to be that, following a full day of riding, you would be decorated with insect remains from your helmet, on your sunglasses or goggles, your jacket and pants, they were everywhere. They usually made a proper mess of your headlight.

Over the last several years that's changed. The gauntlet is not as it once was. There are fewer insects, a lot fewer.
Two scientific studies of the number of insects splattered by cars have revealed a huge decline in abundance at European sites in two decades. 
The research adds to growing evidence of what some scientists have called an “insect apocalypse”, which is threatening a collapse in the natural world that sustains humans and all life on Earth. A third study shows plummeting numbers of aquatic insects in streams. 
The survey of insects hitting car windscreens in rural Denmark used data collected every summer from 1997 to 2017 and found an 80% decline in abundance. It also found a parallel decline in the number of swallows and martins, birds that live on insects. 
The second survey, in the UK county of Kent in 2019, examined splats in a grid placed over car registration plates, known as a “splatometer”. This revealed 50% fewer impacts than in 2004.
That may be good news for those who dash about with their heads in the slipstream but it's not good news for everybody else.

Our warming atmosphere is suspected as the main culprit behind the collapse of insect populations. Light pollution is thought to be another major factor. And, while we don't pay much attention to these bugs, the simple fact is that human civilization can't last without them.


News From the Front - Earth Heats Up, Oceans Speed Up.



We just experienced the hottest January on record. 2.5 F, 1.14 C, above the 20th century average. Meanwhile the continent that exemplifies 'cold' is breaking records this month. Antarctica logged a record 20 degrees Celsius on February 9th.

Scientists warned that Antarctica's Thwaites glacier is melting faster than predicted thanks to warmer sea water eating away at its edges. The glacier is thought to be the 'cork in the bottle' that holds much larger ice sheets from slipping into the ocean. If these other glaciers go it is estimated we'll be dealing with about 11 feet of sea level rise.

The warming sea water helping to melt the Thwaites glacier isn't an isolated phenomenon. The oceans are warming everywhere, absorbing more heat as our atmosphere continues to heat. Another knock-on effect of this atmospheric heating is stronger winds. A knock-on effect of those stronger winds, is a speeding up of ocean currents including the ocean currents at work on the Thwaites glacier.
A study published ...in Science Advances finds that global ocean circulation has been accelerating since the 1990s. The study examined decades of observations from instruments that monitor the seas’ kinetic energy—a measurement of how fast the water is moving. 
A closer look, region by region, suggests that much of the acceleration is happening in the tropics. And circulation also appears to be speeding up in other swaths of the Atlantic, Indian and Pacific oceans. 
There are still some parts of the ocean that either aren’t speeding up or are actually slowing down, the study notes. But on the whole, as a global average, the waters are moving faster and faster. 
The reason is accelerating winds. 
Multiple studies have suggested recently that winds over the oceans are speeding up. And because winds are some of the primary forces that drive ocean circulation, they’re also causing the seas to move faster.

More to come?
...
More climate change may mean a greater strengthening of ocean winds, and potentially even faster ocean circulation.
The implications of faster oceans are still unclear, according to lead study author Shijian Hu, a scientist with the Chinese Academy of Sciences. In an email to E&E News, he noted that faster circulation could change the way heat and nutrients are transported around the world. That could potentially alter global weather patterns and affect marine ecosystems.
There is one major current that is still slowing down, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation or AMOC. This current affects weather patterns in the Northern Hemisphere.
Studies disagree about exactly how long the AMOC has been slowing and what factors are responsible. Some researchers suggest that the AMOC goes through long-term, natural cycles of slowing and accelerating, and the recent slowdown is part of the cycle. 
But many scientists believe that climate change is playing a strong role. They suggest that cold, fresh meltwater from the Greenland ice sheet is disrupting the current’s flow and causing it to slow down. Modeling studies suggest this effect may worsen in the future if the ice sheet melts at faster rates.

One other thing. As we continue to add ever more greenhouse gas to the atmosphere, more heat and CO2 are absorbed by our oceans. It's called 'ocean acidification.' This lowering of pH in sea water is playing hell with marine life. The latest victim is the Pacific Dungeness crab. 
...the increased concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere directly lowers the pH of the ocean and makes it more acidic. This increased acidity acts to dissolve calcium carbonate, the “bones” of most organisms in the ocean. Organisms with exoskeletons (like crabs) are especially susceptible to more acidic water because their calcium carbonate shell is in direct contact with ocean water.
Here on Vancouver Island, ocean acidification is impacting shellfish operations, particularly scallop farms. 

Thursday, February 13, 2020

Elizabeth May Asks "Why?"


Former Green Party leader Elizabeth May wants to know what's behind the Liberal government's decision to acquire the Trans-Mountain pipeline, a.k.a. "Trudeau's Folly."

Among other things, May wants to know why Ottawa handed Kinder Morgan $4.4 billion for an asset the Parliamentary Budget Office values at just $2.8 billion.

