Saturday, July 28, 2012
Sometimes It's the Hot Button Moments that Smoke Out Scammers
And by scammers I'm referring to the Alberta and Harper governments. When B.C. premier Christie Clark pushed the revenue-sharing hot button in opposing the Northern Gateway pipeline/supertanker proposal, the scammers showed their hand.
Oh the country would fall apart, they crowed, if provinces could erect walls against inter-provincial transport of goods. Imagine, they said, if Alberta began levying charges on truckloads of B.C. lumber heading to eastern markets.
Yeah, imagine that? Only imagine those B.C. trucks plying Alberta highways, not with lumber, but with loads of hazmat cargoes, the type that can wreck ecosystems. And imagine those B.C. trucks driven by truckers with really bad driving records who just happen to be driving without any insurance. And imagine those trucks being owned by trucking companies that have no assets to make good on losses they inflicted.
Imagine that because the scammers won't let on that it's true. They don't want those details messing up their perfectly lovely straw men.
But, you see, B.C. trucks transiting Alberta do have insurance. Alberta insists on it. And they do have to comply with Alberta safety standards and traffic regulations. Alberta insists on that too. And if they cause losses while in Alberta, those losses are made good. But they don't want the same deal for British Columbia on their pipeline scam.
The margins on this deal are slim. Athabasca bitumen is expensive stuff. It's expensive to extract out of the ground, expensive to put in a transportable state, expensive to transport, expensive to process into synthetic petroleum products. So the bottom line, if it's to be kept in the black, demands corner cutting and an awful lot of looking the other way.
The proposed pipeline operator, Enbridge's safety record is well documented and speaks for itself and it's lousy. Yet they want British Columbia to look the other way at pipelines crossing truly remote and challenging, seismically active, mountainous terrain to be pumped into the holds of supertankers that will then ply the treacherous waters of the Hecate Strait and Dixon Entrance. And they want British Columbia to ignore the liability cut-outs they have crafted for this scam so that, when catastrophe occurs, they can get away cheap.
From the east we hear a chorus of "jobs, jobs, jobs" and the accusations that British Columbia is a greedy spoiler trying to subvert the best thing Canada has going for it. Maybe that's the way some see it when they don't have to bear the risks and face the losses. That's certainly the way Alberta and Ottawa see it. But they've opened a delightful window that lets us see through them. We can see this thing is a set up. Is it really our fault if we don't play along?
Everything You Need to Know About DilBit
Confused about diluted bitumen, the stuff Ottawa and Alberta are so determined to push through British Columbia? It's not easy to find balanced information on dilbit so it was great to find a "Dilbit Primer" published by Inside Climate News.
The primer doesn't answer every question and is remarkably candid about issues that remain uncertain. Yet it's more than enough to show that we need some answers to some pretty tough questions before leaping headlong into bitumen pipelines to the west coast.
The primer doesn't answer every question and is remarkably candid about issues that remain uncertain. Yet it's more than enough to show that we need some answers to some pretty tough questions before leaping headlong into bitumen pipelines to the west coast.
Friday, July 27, 2012
Dumb Shit Dies
Some people don't deserve to live. Michael Bayless was one of them. The 33-year old from Indiana died when his 3-year old son squeezed the trigger on his dad's loaded handgun. A family friend is reported to have said Bayless was warned to keep the gun in a safe place.
Imagine what that 3-year old's life is going to be like from here on in. He'll grow up knowing that he killed his father and widowed his mother.
Imagine what that 3-year old's life is going to be like from here on in. He'll grow up knowing that he killed his father and widowed his mother.
Mountie Monty Off the Hook
Recently resigned RCMP coporal Monty Robinson will serve no time for killing a young motorcyclist, Orion Hutchinson in Delta, B.C. in 2008. Evidence revealed Robinson was driving home from a party where he'd downed five beers. After hitting Hutchinson, Robinson fled the scene of the accident for his nearby home where he took himself out of a manslaughter charge by drinking liquor there before police officers could arrive. That way it was impossible for the police to prove Robinson had been drunk behind the wheel.
The best the cops could do was charge Mountie Monty with obstruction of justice which is punishable by up to ten years imprisonment. The Crown argued for a jail term of a few months but the judge, noting that Robinson was a first offender, an alcoholic and aboriginal, let him off with a month of house arrest and a less restrictive 11-month follow on term.
I think it was completely right for the judge to take the first offender/alcoholic/aboriginal factors into account but she ought to have offset that by the facts that Robinson was a veteran police officer who perverted the system to dodge a manslaughter charge.
Robinson is also facing a perjury charge relating to the killing of Robert Dziekanski at the hands of four RCMP officers at Vancouver Airport.
The best the cops could do was charge Mountie Monty with obstruction of justice which is punishable by up to ten years imprisonment. The Crown argued for a jail term of a few months but the judge, noting that Robinson was a first offender, an alcoholic and aboriginal, let him off with a month of house arrest and a less restrictive 11-month follow on term.
I think it was completely right for the judge to take the first offender/alcoholic/aboriginal factors into account but she ought to have offset that by the facts that Robinson was a veteran police officer who perverted the system to dodge a manslaughter charge.
Robinson is also facing a perjury charge relating to the killing of Robert Dziekanski at the hands of four RCMP officers at Vancouver Airport.
Why Buy Obsolete Warplanes?
The F-35 is about one thing, stealth. This light attack bomber sacrifices everything for that one quality, stealth. It sacrifices payload and range, two pretty important abilities for a penetration bomber intended to attack important targets in heavily defended enemy airspace. It also sacrifices every quality that makes a great fighter - speed, climb rate and turn rate. According to a RAND Corporation assessment, the F-35 is an aerial turkey that can't out run, out turn or out climb even older vintage Russian fighters. But, the argument goes, that all doesn't really matter so long as the bad guys can't detect the F-35, so long as it is cloaked in stealth invisibility. Does that sound like putting all your eggs in one basket? It should.
Stealth technology is essentially a gimmick. The other side already knows how to work around it. They know that American stealth technology is designed to defeat, under a narrow set of circumstances, X-band radars of the type carried in warplane nose cones. They also know that this stealth technology remains quite detectable to L-band radars and the Russians have figured out how to retrofit L-band radar arrays into the forward or leading-edge of their fighters' wings.
The Russians know the score. So do the Americans. That much was apparent from this passage in a recent article in Aviation Week about Israeli and American defense planners .
"...defense planners in both countries have accepted the fact that stealth is a perishable product with today's designs good for 5-10 years."
Now, do the math. It's going to be five years, more likely seven, possibly even ten before the F-35 arrives at RCAF hangars. So it's more than likely that the Canadian F-35s will be effectively D.O.A. - dead on arrival. Why then are the Conservatives and the RCAF so keen to get our aircrews saddled with the Joint Strike Fighter?
Could it be that the F-35's main mission isn't combat related at all? Could it be that the F-35 has a political mission, for the government and the armed forces? Is it Canada's gesture to display our fealty to the U.S., our military's admission ticket to America's Foreign Legion and the upcoming foreign wars? It's got to be something to get us to squander tens of billions of dollars on a high-tech white elephant with a perishable advantage without which it's just a crummy performer.
He's Back. Stevie Boy's BFF, Bruce Carson, Charged with Fraud
I've been wondering what rock Harper aide Bruce Carson has been hiding under of late.
Bruce Carson, 66, has been charged with one count of what's formally referred to as influence peddling, RCMP said Friday.
He served as Harper's chief policy analyst and fixer from 2006 to 2008 and returned to the prime minister's office briefly in 2009.
Carson is alleged to have accepted commission from a third party in connection to a government business matter.
It's believed Carson was trying to set up a water purification deal to benefit his then 22-year old stripper/escort/girlfriend Michelle McPherson.
American Olympic Hero on "Mitt the Twit" Romney
Nine-time gold medalist Carl Lewis had a pithy comment on Mitt Romney.
“I swear, sometimes I think some Americans shouldn’t leave the country. Are you kidding me? Stay home if you don’t know what to say.”
At least Mitt didn't tell the Brits that their trees were just the right height.
And We're Fueling China for What Exactly?
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| China Operates the Largest Non-Nuclear Icebreaker in the World |
Stevie Boy Harper is dead keen on exporting Athabasca bitumen to China, just as much and as fast as he can. But why is Steve suddenly so fond of China, except perhaps for the way it might let Canada game the U.S. on bitumen prices?
It wasn't long ago that Steve was ready to denounce China and its totalitarian ways at the drop of a hat. He wasn't reluctant to tell anyone that he didn't like the People's Rep or what it stood for. Now, somehow, China is Steve's BFF.
But what is the state of Chinese-Canadian relations? There does seem to be some serious friction. We have China in the crosshairs when we buy the F-35 stealth light attack bomber. We're rushing headlong to join America's military "pivot" to Asia. America wants to get in China's face and we want in on America's action.
That said, maybe our concerns about China are misplaced. Rather than focusing on military power projection in East Asia, maybe we should be looking to the role China wants in our own far north. A recent report, from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, "The Arctic Policies of Canada and the United States, Domestic Motives and International Context," suggests that China may be prepared to challenge Canadian Arctic sovereignty
Canada, together with Russia, strongly opposes involving new actors in the Arctic, arguing that Arctic affairs are best left to the Arctic states. This attitude has frustrated a number of actors who perceive that they have a legitimate interest in the region and should be allowed to observe or participate in the Arctic cooper ation. The Canadian attitude to Arctic out siders is clearly illustrated by its reluctance to accept new observers on the Arctic Council. Negotiations on observers—decisions on which are based on consensus—have dragged on for years, with no agreement as to whether ad hoc observers such as China and the European Union (EU) should be granted permanent observer status. Canada has openly opposed granting the EU permanent observer status because of the latter’s ban on imports of seal products, while the current permanent participants—six organizations representing indigenous groups—fear marginal ization if large actors like the EU and China are granted a permanent seat at the table.
Recent statements by China have led to Canadian unease over China’s motives in the Arctic and a fear that it may even be willing to challenge Canada’s sovereignty over the Northwest Passage.8
...Canada’s inclination to exclude is visible not only in the framework of the Arctic Council. In discussions with Anders Fogh Rasmussen, Secretary General of NATO, Harper stated that he saw no role for NATO in the Arctic and that those non-Arctic members of NATO that sought such a role were looking to increase their influence where ‘they don’t belong’.
Although national security was named as a top priority in the USA’s 2009 presidential directive, it is clear that the US Government does not anticipate any military confrontations in its Arctic areas in either the short or medium terms. Although this view is shared by most observers, a forum to discuss military security is needed to avoid suspicion and misinterpretations. The Arctic Council’s mandate is limited on this issue and Canada has made it clear that NATO is not the venue for these discussions. Canada and the USA can still address military issues bilaterally through NORAD and multilaterally through the annual meetings of Arctic defence chiefs that Canada has initiated.
And the Chinese have been pretty open about their views of China's interests - resource, commercial and military - in the Arctic.
Chinese researchers are publicly encouraging the government to actively prepare for the commercial and strategic oppor-tunities that a melting Arctic presents. Li Zhenfu of Dalian Maritime Uni-versity has, together with a team of specialists, assessed China’s advantages and disadvantages when the Arctic sea routes open up. ‘Whoever has control over the Arctic route will control the new passage of world economics and international strategies’, writes Li, referring both to the shortened shipping routes between East Asia and Europe or North America and to the abundant oil, gas, mineral and fishery resources presumed to be in the Arctic.
