Tuesday, July 14, 2015

Will BC Be Harper's Oily Watery Grave?

It's been said before.  Might as well say it again.  A lot of British Columbians are deeply opposed to oil tanker traffic endangering our coast.  Harper hasn't got the message yet but he might on election night when British Columbia returns are the last counted.

Results of polling in four key British Columbia ridings suggest support for the governing federal Conservatives may be buckling in the province as widespread unease with oil tankers takes hold, according to an Insights West poll published Friday.

The NDP surge seen in national polls is borne out by significant voter support for Tom Mulcair as prime minister, even in traditionally Conservative ridings where a full-throttle three-way race is complicated by strong support for the Green Party.

According to the poll commissioned by the citizens’ group Dogwood Initiative, Conservative candidates now trail their rivals in all four selected ridings, although the races are tight on the North Shore. Three Conservative incumbents who had garnered over 42 per cent of the vote in 2011 are currently polling below 25%. The Liberals lead the Conservatives in the three urban ridings, while a fourth and newly distributed riding in South Okanagan West Kootenay has the NDP far in the lead. The undecided vote ranges from 21-30 per cent in the four ridings.


Toby said...

Mound, four ridings doesn't add up to " Harper support buckles in B.C." I think it's wishful thinking. I know my riding would elect a dead dog if it ran for the Conservatives.

Toby said...

Just a side note, Mound. "Elizabeth May dumped from two big election debates." http://www.nationalobserver.com/2015/07/13/opinion/elizabeth-may-dumped-two-big-election-debates

You can erase this if you need.

The Mound of Sound said...

I read about May being dropped from the debates. I can't imagine the Angry Beard or Junior being anything but delighted with that.

Anonymous said...

What makes you think we will have an election?
I don't believe Harper has to .

Dana said...

Maybe along the coast it'll cost the shitheel some votes.

Not in the interior though.

The interior tends to despise the coast and it's priorities.

Just look at the results of the last provincial election.

The Mound of Sound said...

Dana, it's the cross we bear.

Purple library guy said...

I think it's more significant than Toby or Dana do. Two of those ridings are North Van and West Van. These are not exactly hotbeds of radical activism, we're talking the bloody British Properties and Ambleside here. And Okanagan is in the interior, although on the other hand to be fair it's full of wineries which I have this instinctive feeling aren't staffed by the type of people who vote Conservative. Still, combine this with results of broader polls which seem to indicate a general BC swerve towards the NDP and away from the Cons, and it's looking good.

Well, as long as not too many people vote Green! :p

Gyor said...

I suspect Junior will be devestated, given the backroom alliance between the Liberals and the Greens.

Dana said...

I live in the riding PLG referred to as North Van.

That's a bit of a misnomer now. The riding is now known as Burnaby North-Seymour. See here http://elections.ca/res/cir/maps2/mapprov.asp?map=59002&lang=e

Given the histories of the two disparate areas no one has any idea how this might turn out but it definitely doesn't look good for our Harperian dwarf Andrew Saxton.