Buying an old (67 years old) and leaky pipeline in order to take over a private sector project that had hit the rocks was hardly smart. But overpaying for it to the extent that the Liberals did was an act of political desperation. 
The news coverage downplays the reality that Ian Anderson, CEO of Trans Mountain Corp., the Crown corporation in charge of the project, happens to be the former president of Kinder Morgan Canada. Trans Mountain’s parent, Canada Development Investment Corporation, bought Kinder Morgan’s assets with a $5.2 billion loan from Export Development Corporation. This was considered a “non-budgetary transaction.” As such, it did not need to be a line item in Finance Minister Bill Morneau’s budget. Nor did it need to be debated or voted by Parliament.
May says the signs were obvious that Kinder Morgan had no interest in building the new pipeline.
Instead of heeding those signs, the Liberals paid a price exceeding the old pipeline’s value in order to take on a project that Kinder Morgan had clearly decided would not fly.
The Liberals wanted more than anything to prove they could get the pipeline built. One can only imagine the glee of the Texas oil men when they realized they could sell the old pipeline for nearly twice what it was worth. 
When Kinder Morgan kidnapped its own project to demand a guarantee — or else — they were not looking for ransom. They wanted to shoot the hostage. Being able to blame a third party when they abandoned the project could avoid penalties under long-term contracts Kinder Morgan had signed. 
But the reckless behaviour with public funds does not end with the announcement in May 2018 that the Government of Canada was buying the pipeline for $4.4 billion.
On Aug. 30, 2018, the Federal Court of Appeal struck down the pipeline permits ruling that not only did the Liberal government violate Indigenous rights leading to the quashing of the permit, Kinder Morgan itself violated indigenous rights. In other words, the vendor contributed to the devaluing of the asset, and we should never have paid $4.4 billion without re-negotiating the price.
Yet, without any explanation, Finance Minister Bill Morneau cut a cheque for $4.4 billion to Kinder Morgan the very next day, Aug. 31, with no closing date for purchase and sale of the pipeline. 
We overpaid not once, but twice. 
What is most galling to me is that our public funds are being used to brow-beat First Nations along the route into signing benefit agreements. One elected council member of a First Nation that is fighting the project told me recently that they are being “bombarded” by the now government-owned Trans Mountain with offers of millions of dollars to agree to the project. 
Those are public dollars being used to coerce acceptance of a project most Indigenous nations do not want to accept. And yet every time a First Nation accepts a benefit agreement, politicians celebrate it claiming Indigenous people want the project. That is the case in some instances, but it seems like the latest form of oppression and colonialism: Refuse to listen to Indigenous objections, convince people the project is inevitable and use our money to bribe and coerce.
The Big Lie.
The Trans Mountain pipeline remains a project outside market forces. The arguments for it rest on misconceptions and propaganda. It will not get a higher price at “tidewater.” Bitumen is inevitably expensive to produce with low value in the marketplace. As the carbon bubble bursts, these expensive “assets” will be the first to be stranded — uneconomical and unusable. Pursuing it blows our Paris commitments while squandering public funds. 
It is not too late to ask the question: what could be done with the further $13 billion? Could we not do more for the Alberta economy in cleaning up toxic abandoned wells and mines, as well as tailings ponds in northern Alberta? Could we not fund green and renewable energy? Ensure clean drinking water for every First Nation? Ensure we have an electricity grid to move 100% renewable energy from province to province? 
How much is too much? In my view, a single penny more is too much.
The government has a lot of explaining to do. Why did it so grossly overpay the Boys from Enron for a pipeline they were desperate to unload? Why did it manipulate the pipeline approval process, calling senior public servants into a room and telling them to endorse it? Why has the government never produced "the science" it claims to have showing dilbit to be safe? Where are these eager Asian markets for bitumen, markets willing to pay vastly more than world oil price for our high-carbon, hard-to-process, low-value sludge? How will the end use of these high-carbon products impact the climate and our hopes of averting climate catastrophe? What is plan B if bitumen becomes a "stranded asset"?  When and how are they going to clean up the ticking time bomb of the Athabasca Tar Sands tailing ponds that threaten to turn the Mackenzie River watershed into a giant Love Canal?

When will they come clean to the Canadian people?


February Will Be Remembered As the Month the Worm Turned On the Petro-State


What a month it has been for the Oil Patch and we're not even halfway through.

It began on the 2nd when CNBC's brash investment guru, Jim Cramer, pronounced the death knell for fossil fuels.
"You can tell that the world's turned on them, and it's actually kind of happening very quickly," said Cramer. "You're seeing divestiture by a lot of different funds. It's going to be a parade ... that says look, 'These are tobacco, and we're not going to own them.'"
That same day the CBC reported on an exodus of young people leaving Calgary.

One day earlier it was reported that Chevron was taking a 2 billion dollar (USD) write off on its investment in the Kitimat LNG venture the company was struggling to offload.
“Our assessment on the Kitimat project is, given all the other developments out there in the world, that one was going to be tough to compete versus our alternatives,” [CEO Michael] Wirth said during a conference call with industry analysts on Friday.
And, yes, in case you were wondering, this is the same project associated with the Coastal Gaslink pipeline. Chevron 's decision had nothing to do with the Wet'suwet'en protests. It's not the First Nations that are undermining the venture. We need $9/million BTU to break even. The Asian markets are now paying about $5.5/million BTU. It's a huge money loser and that's why Chevron has been so desperate to get out - if only it can find someone to buy their interest.  Good luck.