...Li points out that the Arctic also ‘has significant military value, a fact recognized by other countries’. In a rare open-source article about the Arctic by an officer of the People’s Liberation Army, Senior Colonel Han Xudong warns that the possibility of use of force cannot be ruled out in the Arctic due to complex sovereignty disputes.
If China is poised to become a strategic rival to Canada in the Arctic even to the point of wielding military muscle in the far north, why is Canada focusing on East and Southeast Asia? Why are we so driven to buy a hyper-expensive, underperforming warplane that is so obviously unsuited to the very place we will most need an airpower presence? And why are we allowing China to snap up Tar Sands assets and building them a pipeline to access this strategic resource? This may be of genuine and highly lucrative benefit to foreign-owned oil companies that dominate the Tar Sands but are their interests, China's and Canada's coterminous?
About That Link Between CO2 and Warming
A team of Australian and Danish researchers has shown that CO2 was more instrumental in ending the last ice age than previously believed. The scientists examined ancient air trapped in Antarctic ice.
''The results show that the temperature rise and the CO2 increase were much closer than what was believed before,'' said the study's lead author, Joel Pedro, a researcher at the Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre in Hobart. ''It shows that the process of warming and CO2 rises in the past were actually very fast - though what's happening now is much faster.''
The study, published in the journal Climate of the Past, narrows the window of uncertainty around how long it took for slight natural changes in the Earth's temperature to be propelled by rising levels of greenhouse gases. Instead of an estimate of thousands of years, the results show a period of about 400 years in which the world switched from a frozen place to one which was decisively warming up.
It implies that the changes in the Earth's climate, now being driven by human emissions of greenhouse gases, could happen more suddenly.
A US ice core expert from the University of Washington, Eric Steig, said the paper represented a significant advance. ''I cannot emphasise enough how important this result is,'' Professor Steig said in a statement, after reviewing the findings.
''The results show that the temperature rise and the CO2 increase were much closer than what was believed before,'' said the study's lead author, Joel Pedro, a researcher at the Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre in Hobart. ''It shows that the process of warming and CO2 rises in the past were actually very fast - though what's happening now is much faster.''
The study, published in the journal Climate of the Past, narrows the window of uncertainty around how long it took for slight natural changes in the Earth's temperature to be propelled by rising levels of greenhouse gases. Instead of an estimate of thousands of years, the results show a period of about 400 years in which the world switched from a frozen place to one which was decisively warming up.
A US ice core expert from the University of Washington, Eric Steig, said the paper represented a significant advance. ''I cannot emphasise enough how important this result is,'' Professor Steig said in a statement, after reviewing the findings.
Climate Skeptics Really Are the Tin Foil Hat Brigade
New research confirms the nutjob factor is alive and well among those who refuse to accept the reality of global warming.
People who endorsed conspiracy theories such as "9/11 was an inside job" and "the moon landings were faked", were also more likely to reject established scientific facts about climate change, such as "I believe that the burning of fossil fuels on the scale observed over the last 50 years has increased atmospheric temperatures to an appreciable degree."
...The findings provide yet more evidence that a rejection of climate science has more to with ideological views than scientific literacy, bolstering the well-supported finding that climate change scepticism is more likely to be found on the right, than on the left of politics. But they go a step further, adding an important layer of detail to the crude characterisation of climate change scepticism as a "conservative" issue.
The link between endorsing conspiracy theories and rejecting climate science facts suggests that it is the libertarian instinct to stick two fingers up at the mainstream – whatever the issue – that is important. Because a radical libertarian streak is the hallmark of free-market economics, and because free market views are popular on the political right, this is where climate change scepticism is most likely to be found.
The SEC Weighs in on Climate Change
Climate change is a fact and, according to the powerful U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, it's a material fact that companies must disclose to their investors in SEC filings. Agribusiness has obvious climate change vulnerabilities, everything from floods and droughts to pests. This vulnerability to climate change impacts now has to be addressed, brought out in the open.
This has led the Ceres business consultancy, in conjunction with Oxfam USA and Calvert Investments, to issue a report, "Physical Risks from Climate Change." The report, available free in pdf format, canvasses both disclosure obligations and specific risks to industry by sector, including agriculture, apparel, electricity, oil and gas, insurance, mining and tourism. The document ends with a discussion of risk management strategies and an investor disclosure checklist.
Politicians can continue to duck and weave on climate change. A good many of them are paid to do just that. But it's the private sector and the regulatory agencies that are overtaking the political classes. They can't pretend that climate change is a myth, a hoax. They have to work from the bottom line.
A Common Sense Admiral
Jonathan Greenert says he supports the F-35 light strike bomber but the man does have reservations.
Admiral Greenert has whipped up a storm by saying that advantages from America’s prized stealth technology will be “difficult to maintain”. The other side’s sensors, he argues, may operate at lower electromagnetic frequencies than stealth technologies are designed to frustrate, and may use exponentially increasing processing power to work out where the stealth platform is from different angles or aspects. In other words, in the continuing struggle between hiders and finders, America will increasingly labour to keep the advantage it has enjoyed for two decades.
The admiral therefore calls for a shift from relying solely on stealth to using stand-off weapons, fired from such a distance that adversaries cannot shoot back, or by unmanned systems; or employing electronic-warfare devices to confuse or jam the other side’s sensors, rather than trying to hide from them. The unstated implication is that there are other ways of doing the same job as the stealthy F-35 more cheaply and more successfully.
...the admiral’s argument, outlined in Proceedings, published by the United States Naval Institute, also has a wider theme. Military procurement is too focused on building ever-costlier new ships and aircraft of complex design, with built-in capabilities to meet specific threats. Instead of procurement being “platform-centric”, he wants it to be “payload-centric”: highly adaptable platforms able to carry weapons and sensors that can be added or removed, depending on the mission or on technological progress.
The “luxury-car” platforms designed in the last days of the cold war (and which still dominate much military procurement) have not adapted well to changes in security and technology, he says. Such platforms must always carry the sophisticated equipment to defeat a sophisticated foe. Yet much of this may be irrelevant to the navy’s typical missions in the past 20 years: counter-terrorism, anti-piracy, mine-clearing, maritime patrolling and carrier operations in support of counter-insurgency campaigns in Iraq and Afghanistan.
...Peter Singer, an expert on future weapons at the Brookings Institution, a think-tank, is more sceptical. He fears that advances in Chinese and Russian air-defence systems are eroding the advantages of stealth, and that the F-35 is further hobbled by its limited range. “It has very short legs,” he says, shorter than some planes from the second world war. It may be better “to play a different game”, relying more on precision strikes from afar, perhaps using hybrid transport-bombers carrying cruise missiles or swarms of drones. Because the F-35 has turned out to be so costly (after years of delays and cost overruns, the bill is now $396 billion), he fears it could blight the development of more capable systems. But whatever reservations the navy may have about the F-35, he notes that the Pentagon has deemed the programme “too big to fail”. Agreeing with Admiral Greenert’s analysis, Mr Singer asks: “Will it lead to any change in policy? That is the test.”
Greenert's arguments are sound. The F-35's advantage is high-tech. High-tech has a short shelf life before it's overtaken, superseded. It is important to evaluate the F-35 according to how it would perform if that one advantage was nullified. Without "stealth" what is it? Will it work? What will it do? And we have the answers to all those questions. Basically, without stealth the F-35 is aerial dead meat. As the RAND Corporation noted a few years ago, it can't outrun, out-climb, or out-turn even its existing adversaries. It has limited range and limited payload. Yet it's so costly, so over priced, that our aircrews are going to be saddled with it for 30-years minimum. The F-35, at year 10, could be an insurmountable obstacle to getting our aircrews something much better.
We've seen what "too big to fail" means and, even if that holds true for the F-35 and the Pentagon, there's no reason Canada needs to pile on. At best, the F-35 does one thing well but it doesn't and it won't do the very things that Canada needs and will increasingly need in the far north. On that score, the F-35 will be a net loss for Canada.
Update - I found this Aviation Week link over at Mark Collins' blog. It relates to discussions between Israeli and American planners that accept the reality of a short shelf-life for the F-35's stealth advantage.
Moreover, defense planners in both countries have accepted the fact that stealth is a perishable product with today's designs good for 5-10 years, while the airframes themselves will operate for 30-40 years; this will drive them to adopt advanced cyber and electronic warfare options to protect their aircraft as they mature.
Five to ten years, that's it. And when will Canada's F-35s become operational? Somewhere between five to ten years from now. These slow, unmaneuverable, short-range and small-payload light attack bombers will be largely obsolete by the time they reach Canadian air force hangars.
Admiral Greenert has whipped up a storm by saying that advantages from America’s prized stealth technology will be “difficult to maintain”. The other side’s sensors, he argues, may operate at lower electromagnetic frequencies than stealth technologies are designed to frustrate, and may use exponentially increasing processing power to work out where the stealth platform is from different angles or aspects. In other words, in the continuing struggle between hiders and finders, America will increasingly labour to keep the advantage it has enjoyed for two decades.
The admiral therefore calls for a shift from relying solely on stealth to using stand-off weapons, fired from such a distance that adversaries cannot shoot back, or by unmanned systems; or employing electronic-warfare devices to confuse or jam the other side’s sensors, rather than trying to hide from them. The unstated implication is that there are other ways of doing the same job as the stealthy F-35 more cheaply and more successfully.
...the admiral’s argument, outlined in Proceedings, published by the United States Naval Institute, also has a wider theme. Military procurement is too focused on building ever-costlier new ships and aircraft of complex design, with built-in capabilities to meet specific threats. Instead of procurement being “platform-centric”, he wants it to be “payload-centric”: highly adaptable platforms able to carry weapons and sensors that can be added or removed, depending on the mission or on technological progress.
...Peter Singer, an expert on future weapons at the Brookings Institution, a think-tank, is more sceptical. He fears that advances in Chinese and Russian air-defence systems are eroding the advantages of stealth, and that the F-35 is further hobbled by its limited range. “It has very short legs,” he says, shorter than some planes from the second world war. It may be better “to play a different game”, relying more on precision strikes from afar, perhaps using hybrid transport-bombers carrying cruise missiles or swarms of drones. Because the F-35 has turned out to be so costly (after years of delays and cost overruns, the bill is now $396 billion), he fears it could blight the development of more capable systems. But whatever reservations the navy may have about the F-35, he notes that the Pentagon has deemed the programme “too big to fail”. Agreeing with Admiral Greenert’s analysis, Mr Singer asks: “Will it lead to any change in policy? That is the test.”
Greenert's arguments are sound. The F-35's advantage is high-tech. High-tech has a short shelf life before it's overtaken, superseded. It is important to evaluate the F-35 according to how it would perform if that one advantage was nullified. Without "stealth" what is it? Will it work? What will it do? And we have the answers to all those questions. Basically, without stealth the F-35 is aerial dead meat. As the RAND Corporation noted a few years ago, it can't outrun, out-climb, or out-turn even its existing adversaries. It has limited range and limited payload. Yet it's so costly, so over priced, that our aircrews are going to be saddled with it for 30-years minimum. The F-35, at year 10, could be an insurmountable obstacle to getting our aircrews something much better.
We've seen what "too big to fail" means and, even if that holds true for the F-35 and the Pentagon, there's no reason Canada needs to pile on. At best, the F-35 does one thing well but it doesn't and it won't do the very things that Canada needs and will increasingly need in the far north. On that score, the F-35 will be a net loss for Canada.
Update - I found this Aviation Week link over at Mark Collins' blog. It relates to discussions between Israeli and American planners that accept the reality of a short shelf-life for the F-35's stealth advantage.
