Monday, July 06, 2020

One Thing We Have Learned from Covid-19


The global pandemic should have erased any doubt that relying on government to handle crises is a lousy bet. On threat after threat what we get from our political caste is nothing short of incompetence.

Our premiers and our prime ministers had no excuse for being surprised at the plight of our nursing home inmates.  It should not have taken military medical personnel to expose the horrible conditions, the neglect and the indifference of regulators and their political bosses that cost thousands of lives.

When it comes to the far more lethal, perhaps even existential, threat of climate breakdown again incompetence rules the day. What else is it when a government proclaims a climate state of emergency one day and, less than 24 hours later, greenlights a giant bitumen pipeline?

But wait, there's more. Justin Trudeau is a self-proclaimed globalist, a devout free trader. He never talks about the threat that poses to ordinary Canadians, our society, our nation.  He just takes it on faith this is a great thing. That is also major league incompetence.
COVID-19 has accelerated a process that was well underway before it, spreading beyond U.S.-China-EU trade negotiations and into the world’s 50 largest economies. As much as many defenders of the old order lament this trend, it is as significant a shift as the dawn of the World Trade Organization (WTO) global trade era.

What we are experiencing is the realization by state planners of developed countries that new technologies enable a rapid ability to expand or initiate new and profitable production capacity closer to or inside their own markets. The cost savings in transport, packaging and security and benefits to regional neighbors and these countries’ domestic workforces will increasingly compete with the price of goods produced through the current internationalized trade system. 
The combination of high-speed communication, advances in automated manufacturing and computing combined with widespread access to the blueprints and information necessary to kick-start new production capacity increasingly makes the current international network of supply chains resemble a Rube Goldberg contraption, and it lightens the currency outflow challenge that many economies have had to deal with for the past seven decades.
If Trudeau and Morneau were capable of vision they would see the game-changing opportunity around them. They would ditch the fossil-energy albatross round Canada's neck and begin the lengthy process to liberate the Canadian economy from China and other low wage nations.

Build jobs here. Build goods here. Build resilience here instead of perpetuating vulnerabilities to unstable and sometimes capricious global markets.
Canada established the Foreign Investment Review Agency in 1973 as a result of mounting concerns about rising overseas investment, notably the domination of U.S. multinationals, in the Canadian economy. Its provisions were repeatedly downgraded as globalization pressures intensified, but its value is now being reassessed for compatibility with national health policy and resiliency in manufacturing chains. Predictably, pharmaceutical independence is high on the list.
Yeah, great. Let's produce N95 masks here in Canada to be sure but that's chicken scratch. The technology exists to produce a great many things here, to employ Canadians in the production of goods they now buy produced offshore.

This is not a fanciful idea. Nations that focus on building resilience will be much better positioned to weather the impacts of the climate crisis that are predicted to begin hitting us within the next decade. Ignoring this is not an option. It's incompetence.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

Manufacturing things locally will be good for resilience, but I don't think the jobs are coming back. Automation is what allows a Canadian manufacturer to compete on price with low-wage countries.

Cap

Toby said...

The first step in building resilience has to be ridding ourselves of the GDP as a measurement of how we are doing. The GDP is like a calculator with one button: + . Any and everything we do adds to the GDP when anyone with a five year old brain knows that some things need to be subtracted. I'd replace the GDP with the GPI (Genuine Progress Indicator) which is more inclusive.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/gpi.asp

There isn't a trade deal that I wouldn't tear up. All of them are singularly focused on corporate rights to profits much to the exclusion of anything else. All the deals are a race to the bottom, a lowering of standards. We need deals that escalate standards for the environment, health, labour and the common weal.

Northern PoV said...

"The first step in building resilience has to be ridding ourselves of the GDP as a measurement of how we are doing."

well said - it really measures the well being of the top third of society and the continued focus on that vs real costs vs wages is causing a huge case of cognitive dissonance

The Disaffected Lib said...

Automation will be a real problem in coming decades, Cap. Economists are wrestling with how to resolve this in a healthy economy. James Galbraith is one who has looked at "work" as a societal asset where automation/robotics would have to be taxed to distribute wealth.

As an early example he uses smart phones and the number of costly devices they replaced from digital cameras to fax machines. I think the discussion is in Galbraith's "The Predator State." And, yes, he's the son of John Kenneth Galbraith.

The Disaffected Lib said...


The GDP metric has been a huge mistake, Toby. As we gradually drift into something resembling a steady-state economy (out of necessity), quality of life will have to displace quantity of life.

Anonymous said...

Well said. We used to say that a revolution of this sort wouldn't happen overnight, but we've had months of disarray and calamtiy thrown at us and our resilience is growing.

I keep saying the longer we're cut adrift, the sooner we learn to row. We can do this (no, not the BS WE charity that is a disaster for Trudeau). We own our economy, our rights, our intellects and a small group of people continue to think they can take them away.

Of course, this isn't some conspiracy I'm spewing. It's just a strong desire to do things BETTER. Covid has exposed how massive a trainwreck so many systems / structures were: education, militarization of the police, health care, retirement/nursing facilities, transportation, food, urban planning and more.

Take health care: WHY for the love of all things rational are we not putting EVERY SINGLE PENNY we can into a cure or treatment that will push us over this hill? We keep dancing around a little R&D here and there, but there's no 'let's send us to the moon' philosophy like Kennedy had in the 60s. When I see the lack of commitment on this part alone with our so-called leadership, it makes me sad.

Things must change. It's up to us to find a way to help the witless heads to appreciate how great a moment this can be.

The Disaffected Lib said...

Anon, I can't imagine what would befall us if we put every single penny of discretionary funding into finding a Covid cure. I get several podcasts as my wake-up every morning - CBC, BBC, NPR, Reuters, the New York Times - news summaries. One of the reports this morning was how the Covid effort was threatening progress in the ongoing HIV/AIDS effort. The gravest threat was in the supply of essential medicines, the products that keep HIV from progressing into AIDS. Governments still have that worrisome habit of kicking as many problems down the road as they can. That can result in robbing Peter to pay Paul funding, sleight of hand.

In Covid, almost everybody is a victim of some sort. There are the infected, the healthcare workers who put themselves in harm's way, those sequestered such as nursing home inmates and their families, people whose jobs or livelihood is in peril, businesses and industry. Government responds to those groups even if unevenly. HIV/AIDS, what's that?

The bigger problem, I'll write something on it today, is what happens next. There are very real threats and they're already in the barrel, locked and loaded. Our finger is on the trigger and we don't realize it. We get caught unprepared, taken by surprise, and it's usually because we don't want to see where we're heading.