The next bombshell came on the 6th of February when BlackRock, the world's largest investment management company, notified the CEOs of the world's largest companies, that it was exiting high-carbon fossil fuels.
“Awareness is rapidly changing, and I believe we are on the edge of a fundamental reshaping of finance,” [BlackRock CEO Larry] Fink wrote in the letter, which was obtained by The New York Times. “The evidence on climate risk is compelling investors to reassess core assumptions about modern finance.”
That week closed out with a report that the Trudeau government had underestimated the cost of constructing the new Trans-Mountain pipeline, a.k.a. Trudeau's Folly, by a smidge - if you consider 70 per cent a smidge. The feds had tried in vain to unload the TMX on the private sector but no takers. What do you think their chances are now of getting this millstone off the necks of the Canadian public?  Oopsie, they f--ked up!

Then the New York Times dropped a bombshell yesterday, reporting that the financial and insurance giants had given a big thumbs down to Alberta, Athabasca and, specifically, bitumen. This time there was no grey area, no wiggle room. It was the Tar Sands, DOA - dead on arrival.
on Wednesday BlackRock, the worlds largest asset manager, said that one of its fast-growing green-oriented funds would stop investing in companies that get revenue from the Alberta oil sands.  
“If you look at how destructive oil sands can be, there’s a very strong rationale,” Armando Senra, head of BlackRock’s iShares Americas funds, said in an interview, saying that Alberta’s oil fields, along with coal, are “the worst offenders, if you want, from a climate perspective.”
And the giant insurance companies also want no part of Athabasca bitumen or the companies that operate there.
It wasn’t just financing that suddenly seemed at risk. Some of the world’s largest insurance companies, including AXA, Swiss RE and Zurich Insurance, announced they would stop providing coverage to projects in the oil sands, which are sometimes referred to as tar sands, as well as no longer investing money in those projects. 
In December, the American insurer The Hartford said it would no longer insure or invest in companies that get more than a quarter of their revenue from oil sands or thermal coal mining. “We selected coal and tar sands because they have been identified as leading contributors to carbon emissions,” said David Robinson, the company’s general counsel.
Jason Kenney wasn't going to take Wall Street's rejection lying down. If they boycott Alberta, he fumed, Alberta would boycott them. As if.

The Tories were always going to be on the wrong side of bitumen. Their base is Alberta. Bitumen is their manna from heaven. It is the heart and soul of everything from the Calgary Petroleum Club to the Stampede.

The Liberals, by contrast, chose to back bitumen. Ignatieff proclaimed Athabasca the "beating heart of the Canadian economy for the 21st century."  Then, three years ago next month, Trudeau flew to Houston to assure the oil barons that "no country would find 173-billion barrels of oil (sic) in the ground and just leave them there." He was onside. He was their boy.

Now that hazmat-laden, bituminous sludge is reviled in boardrooms and stock markets around the world. Who knew? Who could've known? Well, as it turns out, lots of people. People who our political caste, federal and provincial, have chosen to ignore.

People like Mark Carney and his predecessor at the Bank of England and their counterpart at the Bank of France, have been warning anyone who would listen that stock markets and bourses around the world are sitting on a lethal time bomb in the form of investments in fossil fuel reserves of some $27 trillion. And climate scientists have warned, repeatedly, that if the world is to avert utter climate catastrophe, that bitumen has to be left in the ground. There's no other choice.

What's next for the federal government? When Trudeau returns from his tour to persuade Africans to support our bid for a seat on the Security Council, he will have to deal with the proposed Teck mega-mine that promises to jack up Canadian bitumen production. The science types have already said it's a climate wrecker. Now Justin has to decide whether to greenlight it and he's got Jason breathing down his neck.

There are no easy answers for the Dauphin. There certainly are no good answers. He has a record of yielding to the expedient rather than doing what's right, at least when that might jeopardize his and his party's fortunes. It's been a busy month. He's got a lot to mull over.

My guess is that Trudeau will find some excuse to defer any decision on the Teck mine. If BlackRock is right, maybe they'll put the Tar Sands out of their misery. Then there's Trudeau's Folly. A skeptical mind could suspect that the feds went to keep that pipeline from being abandoned in order to keep the Teck mine venture from collapsing. Hard to say. As Nikiforuk showed a few months ago, there's ample capacity in the existing TMX to handle bitumen shipments to the coast. The huge expansion of TMX must have had some production venture in mind. But, if BlackRock has foreseen the end of Athabasca, then the federal government clearly zigged when it ought to have zagged on the bitumen pipeline.

We know what Jason has in mind. His war room. He'll be launching into a frenzy of rage (he's actually pretty good at it) over foreign meddling or eastern betrayal. He'll be setting up straw men as fast as he can. His quest to become the King of Canada hangs in the balance.

Wednesday, February 12, 2020

How Is He Not Dead?




Donald Trump was in Manchester, New Hampshire, on Monday when he swung by the Red Arrow Diner for lunch.

Trump ordered the 'Newton Burger,' a burger topped by mac and cheese between two grilled cheese sandwiches in lieu of a bun. Oh yeah, and an order of fries.  This is what he got:


Tell me how president Gutload isn't dead?  A fat burger patty topped with mac and cheese served between two grilled cheese sandwiches plus a generous order of fries. That's a cardiac arrest on a plate. Why won't he do the world a favor and just up and die?