Moreover, defense planners in both countries have accepted the fact that stealth is a perishable product with today's designs good for 5-10 years, while the airframes themselves will operate for 30-40 years; this will drive them to adopt advanced cyber and electronic warfare options to protect their aircraft as they mature.
Five to ten years, that's it. And when will Canada's F-35s become operational? Somewhere between five to ten years from now. These slow, unmaneuverable, short-range and small-payload light attack bombers will be largely obsolete by the time they reach Canadian air force hangars.
Thursday, July 26, 2012
This Is Greatness
Since I was 14, maybe 15, this was my favourite band. 40-years later it still is. This was probably this band at it's peak - 1978. Magic.
The Northern Gateway Liability Trap
A major part of Harper's perfidy lies in the way the Northern Gateway is structured with liability cut-outs to let the major players escape liability. IslandTides.com has an eye-opening feature on how coastal B.C. is being hung out to dry. In another column, retired CBC journo Patrick Brown outlines the truly diabolical nature of the diluted bitumen Harper and Enbridge want to bring to British Columbia and our coast.
Read these reports. Read how badly we're being set up. Then explain what kind of government would do this to its own people.
Read these reports. Read how badly we're being set up. Then explain what kind of government would do this to its own people.
What's Up? Flash Floods, That's What.
From Britain to Africa, America to China and Russia, India to Canada, no corner of the world seems immune to flash flooding. Is global warming the culprit? In most cases, probably.
We done gone and broke the hydrological cycle.
How we broke it is as easy to understand as it is to prove with basic meteorolgical instruments. We have warmed the atmosphere. Not as much as we will warm it over the balance of this century but already enough to alter the hydrological cycle. A warmer atmosphere coupled with global warming increases the evaporation of surface water into water vapour. You wind up with more water vapour heading into the atmosphere which, as luck would have it, is likewise warmer so it can hold more water vapour. Think of it as shifting the Earth's water from the ground to the sky.
Because the warmer atmosphere can hold more water vapour it doesn't have to return that to the surface as rain or snow as it once did the way we came to expect it over the past centuries. Now it's more likely to skip some places altogether and hit others with deluges that cause flash floods.
So, what are we going to do about it. In the worst-hit spots we can implement adaptation measures, floodways and such, but the real cause is warming and we're not on track to do anything about that. How bad could it get? Well the Brits have been warned that they could have a four fold increase in flooding by 2035.
As severe floods continue to batter parts of Britain after the wettest June since records began, around one in seven homes and businesses face some kind of flood risk, the climate advisers said.
Around 160,000 properties would be at risk by 2035 if better planning and more investment was made in flood defenses, compared with 610,000 at risk if no action was taken, they said.
Like every other climate change impact, we in Canada - especially our political classes - are paying no heed, none whatsoever. We're just whistling past the graveyard.
We done gone and broke the hydrological cycle.
How we broke it is as easy to understand as it is to prove with basic meteorolgical instruments. We have warmed the atmosphere. Not as much as we will warm it over the balance of this century but already enough to alter the hydrological cycle. A warmer atmosphere coupled with global warming increases the evaporation of surface water into water vapour. You wind up with more water vapour heading into the atmosphere which, as luck would have it, is likewise warmer so it can hold more water vapour. Think of it as shifting the Earth's water from the ground to the sky.
Because the warmer atmosphere can hold more water vapour it doesn't have to return that to the surface as rain or snow as it once did the way we came to expect it over the past centuries. Now it's more likely to skip some places altogether and hit others with deluges that cause flash floods.
So, what are we going to do about it. In the worst-hit spots we can implement adaptation measures, floodways and such, but the real cause is warming and we're not on track to do anything about that. How bad could it get? Well the Brits have been warned that they could have a four fold increase in flooding by 2035.
As severe floods continue to batter parts of Britain after the wettest June since records began, around one in seven homes and businesses face some kind of flood risk, the climate advisers said.
Around 160,000 properties would be at risk by 2035 if better planning and more investment was made in flood defenses, compared with 610,000 at risk if no action was taken, they said.
Like every other climate change impact, we in Canada - especially our political classes - are paying no heed, none whatsoever. We're just whistling past the graveyard.
Are You Part of the Problem?
Chris Hedges' latest column for TruthDig explores how western society has degenerated into myopic careerism in which facts and reality are impertinences.
David Lloyd George, who was the British prime minister during the Passchendaele campaign, wrote in his memoirs: “[Before the battle of Passchendaele] the Tanks Corps Staff prepared maps to show how a bombardment which obliterated the drainage would inevitably lead to a series of pools, and they located the exact spots where the waters would gather. The only reply was a peremptory order that they were to ‘Send no more of these ridiculous maps.’ Maps must conform to plans and not plans to maps. Facts that interfered with plans were impertinencies.”
Here you have the explanation of why our ruling elites do nothing about climate change, refuse to respond rationally to economic meltdown and are incapable of coping with the collapse of globalization and empire. These are circumstances that interfere with the very viability and sustainability of the system. And bureaucrats know only how to serve the system. They know only the managerial skills they ingested at West Point or Harvard Business School. They cannot think on their own. They cannot challenge assumptions or structures. They cannot intellectually or emotionally recognize that the system might implode. And so they do what Napoleon warned was the worst mistake a general could make—paint an imaginary picture of a situation and accept it as real. But we blithely ignore reality along with them. The mania for a happy ending blinds us. We do not want to believe what we see. It is too depressing. So we all retreat into collective self-delusion.
...Blaise Pascal wrote in “Pensées,” “We run heedlessly into the abyss after putting something in front of us to stop us from seeing it.”
...These armies of bureaucrats serve a corporate system that will quite literally kill us. They are as cold and disconnected as Mengele. They carry out minute tasks. They are docile. Compliant. They obey. They find their self-worth in the prestige and power of the corporation, in the status of their positions and in their career promotions. They assure themselves of their own goodness through their private acts as husbands, wives, mothers and fathers. They sit on school boards. They go to Rotary. They attend church. It is moral schizophrenia. They erect walls to create an isolated consciousness. They make the lethal goals of ExxonMobil or Goldman Sachs or Raytheon or insurance companies possible. They destroy the ecosystem, the economy and the body politic and turn workingmen and -women into impoverished serfs. They feel nothing.
Metaphysical naiveté always ends in murder. It fragments the world. Little acts of kindness and charity mask the monstrous evil they abet. And the system rolls forward. The polar ice caps melt. The droughts rage over cropland. The drones deliver death from the sky. The state moves inexorably forward to place us in chains. The sick die. The poor starve. The prisons fill. And the careerist, plodding forward, does his or her job.
David Lloyd George, who was the British prime minister during the Passchendaele campaign, wrote in his memoirs: “[Before the battle of Passchendaele] the Tanks Corps Staff prepared maps to show how a bombardment which obliterated the drainage would inevitably lead to a series of pools, and they located the exact spots where the waters would gather. The only reply was a peremptory order that they were to ‘Send no more of these ridiculous maps.’ Maps must conform to plans and not plans to maps. Facts that interfered with plans were impertinencies.”
Here you have the explanation of why our ruling elites do nothing about climate change, refuse to respond rationally to economic meltdown and are incapable of coping with the collapse of globalization and empire. These are circumstances that interfere with the very viability and sustainability of the system. And bureaucrats know only how to serve the system. They know only the managerial skills they ingested at West Point or Harvard Business School. They cannot think on their own. They cannot challenge assumptions or structures. They cannot intellectually or emotionally recognize that the system might implode. And so they do what Napoleon warned was the worst mistake a general could make—paint an imaginary picture of a situation and accept it as real. But we blithely ignore reality along with them. The mania for a happy ending blinds us. We do not want to believe what we see. It is too depressing. So we all retreat into collective self-delusion.
...Blaise Pascal wrote in “Pensées,” “We run heedlessly into the abyss after putting something in front of us to stop us from seeing it.”
...These armies of bureaucrats serve a corporate system that will quite literally kill us. They are as cold and disconnected as Mengele. They carry out minute tasks. They are docile. Compliant. They obey. They find their self-worth in the prestige and power of the corporation, in the status of their positions and in their career promotions. They assure themselves of their own goodness through their private acts as husbands, wives, mothers and fathers. They sit on school boards. They go to Rotary. They attend church. It is moral schizophrenia. They erect walls to create an isolated consciousness. They make the lethal goals of ExxonMobil or Goldman Sachs or Raytheon or insurance companies possible. They destroy the ecosystem, the economy and the body politic and turn workingmen and -women into impoverished serfs. They feel nothing.
Metaphysical naiveté always ends in murder. It fragments the world. Little acts of kindness and charity mask the monstrous evil they abet. And the system rolls forward. The polar ice caps melt. The droughts rage over cropland. The drones deliver death from the sky. The state moves inexorably forward to place us in chains. The sick die. The poor starve. The prisons fill. And the careerist, plodding forward, does his or her job.
Harper Ditches the Snitches
Why has Stevie Boy Harper gutted fisheries and marine protection services and staff, leaving the British Columbia coast seriously unprotected, just as he's pushing through the greatest environmental threat our coast has ever seen?
Firing monitoring and research staff, entire departments, at Fisheries and Oceans. Relocating the west coast oil spill emergency centre from, well, the west coast to Quebec? Closing major Coast Guard stations? Why all of this? Why now? There's only one answer. To Harper, the people who protect our coastal environment and our fisheries are potential snitches who'll blow the whistle on him and his Alberta pals.
In today's Times Colonist, Jack Knox interviewed Allan Hughes, who represents 100-Coast Guard members who serve as our marine traffic controllers.
They have a lot of questions about Enbridge's proposal to ship Alberta heavy oil from Kitimat, particularly with Ottawa reducing safety measures on the coast.
Much ado has been made about the federal government's budget-cutting plan to shut the coast guard operation in Vancouver. Less attention has been paid to the closing of two other marine communications and traffic services centres in Comox and Ucluelet, which will leave just the two remaining stations in Sidney and Prince Rupert to handle the entire West Coast. Not only does that mean a loss of local knowledge, but half of the coast could go unmonitored when communications systems fail, Hughes says.
...It can take several minutes to extract even the most basic information from bridge watch-keepers whose grasp of English is tenuous - and when you're in congested waters, you don't have minutes to react.
Hughes' members tell him language issues mean some foreign-flagged ships pose a higher risk of grounding or being involved in collisions, which makes those members wonder whose tankers would carry the heavy, gooey Alberta bitumen from Kitimat.
Note that B.C.'s northern waters are sufficiently treacherous that for decades tankers carrying Alaska crude have complied with a voluntary ban on sailing them. Instead, oil-carriers stay well out to sea before turning into Juan de Fuca Strait. How is it that an area deemed too dangerous for U.S. tankers is safe enough for others?
"The fact they intend to transit Hecate Strait or Dixon Entrance in winter is a disaster waiting to happen," Hughes says.
Knox asks a question that's had a lot of us wondering. Just what is our premier, Christie Clark, playing at? Is she actually Harper's and Enbridge's Judas Goat?
Funny how in a single day the debate moved from whether B.C. should back the pipeline to how much we should get for doing so.
Before fighting over how to divide the pie, shouldn't we decide whether to bake it at all?
And shouldn't we be asking Ottawa why it is cutting coastal safety at the same time it raises the risk?
Names such as Hecate Strait, Dixon Entrance or Second Narrows don't mean much east of the British Columbia/Alberta border but they mean a great deal to those who have navigated them and know how treacherous they can be. Yet they're not nearly as treacherous as Steve Harper, Enbridge, the Alberta government, our Petro-Parliament and a nation largely indifferent to the perils of the west coast.
