Two prominent Democrats have decided to dig into the rotting corpse of the Republican movement to get a look at what lurks inside.
Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg and political strategist James
Carville have announced what they plan to do about that pressing
problem: namely, “The Republican Party Project,” which will provide
extensive survey research devoted to “exposing, monitoring, and
confronting” the Republicans while helping Democrats and progressives to
regain the political offensive.
To begin advancing these ambitious goals, Carville and Greenberg
released the first in a series of polls on Wednesday that showcased
several of their target’s most divisive and dysfunctional features—and
revealed some surprising weaknesses that could eventually prove
disabling, if not fatal.
...the methodology used by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner oversampled Republicans
in order to allow detailed analysis of two subgroups: Republicans
themselves and independents who lean toward the GOP.
...as significant as party identification is how voters see the Republican
“brand.” Although Democrats as a party and in Congress are not exactly
beloved, their net negatives are around 10 points below those of the
Republicans, who are regarded with absolute disdain by most of those
polled. Only 13 percent believe that the GOP “shares their values” and
only 9 percent believe that the GOP has “realistic solutions to the
nation’s problems.”
...the gap between the parties among upcoming Millennials is nearly 20
points, with only 21 percent identifying as Republican—a data point that
Republican leaders may well find terrifying. Moreover, the Republican
base is holed up in rapidly depopulating rural areas, while cities and
suburbs strongly favor Democrats.
It is also worth noting how alienated moderate Republicans are from
their own party, with nearly half regarding it as “too extreme.” Up to
40 percent of moderate Republicans regard their party as “out of touch,”
a statement that resonates with 46 percent of Republican-leaning
independent voters.
Canadian Liberals know what it means when a party alienates a big chunk of its base by heeling hard to the right. They know because that's what took them from Sussex Drive to Stornoway and straight on to Motel 6 out on the Gloucester highway.
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