Another Body Blow for Athabasca, Jason Kenney, and Pipeline Boy



The world's financial giants can smell a bad bet. They know when the smell turns bad the smart move is to get out - fast. From The New York Times:

Some of the world’s largest financial institutions have stopped putting their money behind oil production in the Canadian province of Alberta, home to one of the world’s most extensive, and also dirtiest, oil reserves. 
In December, the insurance giant The Hartford said it would stop insuring or investing in oil production in the province, just weeks after Sweden’s central bank said it would stop holding Alberta’s bonds. And on Wednesday BlackRock, the worlds largest asset manager, said that one of its fast-growing green-oriented funds would stop investing in companies that get revenue from the Alberta oil sands. 
They are the latest in a flood of banks, pension funds and global investment houses starting to pull away from fossil-fuel investments amid growing pressure to show they are doing something to fight climate change. 
“If you look at how destructive oil sands can be, there’s a very strong rationale,” Armando Senra, head of BlackRock’s iShares Americas funds, said in an interview, saying that Alberta’s oil fields, along with coal, are “the worst offenders, if you want, from a climate perspective.”
Jason Kenney has lashed back, saying that if the financial giants boycott bitumen, why he'll just boycott them right back. Apparently nobody much cares about Jason's threats. The silly bugger's broke. They're not.
The oil sands have long been a target of environmentalists’ ire. But in 2017, the campaign against them shifted to the world of finance. That summer, the largest pension fund in Sweden, AP7, said it had divested from TransCanada, the company building Keystone XL, a pipeline to carry crude from the oil sands to the United States.

Other international lenders followed, announcing they would divest not only from pipelines but from oil-sands extraction projects as well. They include BNP Paribas Group and Société Générale of France, and Norway’s sovereign wealth fund.
It wasn’t just financing that suddenly seemed at risk. Some of the world’s largest insurance companies, including AXA, Swiss RE and Zurich Insurance, announced they would stop providing coverage to projects in the oil sands, which are sometimes referred to as tar sands, as well as no longer investing money in those projects. 
In December, the American insurer The Hartford said it would no longer insure or invest in companies that get more than a quarter of their revenue from oil sands or thermal coal mining. “We selected coal and tar sands because they have been identified as leading contributors to carbon emissions,” said David Robinson, the company’s general counsel.
Does that mean bitumen really isn't "just oil"?  But wait, it's "ethical" oil. Ezra Levant says so.

But what about Jason's massive tailing ponds? If Athabasca goes down who is going to pay for the cleanup? The same people who'll wind up paying for it even if Athabasca doesn't go down - taxpayers. Justin hasn't got that kind of money. Jason doesn't have that kind of money.  In case you're wondering, as of right now the total volume of those toxic tailings is 1.54 trillion litres.

Who Wins, the Wet'suwet'en or the Rule of Law?


I 'get' both sides of the argument over the Wet'suwet'en roadblocks in protest of the Coastal Gaslink pipeline. I understand why First Nations and others are staging protests across the country in support of the Wet'suwet'en cause. I also understand the "rule of law" arguments and that these coast to coast protests are causing some economic harm.

Then I draw back and look at the bigger picture. Coastal Gaslink and that other pipeline, Trudeau's Folly, look very different when you think in terms of climate change, the thawing Arctic permafrost and that methane bomb, the wildfires that now ravage the Canadian west, and the very real prospect that our fossil fuel fetish could trigger a mass extinction of life on Earth.

It's when you step back that you see Coastal Gaslink, and Trudeau's Trans-Mountain pipeline, and the proposed Teck bitumen mega-mine in a much clearer light. That's when all my reservations about the Wet'suwet'en roadblocks evaporate.

Then there's this bleating response from the prime minister:
"We recognize the important democratic right — and will always defend it — of peaceful protest. But we are also a country of the rule of law, and we need to make sure those laws are respected."
That's "but" as in 'everything up to this point is bullshit.' He's really good at bullshit. Remember his promises about "social licence" and "First Nations reconciliation"?  Yeah, more bullshit.

The Wet'suwet'en cause doesn't end at Trudeau's "rule of law" bullshit.

The Wisdom of Thomas Jefferson.


"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots & tyrants."

With democracy in America failing (if it's not already dead), the American people should recall the days long before somebody like Donald Trump could be elected president. 

Americans are proud of their Founding Fathers. Their Supreme Court likes nothing better than to pretend to interpret the law as the Founding Fathers spoke of it.  

Now that America has accepted an imperial presidency, what wisdom can be had from the founding of that nation? 

What about Thomas Jefferson, author of the Declaration of Independence. He had a lot to say:

"Prudence, indeed, will dictate that governments long established, should not be changed for light and transient causes; and, accordingly, all experience [has] shown that mankind are more disposed to suffer while evils are sufferable than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. But, when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same object, evinces a design to reduce [the people] under absolute despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such government, and to provide new guards for their future security."

"When patience has begotten false estimates of its motives, when wrongs are pressed because it is believed they will be borne, resistance becomes morality."

"Rebellion to tyrants is obedience to God."

"We are not to expect to be translated from despotism to liberty in a feather-bed."

"A first attempt to recover the right of self-government may fail, so may a second, a third, etc. But as a younger and more instructed race comes on, the sentiment becomes more and more intuitive, and a fourth, a fifth, or some subsequent one of the ever renewed attempts will ultimately succeed... To attain all this, however, rivers of blood must yet flow, and years of desolation pass over; yet the object is worth rivers of blood and years of desolation. For what inheritance so valuable can man leave to his posterity?"