Wednesday, July 25, 2012
Bitumen's Oh So Dirty Little Secrets
There are some things that never come up when discussing the Athabasca Tar Sands or shipping bitumen to China.
The difference between bitumen and conventional oil never comes up. Bitumen isn't oil. In it's processed, or upgraded, form its a sludge that has to be diluted and heated in order to pump it through pipelines.
Bitumen is diluted with a chemical soup brought to our shores in tankers and pumped via pipelines to Alberta. Once they're combined you have a product called "dil-bit" or diluted bitumen that can then be heated and pumped at high pressure through pipelines.
Dil-bit is nasty stuff. It contains high levels of pipeline eating acids and abrasives. It literally scours the pipeline walls as it passes through them. It also contains high levels of heavy metals, carcinogens and other toxins. It's wicked stuff.
Dil-bit is necessary for just one purpose - to enable bitumen to be transported to distant refineries where it can be turned into synthetic crude oil and other petroleum products.
By now you may be asking the routinely unasked and never answered question, why dil-bit? Why bother transporting this dangerous product to refineries thousands of miles away, placing everything between the Tar Sands and the distant refineries at unnecessary risk? Why not simply complete the refining of bitumen in Alberta and then ship much more benign, far less hazardous synthetic crude to overseas markets? Interesting question and the key to this whole sordid business.
Foreign customers want the raw stuff delivered to them because they have excess refining capacity. It's actually cheaper to ship dilutent in tankers to Alberta and the mixed dil-bit back to these remote refineries than to pay to have the stuff refined, on site, in Alberta. And because, dangerous as that might be, it greatly improves the bottom line royalties that Alberta and Ottawa get for nothing. In other words, it's better to leave British Columbia at enormous risk of environmental catastrophe than to do the right thing and refine the gunk in Alberta.
You see, bitumen as a petroleum source is a dodgy proposition. It's expensive stuff to extract and process and ship. That really narrows the profit margins. Andrew Coyne inadvertently made the point in his latest piece where he discussed the suggestion that we "should build a pipeline to carry oil from Alberta to the eastern provinces and beyond," which he noted the powers that be admit, "the economic case isn't there."
In other words it's not economical to ship Alberta sludge east. That's a losing proposition. But it is economical, profitable, to send it to tankers at docks on the B.C. coast. Yet that too is only profitable if you don't have to carry the cost of British Columbia's environmental risks on your books.
But there's another reason why Ottawa and Alberta don't want to refine their crud in Alberta. The refining process would require a great deal of energy and generate significant amounts of carbon emissions neither Ottawa nor Alberta want to carry on Alberta's already overburdened books. So, out of sight/out of mind, just so long as British Columbia carries the risks.
Bitumen or refined, synthetic crude. That ought to be what this battle is about. At least synthetic crude can have the abrasives, acids, carcinogens and heavy metals refined out of it. And synthetic crude oil, unlike bitumen, floats and so gives us a chance of containing coastal spills. And with only refined, synthetic crude being shipped we would need just half the tanker trips, cutting the already high risks by almost half. But Ottawa and Alberta don't want to do that. They don't want to do the right thing. So long as British Columbia carries the risks, why should they trouble themselves with carbon emissions, energy demands and putting their bitumen into a relatively safe form?
The difference between bitumen and conventional oil never comes up. Bitumen isn't oil. In it's processed, or upgraded, form its a sludge that has to be diluted and heated in order to pump it through pipelines.
Bitumen is diluted with a chemical soup brought to our shores in tankers and pumped via pipelines to Alberta. Once they're combined you have a product called "dil-bit" or diluted bitumen that can then be heated and pumped at high pressure through pipelines.
Dil-bit is nasty stuff. It contains high levels of pipeline eating acids and abrasives. It literally scours the pipeline walls as it passes through them. It also contains high levels of heavy metals, carcinogens and other toxins. It's wicked stuff.
Dil-bit is necessary for just one purpose - to enable bitumen to be transported to distant refineries where it can be turned into synthetic crude oil and other petroleum products.
By now you may be asking the routinely unasked and never answered question, why dil-bit? Why bother transporting this dangerous product to refineries thousands of miles away, placing everything between the Tar Sands and the distant refineries at unnecessary risk? Why not simply complete the refining of bitumen in Alberta and then ship much more benign, far less hazardous synthetic crude to overseas markets? Interesting question and the key to this whole sordid business.
Foreign customers want the raw stuff delivered to them because they have excess refining capacity. It's actually cheaper to ship dilutent in tankers to Alberta and the mixed dil-bit back to these remote refineries than to pay to have the stuff refined, on site, in Alberta. And because, dangerous as that might be, it greatly improves the bottom line royalties that Alberta and Ottawa get for nothing. In other words, it's better to leave British Columbia at enormous risk of environmental catastrophe than to do the right thing and refine the gunk in Alberta.
You see, bitumen as a petroleum source is a dodgy proposition. It's expensive stuff to extract and process and ship. That really narrows the profit margins. Andrew Coyne inadvertently made the point in his latest piece where he discussed the suggestion that we "should build a pipeline to carry oil from Alberta to the eastern provinces and beyond," which he noted the powers that be admit, "the economic case isn't there."
In other words it's not economical to ship Alberta sludge east. That's a losing proposition. But it is economical, profitable, to send it to tankers at docks on the B.C. coast. Yet that too is only profitable if you don't have to carry the cost of British Columbia's environmental risks on your books.
But there's another reason why Ottawa and Alberta don't want to refine their crud in Alberta. The refining process would require a great deal of energy and generate significant amounts of carbon emissions neither Ottawa nor Alberta want to carry on Alberta's already overburdened books. So, out of sight/out of mind, just so long as British Columbia carries the risks.
Bitumen or refined, synthetic crude. That ought to be what this battle is about. At least synthetic crude can have the abrasives, acids, carcinogens and heavy metals refined out of it. And synthetic crude oil, unlike bitumen, floats and so gives us a chance of containing coastal spills. And with only refined, synthetic crude being shipped we would need just half the tanker trips, cutting the already high risks by almost half. But Ottawa and Alberta don't want to do that. They don't want to do the right thing. So long as British Columbia carries the risks, why should they trouble themselves with carbon emissions, energy demands and putting their bitumen into a relatively safe form?
Are We Going This Alone?
Will British Columbians stand alone against Alberta's bitumen pipelines?
What I'm reading is that the populations of other provinces seem to support the Northern Gateway and Kinder-Morgan pipeline/bitumen-supertanker initiatives. And that's certainly the way Ottawa and Alberta are attacking British Columbia.
Our unelected, unelectable and outgoing premier, Christie Clark, isn't helping matters. She argues, correctly, that it's unfair that Alberta and Ottawa get all the gravy out of these ventures while British Columbia has to bear therisk inevitable environmental catastrophe. Unfortunately, Clark is using that indisputable point to demand a cut of the action.
Jason Kenney came to Victoria to play frontman for Harper.
"I think taking a balkanized approach to the federation is unhelpful," Kenney said. "The notion that there are 10 separate fiefdoms and you have to tollgate everything you move from east to west would massively undermine the whole concept of an economic union and efficient operation of the Canadian economy," he said.
Yet the threat is very "Balkanized." It is British Columbia that is imperiled - our lands and our coast. Ontario isn't affected by that, nor is Quebec, Nova Scotia, Manitoba or Nunavut. Only one province, one people are in the crosshairs of this goddamned business.
It may well be that, within Confederation, British Columbia is powerless to stop this monstrosity from being forced on us. If we can't as a province safeguard our land and our coasts from this, then it's obviously going to have to be civil disobedience on a large scale and, if that doesn't work, revolt and the end of this Confederation.
For all Alberta grumbles about western separatism, British Columbians aren't necessarily adverse to the idea only without Alberta in the mix. No one is championing the cause now but that could change easily if Ottawa uses force and imprisonment to push this down our throats.
I wholeheartedly believe these pipelines will cause civil disobedience on a scale vastly beyond anything in the Canadian experience. Try to get your mind around hundreds, probably thousands of otherwise law-abiding citizens being jailed again and again and again. That sort of sustained confrontation Ottawa cannot win and Canada might not survive.
What I'm reading is that the populations of other provinces seem to support the Northern Gateway and Kinder-Morgan pipeline/bitumen-supertanker initiatives. And that's certainly the way Ottawa and Alberta are attacking British Columbia.
Our unelected, unelectable and outgoing premier, Christie Clark, isn't helping matters. She argues, correctly, that it's unfair that Alberta and Ottawa get all the gravy out of these ventures while British Columbia has to bear the
Jason Kenney came to Victoria to play frontman for Harper.
"I think taking a balkanized approach to the federation is unhelpful," Kenney said. "The notion that there are 10 separate fiefdoms and you have to tollgate everything you move from east to west would massively undermine the whole concept of an economic union and efficient operation of the Canadian economy," he said.
Yet the threat is very "Balkanized." It is British Columbia that is imperiled - our lands and our coast. Ontario isn't affected by that, nor is Quebec, Nova Scotia, Manitoba or Nunavut. Only one province, one people are in the crosshairs of this goddamned business.
It may well be that, within Confederation, British Columbia is powerless to stop this monstrosity from being forced on us. If we can't as a province safeguard our land and our coasts from this, then it's obviously going to have to be civil disobedience on a large scale and, if that doesn't work, revolt and the end of this Confederation.
For all Alberta grumbles about western separatism, British Columbians aren't necessarily adverse to the idea only without Alberta in the mix. No one is championing the cause now but that could change easily if Ottawa uses force and imprisonment to push this down our throats.
I wholeheartedly believe these pipelines will cause civil disobedience on a scale vastly beyond anything in the Canadian experience. Try to get your mind around hundreds, probably thousands of otherwise law-abiding citizens being jailed again and again and again. That sort of sustained confrontation Ottawa cannot win and Canada might not survive.
How to Fight Climate Change Deniers
Our problem coping with climate change skeptics could be solved, perhaps, by bringing them out in the open - the lot of them, all at once.
Climate change science mainly goes in one direction. Whether the discipline is geology, biology, botany, atmospherics, hydrology, glaciology, epidemiology, oceanography, chemistry, you name it, the research is mostly corroborative of the central theory of anthropogenic global warming.
Climate change denialism, however, is not cohesive, anything but. Instead of coming to a premise based on collective knowledge and facts, denialism begins with a premise - man-made global warming is untrue - and then tries to create facts to support it. And, when it comes to creating those supporting facts, almost anything goes - conspiracy, hoax, sunspots, natural variation, socialist plots, men from Mars - it's all good.
When denialists gather, once or twice a year, you can have all these whacko theories presented and they're all accepted, even though they're widely inconsistent and often contradictory. What emerges are a dozen or more people gathered in the same room each with a different reality. Now in the real world we call that an asylum.
A lot of people don't grasp the importance of the multi-disciplinary corroborative element to climate science. That needs to change. Somehow the message must get out that the theory of global warming is being put to the test within all of these scientific fields and the resulting research is confirming the basic theory of global warming. These scientists are seeing what should exist based on the theory of global warming. Hydrologists are finding it. Geologists are finding it. Biologists, botanists and zoologists are finding it. So too are chemists, oceanographers, glaciologists, even epidemiologists. And all their independent research and knowledge is confirming the central theory.
Denialists don't confirm anything. They conjure up theories, dozens of them, to refute the one theory they can neither contradict nor disprove. So let's get them out in the open, collectively, and let's show them for the scoundrels and lunatics they are, and let the public truly see them for what they are.
