Wednesday, November 29, 2017

2025. Think About It. That's Not Far Off For a Thirsty World.


Two big factors in the survival of humans in our overpopulated world are the availability of clean freshwater and basic sanitation, toilets. Right now we're desperately short of both. It's a sad fact that, in the Third World, more people have cell phones than have access to a toilet, even a pit toilet.

When it comes to clean, safe freshwater, the situation is equally dire and it's about to get a lot worse very soon.

About 800 million people world-wide will experience absolute water scarcity while two-third of the world’s population would also face severe water crisis by 2025. Besides, 1.1 billion people would be deprived of clean drinking water.

This is what water scarcity currently looks like:


This is what it's projected to look like in 2025.


It doesn't look good for North Africa, the Middle East, South Asia or a good part of China for that matter.  Some of the hardest hit nations are nuclear powers: Israel, Pakistan, India and China, the latter three of which all have competing demands for the Himalayan headwaters.

What makes the problem more difficult is that these water-stressed regions include the regions that have the greatest need for basic sanitation. Water and sanitation are inextricably linked. When clean water is not to be found, people will drink contaminated filth water. When water is in short supply, what is available is not wasted on sanitation. Perfect conditions for outbreaks of dysentery, cholera, typhoid, polio and a host of other contagions.

It will be a real test of the blue countries, the northern hemisphere nations, whether they will make the sacrifices needed to come to the aid of the populations of the red and yellow countries and, if they do, which ones.

The worst case scenario, it seems, would be for the north to pull up the drawbridges and allow the south to depopulate. Bear in mind that we are in uncharted territory. Many of the impacted countries will be dangerously destabilized. What a mess.


6 comments:

Toby said...

How does the US recover from their physical water scarcity as shown in the maps?

The Mound of Sound said...


There are daily reports about state and municipal authorities along America's coasts now coming to grips with the fairly harsh realities of sea level rise. Some low-lying areas are already so compromised that it's obvious that only the highest price real estate, Manhattan, perhaps Miami, will be defended but much of the rest will be given to the rising sea. That will be part of America's IDP or internally displaced population problem. The southwest that became such a magnet for relocation over the past forty years is running out of water. Couple a lack of freshwater with worsening heat waves and parts of that region could become uninhabitable. Just like all other life forms, plant and animal, people will migrate northward out of sheer necessity. I think lake front property near Detroit could become immensely popular once again.

Tal Hartsfeld said...

" ...in the Third World more people have cell phones than have access to a toilet, even a pit toilet."

I can see it now:
(Man talking on cell phone): "Yeah, I'm standing just outside the restaurant taking a crap in the bushes right next to the entrance. Restroom's too crowded. Only one toilet, and the line's about three feet long. Couldn't wait.
Sooo ...How soon can you get here. Should I reserve a table? If there ARE any available within the next three hours, that is ..."

Purple library guy said...

Wait, isn't a big chunk of the "not estimated" part (that therefore doesn't look so bad cause it's white) the Sahara?

The Mound of Sound said...


That reminds me, PLG, of a report a year or so back about a giant aquifer having been discovered beneath the dunes of the Sahara.

Anonymous said...

So, where did CETA end up on water rights? I seem to remember it looking really good if you wanted to sell Canadian water abroad but not so good if you wanted to not sell it.