"Postpone to the great object of Liberty every smaller motive and passion."
What would Thomas Jefferson have made of America's 'Great Orange Bloat' with his despotic ways?

----

Yes, now, I know there are those who can't wait to remind me that Jefferson was far from perfect. Yes, he not only had slaves he had his way with some of them. And he didn't really believe that business about all men being created equal. He didn't even believe that all white men were created equal. I've read Nancy Isenberg's "White Trash." I bought it, paid good money for it.  I know that stuff so, please, don't try to hijack this post.

Instead, treat yourself to a giggle:



And Now a Word From the Australien Government

Too soon? Nah.

Tuesday, February 11, 2020

Another Nail in American Democracy's Coffin


It's been hard to ignore how America's Department of Justice has been corrupted by Trump appointee, William Barr. The justice department is independent of the executive branch or at least it was until Barr put it at the Mango Mussolini's beck and call. Justice in America is now whatever Donald Trump says it is and AG Barr always gives Donald what he wants.

Four DoJ prosecutors have had enough of the Trump/Barr connivance. They quit in protest. At issue was the sentencing of Trump dirty trickster, Roger Stone, who stands convicted of a gamut of political crimes including witness tampering, lying to Congress and obstruction of a House investigation.

Yesterday prosecutors argued that Stone should receive a sentence of imprisonment for seven to nine years. Trump, who doesn't hold to the independence of the DoJ, took to twitter to rail on about the unfairness of Stone's treatment.

Barr, once again, rolled over on command of his imperial master, King Donald.
Four lawyers who prosecuted Roger Stone quit the case Tuesday after the U.S. Justice Department said it would take the extraordinary step of lowering the amount of prison time it would seek for President Donald Trump’s long-time ally and confidant. 
The decision by the Justice Department came just hours after Trump complained that the recommended sentence for Stone was “very horrible and unfair.” The Justice Department said the sentencing recommendation was made Monday night – before Trump’s tweet – and prosecutors had not spoken to the White House about it. 
The four lawyers, including two who were early members of special counsel Robert Mueller’s Russia team, had made up the Justice Department’s trial team and had signed onto a Monday court filing that recommended up to nine years in prison for Stone. 
The department’s decision to back off the sentencing recommendation raised questions about political interference and whether Trump’s views hold unusual sway over the Justice Department, which is meant to operate independently of the White House in criminal investigations and prosecutions.
Attorney General William Barr has been a steady ally of Trump’s, clearing the president of obstruction of justice even when special counsel Robert Mueller had pointedly declined to do so and declaring that the FBI’s Russia investigation – which resulted in charges against Stone – had been based on a “bogus narrative.”
As Attorney Generals go, Bill Bar is as shamelessly bent as they come. He has not hesitated to corrupt the administration of justice in the United States. Trump couldn't be happier.

The Government Says Canada Can Get Another 20 Years Out of Those Clapped-Out Subs. Well, Maybe.


When Britain's Royal Navy deployed their new, Upholder-class attack subs they retired them in short order. The boats were commissioned into service in 1990, 1991, 1992 and 1993. So unimpressed were the Brits they tied them up at the quay in 1994 and left them there. They tried to flog them and almost shopped them to Pakistan but no luck. Then, in 1998, along came Canada and we've had them ever since.

Like the Brits, we too have left those subs either tied up or in dry dock. Think of them as Jean Chretien's white elephant. We have spent a fortune on Cold War-era submarines that don't work worth a tinker's dam.

We've been told, off and on, that, 22 years later, the navy has finally got them sorted out. Maybe, maybe not. The government claims we'll get another 20 years out of them.

The government may be right, judging by last year's results. Of the four boats, not one spent a single day at sea in 2019. Not one day.
The Liberal government's 2017 defence policy does not envision replacing the subs until 2040, but a written statement recently put before the House of Commons indicates the navy wants to keep the boats "operationally effective until the mid-2030s."
They want to keep the boats operationally effective. They've never been operationally effective.  What these boats have taught us over the past 22 years is that we perceive no significant, much less urgent, need for submarines.

Submarines have a limited shelf-life. When they're running and at sea, the pressure on a submerged hull takes a toll. Maybe the hulls of our boats have been spared that wear and tear.
The commander of the navy, Vice-Admiral Art McDonald, said that after some early struggles the submarine program has reached what he described as "a steady state," and he's convinced the boats can be operated safely for years to come.

Monday, February 10, 2020

Seattle Council Bans Winter Evictions


By a 7-0 vote, Seattle city council has approved a motion to ban residential evictions during the three coldest winter months. It remains to be seen whether the mayor, who is opposed to the motion, will use her veto or allow it to pass into law.

Before voting 7-0, the council trimmed the period covered by the legislation from five months to three months; limited the rule to low- and moderate-income tenants; and exempted landlords with four or fewer housing units. The legislation was meant to prevent most residential evictions during the coldest months.

Sooo Predictable. Kenney Tries to Rattle Trudeau's Chain. Wexit, Fear Wexit.