Climate change science mainly goes in one direction. Whether the discipline is geology, biology, botany, atmospherics, hydrology, glaciology, epidemiology, oceanography, chemistry, you name it, the research is mostly corroborative of the central theory of anthropogenic global warming.
Climate change denialism, however, is not cohesive, anything but. Instead of coming to a premise based on collective knowledge and facts, denialism begins with a premise - man-made global warming is untrue - and then tries to create facts to support it. And, when it comes to creating those supporting facts, almost anything goes - conspiracy, hoax, sunspots, natural variation, socialist plots, men from Mars - it's all good.
When denialists gather, once or twice a year, you can have all these whacko theories presented and they're all accepted, even though they're widely inconsistent and often contradictory. What emerges are a dozen or more people gathered in the same room each with a different reality. Now in the real world we call that an asylum.
A lot of people don't grasp the importance of the multi-disciplinary corroborative element to climate science. That needs to change. Somehow the message must get out that the theory of global warming is being put to the test within all of these scientific fields and the resulting research is confirming the basic theory of global warming. These scientists are seeing what should exist based on the theory of global warming. Hydrologists are finding it. Geologists are finding it. Biologists, botanists and zoologists are finding it. So too are chemists, oceanographers, glaciologists, even epidemiologists. And all their independent research and knowledge is confirming the central theory.
Denialists don't confirm anything. They conjure up theories, dozens of them, to refute the one theory they can neither contradict nor disprove. So let's get them out in the open, collectively, and let's show them for the scoundrels and lunatics they are, and let the public truly see them for what they are.
Every Man for Himself - Canadians Losing Faith in Government
We have lost confidence in government, provincial and federal, to tackle pressing issues. It seems we have finally realized the people who are at the driver's seat are asleep at the wheel and content to remain that way.
"... a new Institute for Research on Public Policy-Nanos Research survey suggests a lack of confidence in the ability of provincial and federal governments to solve some pressing issues.
The findings, to be published next week in Policy Options magazine, attempt to connect issues Canadians identified as their top priorities with the confidence they felt in federal and provincial governments' ability to find solutions.
"When Canadians see their elected officials gathering, they expect them to do something. They expect them to accomplish something," he says.
"Canadians are more likely not to have confidence, and the sad thing is that confidence relates to many issues that are very very important to them. I think it’s almost a public policy despair," Nanos adds.
Not surprisingly, Nanos found the Harper Conservatives are "cherry picking" issues that are easy to deliver results on and dodging the tough problems such as climate change, education and improving living standards. Collecting cheques form foreigners extracting and peddling bitumen, however, seems entirely suited to this government's abilities. Just don't ask them to do anything to make Canada a decent place for your grandkids.
"... a new Institute for Research on Public Policy-Nanos Research survey suggests a lack of confidence in the ability of provincial and federal governments to solve some pressing issues.
The findings, to be published next week in Policy Options magazine, attempt to connect issues Canadians identified as their top priorities with the confidence they felt in federal and provincial governments' ability to find solutions.
"When Canadians see their elected officials gathering, they expect them to do something. They expect them to accomplish something," he says.
"Canadians are more likely not to have confidence, and the sad thing is that confidence relates to many issues that are very very important to them. I think it’s almost a public policy despair," Nanos adds.
Not surprisingly, Nanos found the Harper Conservatives are "cherry picking" issues that are easy to deliver results on and dodging the tough problems such as climate change, education and improving living standards. Collecting cheques form foreigners extracting and peddling bitumen, however, seems entirely suited to this government's abilities. Just don't ask them to do anything to make Canada a decent place for your grandkids.
Tuesday, July 24, 2012
Is Vic Toews Responsible for Hikes in Canada's Homicide and Child Abuse Crimes?
To hear the Minister of Family Values and Random Diddling, Vic Toews tell it, he's responsible for the overall drop in Canada's crime rate even though it has been declining steadily since 1992. Well, if Toews is to claim credit for the by now predictable drop in overall crime, surely that means he should be held responsible for the spike in homicides and sex crimes against children on his watch.
As the graph reveals, Canadian crime rates have been dropping pretty steadily for the past 20-years.
Toews may want to credit the Conservatives' omnibus crime bill for the decrease but, then again, that's what they would do even though the bill was only passed in December and therefore had no impact whatsoever on these statistics.
As the graph reveals, Canadian crime rates have been dropping pretty steadily for the past 20-years.
Toews may want to credit the Conservatives' omnibus crime bill for the decrease but, then again, that's what they would do even though the bill was only passed in December and therefore had no impact whatsoever on these statistics.
Will Israel Take Out Assad?
It sounds like a bad dream until you factor in two things. One, Assad has announced he has WMDs, chemical and biological, at his disposal and he's prepared to use them to thwart potential foreign intervenion. Two, Assad's days are probably numbered and it's possible those WMDs could fall right into the hands of Islamist radicals who might be all too willing to use them against Israel.
I don't ordinarily have much sympathy for Israel but this situation is one in which that state faces a plausible existential threat.
Perhaps the most ominous words uttered in recent months by Ehud Barak, the influential Israeli defense minister, came in the form of a paradoxical reassurance. "I believe and hope that there will be no war this summer, but that is all that can be said at this time," he said in a televised interview on Friday.
Conventional wisdom has it that the louder the Israeli threats of war, the less likely that a war is imminent - and, in certain situations such as the present one, vice versa. Earlier this year, threats were flying - Barak was talking about the Iranian nuclear program entering an "immunity zone" by the end of the summer - but more recently this has changed dramatically. As Reuters observed two months ago, Israeli officials have gone into anominous "lock down." Now comes Barak's statement.
The million-dollar question is, which war. From a narrow Israeli perspective, war may in fact be avoidable and all the threats - Barak is certainly aware of the ripple effect of his words - could be primarily defensive in nature. With the entire region in flux and its home front underprepared (only 53% of Israelis, for example, are equipped with gas masks), Israel might ideally prefer to save its shots.
From a broader regional perspective, the civil war in Syria is already a fact, and it looks as if the violence, both there and elsewhere, can only explode further. At some point in the near future, somebody will likely feel compelled to intervene, if not against the Iranian nuclear program, then against the Syrian chemical and biological weapons, if not through a full-scale attack then by a "surgical strike". If not Israel, this would most likely be the United States, though other regional players also stand ready to weigh in. In many ways, it's a war of nerves as much as it is a diplomatic bazaar, and it is hard to tell who will blink first and what deals will be struck.
...any Israeli intervention, save perhaps for a very brief and pointed strike, could rally popular support behind Syrian president Bashar al-Assad and thus backfire spectacularly. Other Arab states might face public pressure to shift their stance as well, and the coalition against Assad may come under strain. (During the First Persian Gulf War, former Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein sought to exploit this dynamic by firing Scud missiles at Israel.)
Also, Syria's response to an Israeli incursion could escalate much more quickly and to much more gruesome levels than that against other aggressors. As the Syrian foreign ministry spokesman put it on Monday, "These [chemical and biological] weapons are stored and secured by Syrian military forces and under its direct supervision and will never be used unless Syria faces external aggression." It should be noted that the Syrian regime is almost as unlikely to use weapons of mass destruction against another Muslim country as it is against its own population, which leaves Israel the main target of its current threats.
There seems to be no way to predict what could happen but this is definitely a high stakes game, the biggest in the M.E. in a long, long time.
I don't ordinarily have much sympathy for Israel but this situation is one in which that state faces a plausible existential threat.
Perhaps the most ominous words uttered in recent months by Ehud Barak, the influential Israeli defense minister, came in the form of a paradoxical reassurance. "I believe and hope that there will be no war this summer, but that is all that can be said at this time," he said in a televised interview on Friday.
Conventional wisdom has it that the louder the Israeli threats of war, the less likely that a war is imminent - and, in certain situations such as the present one, vice versa. Earlier this year, threats were flying - Barak was talking about the Iranian nuclear program entering an "immunity zone" by the end of the summer - but more recently this has changed dramatically. As Reuters observed two months ago, Israeli officials have gone into anominous "lock down." Now comes Barak's statement.
The million-dollar question is, which war. From a narrow Israeli perspective, war may in fact be avoidable and all the threats - Barak is certainly aware of the ripple effect of his words - could be primarily defensive in nature. With the entire region in flux and its home front underprepared (only 53% of Israelis, for example, are equipped with gas masks), Israel might ideally prefer to save its shots.
From a broader regional perspective, the civil war in Syria is already a fact, and it looks as if the violence, both there and elsewhere, can only explode further. At some point in the near future, somebody will likely feel compelled to intervene, if not against the Iranian nuclear program, then against the Syrian chemical and biological weapons, if not through a full-scale attack then by a "surgical strike". If not Israel, this would most likely be the United States, though other regional players also stand ready to weigh in. In many ways, it's a war of nerves as much as it is a diplomatic bazaar, and it is hard to tell who will blink first and what deals will be struck.
...any Israeli intervention, save perhaps for a very brief and pointed strike, could rally popular support behind Syrian president Bashar al-Assad and thus backfire spectacularly. Other Arab states might face public pressure to shift their stance as well, and the coalition against Assad may come under strain. (During the First Persian Gulf War, former Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein sought to exploit this dynamic by firing Scud missiles at Israel.)
Also, Syria's response to an Israeli incursion could escalate much more quickly and to much more gruesome levels than that against other aggressors. As the Syrian foreign ministry spokesman put it on Monday, "These [chemical and biological] weapons are stored and secured by Syrian military forces and under its direct supervision and will never be used unless Syria faces external aggression." It should be noted that the Syrian regime is almost as unlikely to use weapons of mass destruction against another Muslim country as it is against its own population, which leaves Israel the main target of its current threats.
There seems to be no way to predict what could happen but this is definitely a high stakes game, the biggest in the M.E. in a long, long time.
Afghan Cop Squad Defects to the Taliban
An Afhgan police commander and 13 of his officers have joined the Taliban. The commander apparently poisoned 7-officers who refused to defect. The party fled taking heavy weapons, radios and vehicles including several Hummers. The defection occured in Farah province, a territory that adjoins Iran.
British Columbia's Sordid Premier
There's something really sleazy about BC premier Christie Clark. Faced with growing public opposition to the Northern Gateway and Kinder-Morgan bitumen pipeline trafficking, she sat mute for months as her own and her party's fortunes tanked.
Finally she stood up on her hind legs and announced the pipeline/supertanker business was just too environmentally risky for British Columbia. Then the other shoe dropped when Crispy said she might look the other way if Alberta and Ottawa cut Victoria in on the action and, of course, pretended to make the whole thing environmentally safe (har, har).
Our unelected, unelectable, outgoing premier gave Alberta premier Alison Redford a perfect opportunity to scream "shakedown." Redford said there'll be no backdoor profit sharing with B.C.
Opposition Wildrose leader Danielle Smith made it sound like a hostage taking.
Wildrose Leader Danielle Smith said sharing energy revenue with B.C. would be “problematic for Alberta because we don’t do that.”
“Alberta can’t allow any of its resource revenue to be shared with other jurisdictions because that’s not how it works,” she said. “If B.C. wants to have that discussion, they need to have it with Ottawa.”
And, to keep the fires stoked in British Columbia, Alberta Intergovernmental Relations Minister Cal Dallas compared leaky bitumen pipelines crossing British Columbia and supertankers threatening our coast to Alberta allowing British Columbia forest products to be shipped across the Wild Rose province. Nice one, you sphincter.
