Sunday, September 07, 2014
Let's Ditch NATO While We Still Can. Seriously, It's Turning Ugly.
New Rule: Don't get into mutual defence treaties with countries you're not prepared to die to defend.
How many NATO member nations can you name? This isn't a game. It's important, deadly serious, because Canada is obliged to go to war to defend them if and when they're eventually attacked.
Who wouldn't be proud to see Canadian soldiers lay down their lives in the defence of Slovenia? In fact there are 27-countries we're obliged to go to war to defend. On the outside, for now, but looking to get in are Cyprus, Macedonia, Georgia and, naturally, the Ukraine. Under debate are Finland, Kosovo, Serbia, Moldava (yeah, Go Moldava, Go!) and maybe the Swedes.
There's talk of expanding the franchise to even more places that have bugger all to do with the "North Atlantic" or even the northern hemisphere for that matter including Mexico, Australia, Japan, New Zealand, South Korea, Brazil and maybe even South Africa.
Here's the thing. The more countries you add from ever more distant corners of the world, the greater your chance of being dragged into a war to defend one or more of them. Cover enough territory and, before long, you'll be in a permanent state of war.
Here's another thing. These newcomers have a nasty habit of taking your treaty obligations to them far more seriously than their own treaty obligations to the Alliance. They want under NATO's umbrella, they just don't want to hold it.
Here's one more thing. Some of these countries just happen to be in places where they wind up getting attacked - a lot - often by armies that just need to get through to fight another country. Now we may like to tell ourselves that sort of thing is long gone. Really?
Just one more thing. NATO is no longer just about "state versus state" warfare. No. Today's NATO is willing to go after non-state actors - terrorists, insurgents, crime cartels, the lot.
And maybe, if we can squeeze it in, one more thing to ponder. NATO was supposed to be a defensive alliance. Mutual defence. I defend you, you defend me. Neo-NATO has morphed into a war waging alliance. We do floors and windows now. We don't have to be attacked to go into action. We see something we don't like, we go for our guns. Think Kosovo, think Libya, think of the Alliance's response to the Ukraine fiasco.
When you transition from being a defensive alliance into a constantly expanding, war waging alliance you become an offensive military alliance. We used to see the Soviet dominated, Warsaw Pact as an offensive military alliance - the very threat for which we needed NATO. Now we're becoming the Warsaw Pact of the 21st century. Which means we're going to be perceived as a dangerous and hostile threat by countries not in the club. Wait till they see us flying those F-35 nuclear strike bombers.
So, you see, Neo-NATO has become a monster that we no longer control. It now controls us. We are now part of an offensive military alliance that threatens some very powerful nations. We may be on the verge of becoming a permanent warfare state just like our cousins to the south. The F-35, a purely offensive weapon with no viable defensive capability, should cinch the deal.