Jason Kenney is trying to pressure Justin Trudeau to greenlight the Teck bitumen mine by threatening dire consequences if he doesn't.
In a letter to Trudeau, hand-delivered to Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland last week, Kenney said he expects to see the project approved because its emissions would fall well below the 100 megatonnes cap Alberta has promised to impose on its oilsands sector as part of the pan-Canadian climate framework. 
"There is, quite simply, no reason specific to this project that would justify denying federal cabinet approval for the Frontier project," Kenney said in a letter to Trudeau obtained by CBC News. 
"Here in Alberta," Kenney wrote, a cabinet rejection "of our most important industry and could raise roiling Western alienation to a boiling point — something I know your government has been attentive to since the election." 
The premier said he's frustrated by the fact that some Liberal MPs have suggested the provincial cap isn't the benchmark for approving natural resources projects any longer — that the federal government must decide instead whether the project is compatible with the government's goal of achieving net-zero emissions by 2050.  
Wexit, my arse. If they want to learn the meaning of "landlocked" that's the way to find out.

Out of the Dust from the Collapse of Neoliberalism Comes...


A pundit wrote that Trump is not some fluke, an aberration. He is instead the culmination of a process of decay that began decades ago. Trump, or someone of his odious ilk, was an inevitability.

Noam Chomsky was interviewed at Truthout recently. He contends that we're now witnessing the collapse of the neoliberal order. Some of us might have desperately hoped that would herald a restoration of progressive democracy. Instead, Chomsky points out, as neoliberalism falters, authoritarianism steps into the vacuum.

What might be debatable is whether [Trump] is indeed the most dangerous criminal in human history (which happens to be my personal view). Hitler had been perhaps the leading candidate for this honor. His goal was to rid the German-run world of Jews, Roma, homosexuals and other “deviants,” along with tens of millions of Slav “Untermenschen.” But Hitler was not dedicated with fervor to destroying the prospects of organized human life on Earth in the not-distant future (along with millions of other species). 
Trump is. And those who think he doesn’t know what he’s doing haven’t been looking closely. 
Is that a wild and ludicrous exaggeration? Or the very simple and apparent truth? It’s not difficult to figure out the answer. We’ve discussed it often before. There is no need to review what is happening on Trump’s watch while he devotes every effort to accelerating the race to catastrophe, trailed by such lesser lights as Brazil’s Jair Bolsonaro and Australia’s Scott Morrison.
... 
Trump’s war on organized life on Earth is only the barest beginning. More narrowly, in recent days, the Chosen One has issued executive orders ridding the country of the plague of regulations that protect children from mercury poisoning and preserve the country’s water supplies and lands, along with other impediments to further enrichment of Trump’s primary constituency, extreme wealth and corporate power.

On the side, he has been casually proceeding to dismantle the last vestiges of the arms control regime that has provided some limited degree of security from terminal nuclear war, eliciting cheers from the military industry. And as we have just learned, the great pacifist who is committed to end interventions “dropped more bombs and other munitions in Afghanistan last year than any other year since documentation began in 2006, Air Force data shows.”
Chomsky on why Sanders is a perceived threat to establishment Democrats.
Even more threatening than Sanders’s proposals to carry forward New Deal-style policies, I think, is his inspiring a popular movement that is steadily engaged in political action and direct activism to change the social order — a movement of people, mostly young, who have not internalized the norms of liberal democracy: that the public are “ignorant and meddlesome outsiders” who are to be “spectators, not participants in action,” entitled to push a lever every four years but are then to return to their TV sets and video games while the “responsible men” look after serious matters. 
This is a fundamental principle of democracy as expounded by prominent and influential liberal 20th–century American intellectuals, who took cognizance of “the stupidity of the average man” and recognized that we should not be deluded by “democratic dogmatisms about men being the best judges of their own interests.” They are not; we are — the “responsible men,” the “intelligent minority.” The “bewildered herd” must therefore be “put in their place” by “necessary illusions” and “emotionally potent simplifications.”

The demise of neoliberalism and the advent of chaos.
As the neoliberal order is visibly collapsing, it is giving rise to “morbid symptoms” (to borrow Gramsci’s famous phrase when the fascist plague was looming). Among these are the spread of authoritarianism and the far right. More generally, what we are witnessing is quite understandable anger, resentment and contempt for the political institutions that have implemented the neoliberal assault — but also the rise of activist movements that seek to overcome the ills of global society and to stem and reverse the race to destruction. 
The confrontation could hardly have been exhibited more dramatically than by the appearance of Greta Thunberg [at Davos] immediately after the most powerful man in the world — the leader in the race to destruction — had admonished the Masters to disdain the “heirs of yesterday’s foolish fortune tellers” (virtually 100 percent of climate scientists) and to take up his wrecking ball.

A "Harper-Whipped Throwback"



That's how Michael Harris sees Tory leadership hopeful, Peter MacKay.
He can’t speak French, he views the media as either a vanity mirror or the enemy, and a rubber boot has more ideas.