Finally she stood up on her hind legs and announced the pipeline/supertanker business was just too environmentally risky for British Columbia. Then the other shoe dropped when Crispy said she might look the other way if Alberta and Ottawa cut Victoria in on the action and, of course, pretended to make the whole thing environmentally safe (har, har).
Our unelected, unelectable, outgoing premier gave Alberta premier Alison Redford a perfect opportunity to scream "shakedown." Redford said there'll be no backdoor profit sharing with B.C.
Opposition Wildrose leader Danielle Smith made it sound like a hostage taking.
Wildrose Leader Danielle Smith said sharing energy revenue with B.C. would be “problematic for Alberta because we don’t do that.”
“Alberta can’t allow any of its resource revenue to be shared with other jurisdictions because that’s not how it works,” she said. “If B.C. wants to have that discussion, they need to have it with Ottawa.”
And, to keep the fires stoked in British Columbia, Alberta Intergovernmental Relations Minister Cal Dallas compared leaky bitumen pipelines crossing British Columbia and supertankers threatening our coast to Alberta allowing British Columbia forest products to be shipped across the Wild Rose province. Nice one, you sphincter.
Now it's Harper who has his nuts in a vise. He's got to cut some deal with B.C. very soon because Crispy and her pack of used car salesmen will be out of work next year and the incoming NDP government has promised to kill the pipelines. So now you've got cheesy meeting greasy. Hey, isn't that the recipe for political poutine?
The State of the Plate Report - Slim Pickins
When everything works as we want it to, year in and year out, we can realistically feed 7, perhaps even 9-billion people. But everything isn't working quite right these days.
The hydrological cycle is broken. The evidence of that is in the floods and droughts that are hammering just about every corner of the world. Some places get whipsawed between the two. Britain, for example, went through a year of severe drought only to transition into severe floods that have swept the country from Scotland to Wales. Australia has had a similar experience.
Sometimes it doesn't matter. To a pastoral herder in Africa, it doesn't matter whether his cattle succumb to drought or deluge.
The hydrological cycle is vital to agriculture. You can't grow food in fields that are flooded or in fields that are baked and parched. You need rain - not too much, not too little - at every stage of the growing cycle between planting and harvest. If you don't get it when you need it or get too much of it, you don't get a good crop and perhaps none.
Food insecurity may turn out to be the sharp edge of the climate change wedge. World leaders, especially those in the pocket of the fossil fuelers, can shuck and jive over CO2 emissions but the destabilizing effects of food insecurity can't be swept under a fossil fuel carpet.
The Arab Spring was the result of a culmination of influences of which food insecurity was a key factor. Food insecurity throws a glaring floodlight on inequality and despotism and can spark popular uprisings.
With the severe drought sweeping the U.S. this summer and devastating what was to have been a bumper corn crop, that leaves China, Russia and America - three of the four top grain producers - in a bad way. Only India has fared better but this year's Monsoon has been disappointing. Indian authorities warn that unless rainfall improves India faces a drinking water and crop planting crisis.
The elusive monsoon in 2012 has caused a water shortage of 61% from a year ago and threatens to cause a drinking water and crop sowing crisis.
The total deficit so far this season is 22%, but rainfall has been 40% below average in key crop-growing areas in the north and northwest.
India's 84 important reservoirs are filled only to 19% capacity, which is 41% lower than last year.
American authorities have already warned that this year's crop failures will result in a sharp drop in corn exports.
America is the world's largest producer of corn, dominating the market. Corn is also connected to many food items – as feed for dairy cows or for hogs and beef cattle, as a component in processed food – expanding the impact of those price rises.
That means the effects of the drought will travel far beyond the mid-western states baking under triple-digit temperatures, said Robert Thompson, a food security expert at the Chicago Council of Global Affairs.
"What happens to the US supply has an immense impact around the world. If the price of corn rises high enough, it also pulls up the price of wheat," he said.
He went on: "I think we are in for a very serious situation worldwide."
Some analysts are predicting a repetition of the 2008 protests that swept across Africa and the Middle East, including countries like Egypt, because of food prices.
Maybe, just maybe, it will be a collapse of global grain reserves that finally pressures world leaders into meaningful action on climate change.
Shhh, Keep This to Yourself. Crime is Down - Again!
Despite Stevie Boy's prison fetish, crime in Canada has fallen to the lowest level since 1972.
Homicides, crimes against children and marijuana offences were up. Imagine what the numbers might look like if Canada decriminalized marijuana possession? All you would be left with are peds, gangstas and gun nuts.
Homicides, crimes against children and marijuana offences were up. Imagine what the numbers might look like if Canada decriminalized marijuana possession? All you would be left with are peds, gangstas and gun nuts.
A Click Away From 41,000 Rounds of Assault Rifle Ammo
The Guardian took a stroll down Ammunition Lane, the online world of American ammo sales. If you're fixing to start a war, all it takes is a credit card and a click of your mouse.
Spend just a few minutes browsing the internet and it becomes clear how James Holmes was able to stockpile 6,000 rounds of ammunition without any alarms sounding. Huge amounts of ammunition can be purchased online in a matter of minutes and can be shipped straight to customers' doors, no questions asked.
Yet those familiar with gun ownership in the US are unlikely to have been surprised.
BulkAmmo.com is one of many websites which allow for the purchase of lots of rounds at knockdown prices. On the website one can buy 1,000 .223, 62grain TulAmmo rounds, which can be fired by an AR15 assault rifle, for just $250, or 25 cents a round.
Customers can essentially buy as much ammunition as they like. BulkAmmo.com had 18 cases of 1,000 .223 TulAmmo rounds "ready to ship". The Guardian selected all 18 – 18,000 rounds – and was just a healthy credit card away from completing the transaction. It is illegal to ship ammunition to New York City, where our office is based, so we entered the address of a hotel in Aurora and were promptly told that in return for $4,737.30 (including a $327.30 shipping and handling fee) the 18,000 rounds could be delivered within days.
Luckgunner.com stocks Fiocchi .223 remington rounds in boxes of 1,000, described as "perfect for your AR-15!". When the Guardian perused the website on Monday there were 41 boxes in stock. Again, we were able to follow the purchasing procedure through – potentially getting 41,000 rounds delivered within three days, for $17,428.39.
So, all you need is a credit card and a buddy to loan you his automatic assault rifle (better yet, buy one out the back door at the next gun show in your neighbourhood), a bucket of popcorn and a can of pop and you're ready for the movies!
Monday, July 23, 2012
The Conservative Armed Forces of Canada
Once again the Canadian Forces have been caught playing partisan politics, shilling for the Conservative government.
A program to educate parliamentarians about the work being done by the Canadian military has been shut down months after it was revealed officers were using such visits to collect information on Defence Minister Peter MacKay's political opponents.
The parliamentary outreach program allowed MPs and senators to visit military units and bases to improve their knowledge of the Canadian Forces.
But the visits became controversial earlier this year when it was revealed officers gathered information on MacKay's political opponents in an effort to help out the beleaguered defence minister.
Caught out, the military actually sought to defend its perfidy.
The Canadian Forces later defended its decision to collect such information and turn it over to MacKay's office, saying the process was no different than its efforts to gather facts for the public and news media.
But some MPs said the military's practice jeopardized the parliamentary outreach program. Former military officers also warned such activities, which prompted allegations about Canadian Forces personnel digging up dirt on the minister's political enemies, crossed the line and jeopardized the long-standing political neutrality of the military.
This is another sign of a military in decay. They're in lockstep with their Big Brothers from the States in trying to be political players, to influence if not dictate policy. In the United States it is the Pentagon today that often prevails over the State Department in the foreign policy realm, a major contributing factor to that country's post 9/11 hyper-militarism. This is seriously wrong and we need to cull the officer class to rid it of those who presume to act this way.
This is how military professionalism dies. The Canadian Forces exist to serve Canada. They are not a partisan agency for a favoured political party, even if that party is in power. Remember that three out of five Canadians who bothered to vote in the last election did not vote Conservative. The armed forces leadership needs to be ever mindful that they represent the three out of five just as much as the other two out of five. They take the King's shilling but neither Harper nor MacKay wears a crown... not just yet.
A program to educate parliamentarians about the work being done by the Canadian military has been shut down months after it was revealed officers were using such visits to collect information on Defence Minister Peter MacKay's political opponents.
The parliamentary outreach program allowed MPs and senators to visit military units and bases to improve their knowledge of the Canadian Forces.
But the visits became controversial earlier this year when it was revealed officers gathered information on MacKay's political opponents in an effort to help out the beleaguered defence minister.
Caught out, the military actually sought to defend its perfidy.
The Canadian Forces later defended its decision to collect such information and turn it over to MacKay's office, saying the process was no different than its efforts to gather facts for the public and news media.
But some MPs said the military's practice jeopardized the parliamentary outreach program. Former military officers also warned such activities, which prompted allegations about Canadian Forces personnel digging up dirt on the minister's political enemies, crossed the line and jeopardized the long-standing political neutrality of the military.
This is another sign of a military in decay. They're in lockstep with their Big Brothers from the States in trying to be political players, to influence if not dictate policy. In the United States it is the Pentagon today that often prevails over the State Department in the foreign policy realm, a major contributing factor to that country's post 9/11 hyper-militarism. This is seriously wrong and we need to cull the officer class to rid it of those who presume to act this way.
This is how military professionalism dies. The Canadian Forces exist to serve Canada. They are not a partisan agency for a favoured political party, even if that party is in power. Remember that three out of five Canadians who bothered to vote in the last election did not vote Conservative. The armed forces leadership needs to be ever mindful that they represent the three out of five just as much as the other two out of five. They take the King's shilling but neither Harper nor MacKay wears a crown... not just yet.
When We Leave Afghanistan, We Leave It to Monsters
The guys we're leaving in charge in Afghanistan are liberally peppered with butchers and mass-murderers. An 800-page report from the Afghan Independent Human Rights Commission lists some 180-mass graves and the warlords responsible for the thousands of dead they contain.
Among them are First Vice President Fahim, a Tajik from the Jamiat Islami Party, and Second Vice President Karim Khalili, a Hazara leader from the Wahdat Party; Gen. Atta Mohammed Noor, a Tajik from the Jamiat Islami Party and now the governor of the important northern province of Balkh, of which Mazar-i-Sharif is capital; and Gen. Abdul Rashid Dostum, a former Uzbek warlord from the Jumbush Party who holds the honorary title of chief of staff to the supreme commander of the Afghan Armed Forces, among many others.
Among them are First Vice President Fahim, a Tajik from the Jamiat Islami Party, and Second Vice President Karim Khalili, a Hazara leader from the Wahdat Party; Gen. Atta Mohammed Noor, a Tajik from the Jamiat Islami Party and now the governor of the important northern province of Balkh, of which Mazar-i-Sharif is capital; and Gen. Abdul Rashid Dostum, a former Uzbek warlord from the Jumbush Party who holds the honorary title of chief of staff to the supreme commander of the Afghan Armed Forces, among many others.
Those men gave no response to verbal and written requests for comment about their naming in the report.
In all, the researchers said, more than 500 Afghans are named in the report as responsible for mass killings, including the country’s revered national martyr, Ahmed Shah Massoud, one of the last militia leaders to hold out against the Taliban sweep to power and who was assassinated by Al Qaeda just before the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks.
The report also investigates killings of civilians and prisoners said to be carried out by the Taliban and other insurgents, including Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, the leader of the Hezb-i-Islami insurgents.
The report, delivered to Hamid Karzai, has not been released and his office has not even acknowledged it exists. It did, however, cause Karzai's notorious vice-president and seasoned monster Fahim to pressure Karzai into sacking the commission head, Ahmad Nader Nadery.
