Exit polls seem a lot more important when you're looking at some other country's elections.
The Washington-based International Republican Institute conducted exit polls that are said to show that Kenyan President Mwai Kibaki suffered a resounding defeat in last month's disputed election. From McClatchey Newspapers:
"Opposition leader Raila Odinga led Kibaki by roughly 8 percentage points in the poll, which surveyed voters as they left polling places during the election Dec. 27, according to one senior Western official who's seen the data, who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the issue. That's a sharp departure from the results that Kenyan election officials certified, which gave Kibaki a winning margin of 231,728 votes over Odinga, about 3 percentage points.
U.S. and European observers have criticized the official results, which came after long, unexplained delays in counting the votes, primarily from Kibaki strongholds. Jendayi Frazer, the assistant secretary of state for African affairs, said over the weekend that there were "serious irregularities in the vote tallying, which made it impossible to determine with certainty the final result."
It wasn't clear why the International Republican Institute — which has conducted opinion polls and observed elections in Kenya since 1992 — isn't releasing its data. A spokesman for the U.S. Embassy in Kenya confirmed that a poll was conducted but referred questions to the institute, where officials couldn't be reached for comment."
It isn't clear why the International Republican Institute isn't releasing its data? Maybe if they did, John Kerry would have to finish out the remaining 11-months of the term of office that he won, according to exit polls, in 2004.