So why is Peter MacKay the favourite to become the next leader of the Conservative Party of Canada? 
Chaos. The truth is the CPC is a hot mess at the moment. It is desperately looking for the stability of a well-known party figure to restore order. Pierre Poilievre, Rona Ambrose, and Jean Charest didn’t want the job. That is the best thing MacKay has going for him, no serious rivals, and trouble in the CPC family.
...
At his official campaign launch, MacKay couldn’t even manage token French, those dreadful, memorized, stumbling mutilations of the language politicians try to pass off as fluency when in Quebec. He was roasted in Quebec papers for his illiterate assertion “J’ai sera candidate.” The Journal de Quebec responded with the headline “Good Luck Mister.” 
How could a guy live and work in Ottawa for more than a decade and still not be coherent in one of the country’s two official languages? 
That is a question that becomes all the more damning, because so much language-training is available to MPs and cabinet ministers in the nation’s capital.
...
MacKay has yesterday’s solutions to tomorrow’s problems. That hardly passes the “Greta” test, and none of it will fly with young Canadians.

MacKay is no more electable outside the semi-friendly confines of the CPC than Harper was in 2015. The party has learned nothing from consecutive electoral defeats. It continues to blame “messaging” instead of piss poor, out of touch policy. And marching in a gay pride parade one day before Conservatives pick their leader at the convention, as MacKay has said he will, looks more like optics than a change of heart.

... 
His signature move as a Progressive Conservative was to abandon the party’s traditions, the better to embrace the Reform vision of Harper. It was not a merger so much as a surrender.
To diehard Progressive Conservatives like David Orchard, it was also treachery. In presiding over the demise of the PC party, MacKay did exactly what he promised Orchard he would not do — lead the party into merger oblivion. 
As for the value of MacKay’s resume as a Harper cabinet minister, it is highly dubious. It was MacKay who named Michael Sona as the culprit in the Guelph robocalls scandal — and he did it before Sona had been formally charged. That is not normally what justice ministers do. 
As minister of defence, MacKay became famous for being photographed hopping in and out of the cockpit of a fake F-35 Stealth fighter jet. He was less forthcoming with real information about this troubled aircraft, including its mind-blowing cost and chronic problems. 
It took the Parliamentary Budget Office and Kevin Page to reveal that the government had monstrously lowballed the most expensive acquisition to that point in Canadian military history. And the deception had been done deliberately, ostensibly to spare Canadians from “sticker shock” if the real price were admitted.

MacKay was also part of the CPC caucus that voted unanimously not to exempt Veterans Affairs from government-wide cuts, a move that would reduce their benefits, including their medical care. 
Harper wanted to balance the budget in time for the 2015 election, regardless of whether that meant ending postal delivery, closing scientific facilities or cutting services to veterans. MacKay went along. 
The follies MacKay committed during his tenure as a Harper cabinet minister were sometimes funny, sometimes outrageous.

Sunday, February 09, 2020

Andrew Nikiforuk - Canada Chooses Colonialism Again



The Trudeau government isn't exactly winning the hearts and minds contest with British Columbians.  Ditto for John Horgan's NDP.

The Tyee's Andrew Nikiforuk writes that Canada is once again lapsing into colonialism in its confrontations with BC's First Nations.


It is the job of thinking people not to be on the side of the executioners.

— Albert Camus


Whenever Canada has a chance to depart from its brutal colonial past with First Nations, it automatically lapses into bad habits.

On Thursday, the RCMP and the Canadian state came to a moral crossroads on a snowy country road and looked briefly down a pathway to reconciliation. Then it said, “Fuck it.” 
A highly militarized police presence once again used force against Wet’suwet’en protestors blocking the construction of a $6.6-billion methane pipeline needed to feed a grossly uneconomic $40-billion liquefied natural gas project. 
In so doing the police made a mockery of the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples. 
It is not a complicated document. As criminologist Jeff Monaghan notes, the declaration expects “that conflicts like this will not be resolved violently or militarily but with negotiated solutions. The document directs us to do peaceful negotiated solutions that respect everyone’s rights, and equally.” 
That didn’t happen.
As reliable agents of the Canadian state and defenders of resource extraction, the RCMP let it be known that the Trudeau government puts highly subsidized methane projects ahead of reconciliation and UN declarations.

Let’s be clear: in Canada, low-priced natural gas matters more than unresolved land claims.

By implication the government also told the nation that it puts uneconomic LNG projects ahead of climate change, given that serious methane leaks from the shale gas industry are now accelerating that chaos. 
It, too, advances LNG ahead of the destruction of the arable lands and First Nations treaty rights in Peace River. 
...
But what about the 20 First Nations that have signed on to the project, you might ask?
Yes, they signed and the negotiations were colonial. It was sign or get nothing. Many nations signed under severe constraints. Nor were they presented with economic alternatives. 
As legal scholar and expert in Indigenous rights Dayna Scott has noted, Indigenous leaders are faced with a “false choice. They’re being asked to choose whether or not they want to sign a deal and get some benefits for their people for a pipeline that’s going to go through whether or not they agree to it.”

Now consider the position of Hereditary Chief Na’Moks (John Ridsdale). He is not willing to settle for mutual benefit agreements or the modern equivalent of beads and trinkets:
“They wanted access to the land, and we said you’re not getting access, you’ll never get approval, not from the hereditary chiefs and not from our people.” A colonial mind, however, can’t fathom such arguments, because it still refuses to come to terms with the nation’s dirty past.