At a meeting on Dec. 21, including Mr. Karzai and other top officials, Marshal Fahim argued that dismissing Mr. Nadery would actually be too mild a punishment. “We should just shoot 30 holes in his face,” he said, according to one of those present. He later apologized to other officials for the remark, saying it was not meant in earnest.
Some contend the report should be published and the mass-murderers cited made to stand trial for their crimes. Otherwise, civil war is bound to ensue. Yet Afghanistan, the country we are leaving supposedly in good shape, is nothing if not a nest of warlord vipers. It is these brutal sociopaths who hold the reins of power who stand testament to what little we truly achieved in a decade of war against the Taliban.
The 1318 That Control the World Economy
The Occupy Movement always contended it existed but now there's proof. An analysis of 43,000 transnational companies has revealed a core group of 1,318 - mainly banks - that literally controls the world economy.
Feudalism, anyone?
The idea that a few bankers control a large chunk of the global economy might not seem like news to New York's Occupy Wall Street movement and protesters elsewhere (see photo). But the study, by a trio of complex systems theorists at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich, is the first to go beyond ideology to empirically identify such a network of power. It combines the mathematics long used to model natural systems with comprehensive corporate data to map ownership among the world's transnational corporations (TNCs).
"Reality is so complex, we must move away from dogma, whether it's conspiracy theories or free-market," says James Glattfelder. "Our analysis is reality-based."
Previous studies have found that a few TNCs own large chunks of the world's economy, but they included only a limited number of companies and omitted indirect ownerships, so could not say how this affected the global economy - whether it made it more or less stable, for instance.
The Zurich team can. From Orbis 2007, a database listing 37 million companies and investors worldwide, they pulled out all 43,060 TNCs and the share ownerships linking them. Then they constructed a model of which companies controlled others through shareholding networks, coupled with each company's operating revenues, to map the structure of economic power.
The work, to be published in PLoS One, revealed a core of 1318 companies with interlocking ownerships. Each of the 1318 had ties to two or more other companies, and on average they were connected to 20. What's more, although they represented 20 per cent of global operating revenues, the 1318 appeared to collectively own through their shares the majority of the world's large blue chip and manufacturing firms - the "real" economy - representing a further 60 per cent of global revenues.
When the team further untangled the web of ownership, it found much of it tracked back to a "super-entity" of 147 even more tightly knit companies - all of their ownership was held by other members of the super-entity - that controlled 40 per cent of the total wealth in the network. "In effect, less than 1 per cent of the companies were able to control 40 per cent of the entire network," says Glattfelder. Most were financial institutions. The top 20 included Barclays Bank, JPMorgan Chase & Co, and The Goldman Sachs Group.
John Driffill of the University of London, a macroeconomics expert, says the value of the analysis is not just to see if a small number of people controls the global economy, but rather its insights into economic stability.
Concentration of power is not good or bad in itself, says the Zurich team, but the core's tight interconnections could be. As the world learned in 2008, such networks are unstable. "If one [company] suffers distress," says Glattfelder, "this propagates."
How Drought 2012 Swept America
Here's an interesting animated graphic from N.O.A.A. that shows how drought swept through the United States this year.
Talking to Ottawa a Waste of Breath
Canadian environmental leaders are shifting their focus away from Ottawa and the Petro-Parliament and instead toward provincial premiers.
Greenpeace is also placing its hopes in the premiers, saying Ottawa is working hand in hand with oil companies to aggressively expand oilsands activity and build pipelines that would only make sense in a world that takes no action on climate change.
“If the premiers go along with Harper’s plan, then Canada will miss out on the green energy revolution that is our best hope for a prosperous future,” said Keith Stewart, the climate campaign co-ordinator for Greenpeace Canada and the author of the report.
Using documents obtained through access-to-information, Stewart argues that Shell Canada and Prime Minister Stephen Harper have worked together to campaign against rules in California and Europe that could hamper the marketing of the oilsands.
The accusation that Harper's efforts betray an intention to take no action on climate change is borne out by recent studies that find the world can use (burn) only about 20% of known fossil fuel reserves if we are to avoid catastrophic global warming.
In January, a panel of prominent British financiers, scientists and politicians informed the Governor of the Bank of England that fossil fuel reserves carried on the books of Big Oil were effectively sub-prime and creating a potentially disastrous petroleum bubble on the London Stock Exchange.
If existing reserves, most of them of conventional, relatively clean crude oil, are in great surplus that can mean only one thing for the filthiest fossil fuel of them all, Athabasca bitumen. It's unnecessary and economically unjustifiable except in "a world that takes no action on climate change." That's what Steve Harper is counting on. That's the sort of world he wants to craft.
Greenpeace is also placing its hopes in the premiers, saying Ottawa is working hand in hand with oil companies to aggressively expand oilsands activity and build pipelines that would only make sense in a world that takes no action on climate change.
“If the premiers go along with Harper’s plan, then Canada will miss out on the green energy revolution that is our best hope for a prosperous future,” said Keith Stewart, the climate campaign co-ordinator for Greenpeace Canada and the author of the report.
Using documents obtained through access-to-information, Stewart argues that Shell Canada and Prime Minister Stephen Harper have worked together to campaign against rules in California and Europe that could hamper the marketing of the oilsands.
The accusation that Harper's efforts betray an intention to take no action on climate change is borne out by recent studies that find the world can use (burn) only about 20% of known fossil fuel reserves if we are to avoid catastrophic global warming.
In January, a panel of prominent British financiers, scientists and politicians informed the Governor of the Bank of England that fossil fuel reserves carried on the books of Big Oil were effectively sub-prime and creating a potentially disastrous petroleum bubble on the London Stock Exchange.
If existing reserves, most of them of conventional, relatively clean crude oil, are in great surplus that can mean only one thing for the filthiest fossil fuel of them all, Athabasca bitumen. It's unnecessary and economically unjustifiable except in "a world that takes no action on climate change." That's what Steve Harper is counting on. That's the sort of world he wants to craft.
The Impoverished States of America
Poverty in the United States is set to reach levels not seen since the 1960s.
Poverty is spreading at record levels across many groups, from underemployed workers and suburban families to the poorest poor. More discouraged workers are giving up on the job market, leaving them vulnerable as unemployment aid begins to run out. Suburbs are seeing increases in poverty, including in such political battlegrounds as Colorado, Florida and Nevada, where voters are coping with a new norm of living hand to mouth.
Poverty is spreading at record levels across many groups, from underemployed workers and suburban families to the poorest poor. More discouraged workers are giving up on the job market, leaving them vulnerable as unemployment aid begins to run out. Suburbs are seeing increases in poverty, including in such political battlegrounds as Colorado, Florida and Nevada, where voters are coping with a new norm of living hand to mouth.
..."The issues aren't just with public benefits. We have some deep problems in the economy," said Peter Edelman, director of the Georgetown Centre on Poverty, Inequality and Public Policy.
He pointed to the recent recession but also longer-term changes in the economy such as globalisation, automation, outsourcing, immigration, and less unionisation that have pushed median household income lower. Even after strong economic growth in the 1990s, poverty never fell below a 1973 low of 11.1 per cent. That low point came after President Lyndon Johnson's war on poverty, launched in 1964, that created Medicaid, Medicare and other social welfare programs.
"I'm reluctant to say that we've gone back to where we were in the 1960s. The programs we enacted make a big difference. The problem is that the tidal wave of low-wage jobs is dragging us down and the wage problem is not going to go away anytime soon," Edelman said.
Poverty in the U.S. is a watermark of the decline of liberal democracy and the ascendancy of a corporatist oligarchy. The richest of the rich have never been richer and they intend to see continued the predatory policies that enabled their windfall, the same policies that will only undermine their economy and hasten America's decline. This is not going to end well.
He pointed to the recent recession but also longer-term changes in the economy such as globalisation, automation, outsourcing, immigration, and less unionisation that have pushed median household income lower. Even after strong economic growth in the 1990s, poverty never fell below a 1973 low of 11.1 per cent. That low point came after President Lyndon Johnson's war on poverty, launched in 1964, that created Medicaid, Medicare and other social welfare programs.
"I'm reluctant to say that we've gone back to where we were in the 1960s. The programs we enacted make a big difference. The problem is that the tidal wave of low-wage jobs is dragging us down and the wage problem is not going to go away anytime soon," Edelman said.
Poverty in the U.S. is a watermark of the decline of liberal democracy and the ascendancy of a corporatist oligarchy. The richest of the rich have never been richer and they intend to see continued the predatory policies that enabled their windfall, the same policies that will only undermine their economy and hasten America's decline. This is not going to end well.
The Mind of Steve
There was a time when conservatives considered themselves hard-headed realists and mocked liberals as dreamers and philosophers with fancy notions.
Old conservatives wanted facts, they wanted science, they demanded to see the math. But that was then, this is now and today, when the facts and the science and the math are laid out at their feet, conservatives look away. They recoil from facts, they recoil from science just as the mythical vampire recoils from the noonday sun.
Modern conservatives now prefer to find their "truth" in belief. Something is proven true because they believe it to be true. Contradictory facts or science, even logic itself, are rejected out of hand as offending the cardinal belief structure. Nothing can be allowed to offend cardinal belief, not even reality.
Steve Harper believes bitumen barges plying the British Columbia coast are a good thing. That's his cardinal belief around which all else must conform. How do you get a square peg into a round hole? Easy, you just whittle away all the corners. Harper has whittled away fisheries regulations and monitoring. Out of sight, out of mind. He's shutting down most of our Coast Guard stations. He'sgutting "streamlining" the environmental review process. His Environment Minister won't even read the U.S. Transportation Safety Board report condemning Enbridge for the Kalamazoo River bitumen catastrophe.
A good deal of the frustration and anger that Steve Harper evokes in so many Canadians is at least partly explained by our lack of understanding of how his mind works. We expect him to be reasonable, informed and deliberative but, like so many theocrats, Steve's reasoning more closely resembles that of an unruly 8-year old. He is impatient, impulsive and driven by gut instinct; traits that leave him with a narrow perspective that is closed to others' ideas. Steve is the consumate modern conservative, preferring to rule rather than govern, to shove rather than lead, to ignore consensus. Our country is in the hands of an ill-tempered child.
Old conservatives wanted facts, they wanted science, they demanded to see the math. But that was then, this is now and today, when the facts and the science and the math are laid out at their feet, conservatives look away. They recoil from facts, they recoil from science just as the mythical vampire recoils from the noonday sun.
Modern conservatives now prefer to find their "truth" in belief. Something is proven true because they believe it to be true. Contradictory facts or science, even logic itself, are rejected out of hand as offending the cardinal belief structure. Nothing can be allowed to offend cardinal belief, not even reality.
Steve Harper believes bitumen barges plying the British Columbia coast are a good thing. That's his cardinal belief around which all else must conform. How do you get a square peg into a round hole? Easy, you just whittle away all the corners. Harper has whittled away fisheries regulations and monitoring. Out of sight, out of mind. He's shutting down most of our Coast Guard stations. He's
A good deal of the frustration and anger that Steve Harper evokes in so many Canadians is at least partly explained by our lack of understanding of how his mind works. We expect him to be reasonable, informed and deliberative but, like so many theocrats, Steve's reasoning more closely resembles that of an unruly 8-year old. He is impatient, impulsive and driven by gut instinct; traits that leave him with a narrow perspective that is closed to others' ideas. Steve is the consumate modern conservative, preferring to rule rather than govern, to shove rather than lead, to ignore consensus. Our country is in the hands of an ill-tempered child.
