Wednesday, November 27, 2013
Who Will Lead the Tories into the 2015 Election?
Stephen Harper has said he intends to lead the Conservatives into the 2015 election but that decision might not be his to take any longer.
The party establishment isn't going to want a wounded leader going up against a popular, energized Liberal contender. There are rumours of two, possibly three, latter day Dalton Camps already operating in the wings.
At this stage it's hard to imagine too many Tories willing to risk all by rallying to the side of Stephen Harper. He's just not the sort of guy who makes a lot of friends. He doesn't earn loyalty. If anything he's a nasty little shit.
What happens next depends on whether Harper has not only taken himself down but has taken down the Reform wing with him. The conditions might be ripe for a PC reformation.
There's not a lot of depth from the Tory front bench to answer the call for a new leader. MacKay might have aspirations but he's something of a spent force and then there's the little matter of how he sold out the PCs. Jason Kenney? Possibly, but I think he has a "no wife, no babies" problem with the social conservative base. He's also a westerner. And, besides, Kenney- MacKay et al have all logged years of loyal service to the Grand Corrupter, the Prince of Darkness, Beelzebub himself. With an election less than two years away and a party in need of rehab, Tories might well be looking for a new, fresh face.
Did I mention Jim Prentice? No? Well he's said to be weighing his options. Although he's a Calgarian, he has lengthy Progressive Conservative credentials. He was generally seen as moderate (at least compared to some of his colleagues), sophisticated (not a faith-based mouth breather) and he's been out of Harper's cabal long enough for the taint to wash off.
Who knows, maybe Harper will find some way to hang on. Maybe the Tories will answer the Liberals' prayers and go into the 2015 election behind this prime minister.