For the most part Canadians remain an arrogant mining people with little regard for the truths of our colonial history. Most still think we have nothing to acknowledge, let alone make amends for.
The farce of "reconciliation."
... 
The Canadian state’s willingness to ignore reconciliation is even more galling when you consider its colonial defence of the preposterous economics of LNG and fracked gas in northern B.C. 
In Canada, LNG development has become an absurd Soviet engine that ignores costs and environmental damages. 
But being Canadian, it drapes itself with the plastic word “responsible.” 
“Responsible” subsidies for the foreign-funded LNG industry now include low royalties; nearly $1 billion worth of royalty credits; discounted electricity prices; reduced corporate income taxes; free water for fracking; reduced carbon taxes and the deferral of provincial sales taxes during construction. The Canadian government even invested $275 million in LNG Canada! 
These subsidies, however, still can’t make LNG economic. In 2018 the Canadian Energy Research Institute examined the economics of LNG. 
It concluded that Western Canada LNG would be $1 to $3 more expensive than the current spot price in Japan of $8 per million (BTU) and needed more subsidies and tax credits.

CERI then calculated what the LNG industry would need in terms of future prices to remain economically viable: a market price of $8.99 per million BTU or higher in Asia to break even. Or an oil price of approximately $80 or higher to break even under long-term LNG contracts.

Those conditions don’t exist and show no signs of coming into being.

A global LNG supply glut has collapsed prices in Asia to as low as $5.5 per million BTU in Japan and India. Analysts say the glut could last years. 
Meanwhile oil prices, which influence LNG pricing, remain in the doldrums. 
Unless the Canadian and B.C. governments are prepared to give away LNG, neither Coastal GasLink nor LNG Canada are economic at this point in time. 
These appalling economics explain why Chevron pulled out of the Kitimat LNG project last fall. At the same time, Chevron wrote off $11 billion in underperforming shale gas assets in Appalachia due to low prices and overproduction.
...
And let’s not strut like peacocks and talk about the rule of law as Horgan has done. 
In Alberta, oil and gas companies now break the law every day. They owe $172 million in taxes to rural municipalities and millions more to landowners for unpaid surface leases. 
Does Alberta Premier Jason Kenney arrest the offending white collar criminals and charge them with breaking civil contracts? No. He actively excuses their behaviour. 
So there is one rule of law in Canada for insolvent resource extractors, and another law for First Nations, rural municipalities and landowners. 
Fortunately, the Wet’suwet’en respect laws that are thousands of years old. 
They plan on upholding them.

So should we.

Saturday, February 08, 2020

Don't Say This Question Hasn't Crossed Your Mind



Is America finished, ruined beyond redemption, a now hopeless case?

It's the sort of question that, once raised, prompts a flood of ready opinion, the sort of deluge that reveals many of us having been asking ourselves this same thing.

The BBC's New York correspondent, Nick Bryant, has this on his mind also.
The new decade in American politics has started with a hangover that keeps on getting worse - a quickening of the downward democratic spiral we have witnessed over the past 30 years. 
So much of what has gone awry has been resident in the trial of Donald Trump. 
The partisan vitriol. The degradation of debate. The use of what were previously rarely used weapons - in this instance impeachment - to escalate America's ceaseless political war. 
This sorry saga has offered yet more proof that, far from being an aberration, the Trump era is a culmination. 
The hyperpartisanship of Republicans and Democrats has been evident in the party-line votes to impeach and acquit. The coarseness and ugliness of political discourse we have heard every day, which prompted the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court John Robert to tell both sides to dial back the rhetoric.
Trump, the Constitutional Wrecking Ball.
Constantly it is remarked upon how Trump has departed from the norms of presidential behaviour, but one of the main effects of these past three years has been to destroy the shared sense of what those norms should be. As the impeachment trial underscored, Washington cannot even agree on what constitutes right and wrong. Following his acquittal, Donald Trump has claimed a Pyrrhic victory, but there is no doubt about the loser: the country he leads and has helped divide.
...
Trump's victory rally in the East Room of the White House the morning after his acquittal, where Republican jurors stood to applaud, may well come to be seen as a definitive moment - when the party of Reagan truly became the party of Trump. Senators from the Grand Old Party, the GOP, have now clicked on the terms and conditions of the Trump presidency after examining for three years the fine print. They have fallen into line. Many have become his spear-carriers. Striking, too, was how the Attorney General, William Barr, got up from his seat at the event to clap and salute Trump's legal team, suggesting the wall that should exist between prosecutors at the Justice Department and political operatives at the White House has been flattened.
...
The State of the Union address on Tuesday night showed how toxic the air in Washington has become, from the refusal of Donald Trump to shake Nancy Pelosi's hand ahead of his address to her ripping up of his speech afterwards. Never before have we seen such a breakdown of basic decorum, or, in modern times, the hatred it betrayed.
For me, though, the moment that encapsulated the era came when Trump awarded the presidential medal of freedom to the conservative radio host, Rush Limbaugh. The right-wing talk show host is a high priest of polarisation. Few conservatives have done more to pave the way for Donald Trump. With that primetime ceremonial, the president revealed the chronic state of America's disunion.
...
But the chaos of caucus night in Iowa has reminded us again of the country's democratic decay. Even the mechanics of democracy no longer seem to work any more, a problem highlighted in the disputed 2000 election that has not yet been fixed. 
On Tuesday night, we witnessed American polarisation play out in real time. During the impeachment trial it often seemed that the very idea - and ideals - of America was on the stand. 
A broken politics, a broken democracy, a broken country.