Saturday, July 21, 2012
British Columbia's Political Ambiguity
Of late British Columbians have been plagued by the endless bleating of our unelected and unelectable, outgoing premier, Christie Clark, droning on about how hers is the "free enterprise" government. It's an old saw, one based on the idea that the public has to choose between raving socialists on the left and a grandiose version of the Chamber of Commerce on the right. It worked in the past for W.A.C. Bennett and a host of right-wingers who followed but it may have outworn its welcome.
Yet there are a good many of us in this province who spurn both extremes and have come to dread the left-right whipsaw politics. Yes, most of us will probably vote NDP this time around, but it will be negative voting. We'll be voting against the BL Libs, not for the NDP. That said, we'll be pleased enough to wake up the morning after and know that the Libs-in-name-only have been finally swept from power.
What British Columbia needs is a genuinely liberal Liberal Party. That, after all, is how the party was reborn out of the ashes of decades of tug of war between the right and left that ill-served the province and its people. Unfortunately the resurgent BC Liberal Party punched a hole in the bottom of the Social Credit ship causing its members to swim for it until they boarded the Liberal ship and made it their own. Any hope for liberalism was utterly and ruthlessly purged from the BC Libs before it ever could take hold.
Of course to give the Dippers their due, today they seem to have little interest in their old ways. The great causes have been neatly folded up and packed away. They have embraced liberalism and pragmatism instead. Maybe it's their socialism that is actually dead, put down at their own hands.
Perhaps getting wiped out at the polls will be a good thing for the BC Liberal Party. It will certainly be good for the BC Conservative Party if it clears the way for the Tories to reclaim the right. It will obviously be great for the NDP. What remains unclear is whether any of it will actually be much good for the people of British Columbia.
Yet there are a good many of us in this province who spurn both extremes and have come to dread the left-right whipsaw politics. Yes, most of us will probably vote NDP this time around, but it will be negative voting. We'll be voting against the BL Libs, not for the NDP. That said, we'll be pleased enough to wake up the morning after and know that the Libs-in-name-only have been finally swept from power.
What British Columbia needs is a genuinely liberal Liberal Party. That, after all, is how the party was reborn out of the ashes of decades of tug of war between the right and left that ill-served the province and its people. Unfortunately the resurgent BC Liberal Party punched a hole in the bottom of the Social Credit ship causing its members to swim for it until they boarded the Liberal ship and made it their own. Any hope for liberalism was utterly and ruthlessly purged from the BC Libs before it ever could take hold.
Of course to give the Dippers their due, today they seem to have little interest in their old ways. The great causes have been neatly folded up and packed away. They have embraced liberalism and pragmatism instead. Maybe it's their socialism that is actually dead, put down at their own hands.
Perhaps getting wiped out at the polls will be a good thing for the BC Liberal Party. It will certainly be good for the BC Conservative Party if it clears the way for the Tories to reclaim the right. It will obviously be great for the NDP. What remains unclear is whether any of it will actually be much good for the people of British Columbia.
Our Shamelessly Anti-Canadian Government
It's pretty clear whose side the Harper government is on and it's equally clear that's not the side of Canadians.
Senator and featherbedding former media shill, Mike Duffy, dismisses his fellow countrymen who oppose the bitumen pipelines as "all anti-Canadians."
Resource minister Joe Oliver smears pipeline opponents and urges dissent be suppressed at environmental hearings.
Stephen Harper creating a Tar Sands pipeline anti-terrorism agency, bringing Canada's spy agency, CSIS, to bear on ordinary Canadians opposed to bitumen trafficking and, hence, deemed terrorism suspects. This same Harper wantonly exposing British Columbia to environmental devastation, placing the interests of the three CPCs (Conservative Party of Canada, the Communist Party of China and the Calgary Petroleum Club) at every turn ahead of the welfare and future of British Columbians. To grease the bitumen wheels, Harper guts fisheries protection regulations and eliminates entire fisheries departments.
Environment Minister, enviroshill Peter Kent, vouches for the Northern Gateway operator, Enbridge, despite the damning U.S. Transportation Safety Board report over the Enbridge pipeline bitumen spill in the Kalamazoo River, Michigan. Kent dismisses the report, admitting that he didn't even bother to read it.
And now the revelations about Health Minister, Leona Aglukkak, who has been busily subverting her own ministry's efforts to keep Canadians informed about health hazards in their food whether it be sodium levels or trans-fats in processed foods. Aglukkak has repeatedly overridden experts' recommendations that might inconvenience or even draw attention to errant food producers.
These are but a few examples of a government acting squarely against the interests of its people in fulfillment of a blatantly corporatist agenda. It is a government that has made a fetish of information control and secrecy to confuse and manipulate public opinion. Aided by a hapless opposition and a collaborative corporate media, it is, quite probably, the most anti-Canadian government in our nation's history.
Friday, July 20, 2012
Crispy Clark Turns Bitumen Basher - Too Little, Too Late
BC's unelected and unelectable premier, Christie Clark, is throwing "free enterprise" caution to the wind in a desperate bid to reverse her political fortunes.
After dummying-up for months about the provincial government's position on the Northern Gateway pipeline, Clark seems to have figured out that Enbridge is a very real millstone round her and her party's neck with an already tough election just a year away.
But Clark also showed she's not really onside with the majority of BC'ers who want the pipeline initiative scrapped. What she's really after is a better deal from Ottawa and Alberta. She wants them to sweeten the package, "in order for it to work for us."
Clark’s comments came the same day Enbridge promised to add $500 million in safety improvements to its proposal, which the company said is meant to address concerns raised by first nations and the public. First nations in northern B.C. were quick to say the additional safety measures would not alter their opposition to the 1,150-kilometre pipeline between the Alberta oilsands and Kitimat, however.
Clark spoke one day after she held extraordinary face-to-face meetings with the premiers of Alberta and Saskatchewan — as well as a phone call with Prime Minister Stephen Harper — giving all three a warning that her government will next week lay out its demands on the Gateway project.
“I was giving them the heads up on what we’re going to be talking about next week because I don’t want my colleagues, particularly our neighbours in Alberta and Saskatchewan, to be surprised,” Clark told The Vancouver Sun Friday.
Clark said that as early as Monday she will provide “a little bit more detail about what British Columbians need to see out of the proposal in order for it to work for us.”
“British Columbians want to have our environment protected and they want to know that we’re going to be looking out for their best interests when it comes to jobs and economic benefits,” she said.
Clark's weasel words are doublespeak for a political shakedown. The only way to protect the environment is to block the construction of the pipelines and derail the supertanker bitumen traffic. Clark may talk tough but she can be had for the right price.
Enbridge today made a half-trillion dollar gesture promising supposed safety improvements including thicker pipelines and permanent staffing of installations along the pipeline routes. Enbridge, it seems, knows the proposal is in trouble and has become a lightning rod for popular resistance in British Columbia. We don't want the damned thing. Full stop.
After dummying-up for months about the provincial government's position on the Northern Gateway pipeline, Clark seems to have figured out that Enbridge is a very real millstone round her and her party's neck with an already tough election just a year away.
But Clark also showed she's not really onside with the majority of BC'ers who want the pipeline initiative scrapped. What she's really after is a better deal from Ottawa and Alberta. She wants them to sweeten the package, "in order for it to work for us."
Clark’s comments came the same day Enbridge promised to add $500 million in safety improvements to its proposal, which the company said is meant to address concerns raised by first nations and the public. First nations in northern B.C. were quick to say the additional safety measures would not alter their opposition to the 1,150-kilometre pipeline between the Alberta oilsands and Kitimat, however.
Clark spoke one day after she held extraordinary face-to-face meetings with the premiers of Alberta and Saskatchewan — as well as a phone call with Prime Minister Stephen Harper — giving all three a warning that her government will next week lay out its demands on the Gateway project.
“I was giving them the heads up on what we’re going to be talking about next week because I don’t want my colleagues, particularly our neighbours in Alberta and Saskatchewan, to be surprised,” Clark told The Vancouver Sun Friday.
Clark said that as early as Monday she will provide “a little bit more detail about what British Columbians need to see out of the proposal in order for it to work for us.”
“British Columbians want to have our environment protected and they want to know that we’re going to be looking out for their best interests when it comes to jobs and economic benefits,” she said.
Clark's weasel words are doublespeak for a political shakedown. The only way to protect the environment is to block the construction of the pipelines and derail the supertanker bitumen traffic. Clark may talk tough but she can be had for the right price.
Enbridge today made a half-trillion dollar gesture promising supposed safety improvements including thicker pipelines and permanent staffing of installations along the pipeline routes. Enbridge, it seems, knows the proposal is in trouble and has become a lightning rod for popular resistance in British Columbia. We don't want the damned thing. Full stop.
U.S. Drought to Last All Summer
The U.S. National Drought Mitigation Center, in conjunction with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, is predicting that the devastating drought now sweeping most of the American bread basket will persist throughout the remainder of the summer.
The drought is expected to hang on in the Midwest and expand into western Pennsylvania, northwestern West Virginia and northern Michigan, as well as large parts of North Dakota, Minnesota and Wisconsin, according to a forecast Thursday from the U.S. Climate Prediction Center for July 19 to Oct. 31.
There may be improvement in Arizona and the Southwest as rains come in from the Pacific.
At least 72 per cent of the U.S. is abnormally dry or in some stage of drought, according to the Drought Monitor. Abnormally dry means drought may be developing, Smith said.
Hot, dry conditions have been caused in part by the jet stream’s retreat into Canada. Most of the rain the U.S. receives will have to come from brief and sporadic thunderstorms, which won’t be enough to make up deficits, said Michael Brewer, a physical scientist with the National Climatic Data Center.
Fortunately this has nothing to do with anthropogenic global warming which is, after all, a complete hoax perpetrated by a coven of world scientists to reap enormously lucrative research grants.
Because Helping Canadians Stay Healthy is No Business of the Minister of Health
Health Minister Leona Aglukkaq seems strangely disinterested in keeping Canadians healthy. She has rejected the advice of her own advisory panel of food experts to renew monitoring of trans-fat levels in processed food. Food experts informed the minister that monitoring trans-fat levels would even be a net benefit to Canadian society worth about $9-billion.
In the finest Orwellian tradition, Aglukkaq's office justified ditching trans-fat monitoring as "a time-limited initiatve that ran its course." STFU! Say what? That's it? It "ran its course"?
It's actually the HealthMin herself who is simply running true to course. Last fall she withdrew her support for a joint federal-provincial sodium-reduction initiative to track industry progress on salt reduction. Aglukkaq objected to the idea of outing food companies failing to meet salt-reduction targets. Instead she had it kicked over to the Food Expert Advisory Committee, the very same panel she just threw under the bus on trans-fat monitoring.
Rest assured, Canadians. Your health is in the watchful hands of a shamelessly corporatist shill.
In the finest Orwellian tradition, Aglukkaq's office justified ditching trans-fat monitoring as "a time-limited initiatve that ran its course." STFU! Say what? That's it? It "ran its course"?
It's actually the HealthMin herself who is simply running true to course. Last fall she withdrew her support for a joint federal-provincial sodium-reduction initiative to track industry progress on salt reduction. Aglukkaq objected to the idea of outing food companies failing to meet salt-reduction targets. Instead she had it kicked over to the Food Expert Advisory Committee, the very same panel she just threw under the bus on trans-fat monitoring.
Rest assured, Canadians. Your health is in the watchful hands of a shamelessly corporatist shill.
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