Yesterday's resignation of US Admiral William Fallon has set Washington pundits scurrying to cast bones and read the entrails.
Fallon had most recently served as the top US commander in the Middle East. The Admiral defied Bush/Cheney by publicly opposing any US attack on Iran. From the Washington Post:
"And so Fallon, the good cop, may soon be unemployed because he's doing what a generation of young officers in the U. S. military are now openly complaining that their leaders didn't do on their behalf in the run-up to the war in Iraq: He's standing up to the commander in chief, whom he thinks is contemplating a strategically unsound war."
NBC News reported that Defense Secretary Robert Gates, under pressure from the White House, had lately been refusing to take Fallon's calls.
Fallon's resignation/firing comes at an interesting time. Just a week from now General David Petraeus who Fallon has branded as an ass-kisser, will appear before Congress to testify about the wonderful progress he's achieved in Iraq. And this Sunday, the Prince of Darkness himself, Dickster Cheney, is off to the Middle East for "talks."
Will the US attack Iran? Cheney and Bush want to, that much is obvious. Their military leaders don't want to but they've just been given a message by the impaling of Fallon what lies in store for the career of anyone who dares oppose the Evil Twins. Israel wants to go, badly. More US Navy warships are headed to take up station within striking range of Iran. Who knows what predeployments are being made for the US Air Force's strategic bomber force? Bush/Cheney are running out of time to do this - getting awfully close to a "now or never" moment. One thing is plain - there's nothing in these developments that suggests the US wants to focus on dialogue with Tehran.
And what if they go ahead? Well, hang onto your hats. There'll be no conquest of Iran to rival what happened in Iraq. The US Army is simply tapped out. They'll have to be content with airpower - bombing and cruise missile attacks. They'll have to show a degree of competence beyond anything seen so far if the bombing campaign is to work and, by "work," that means total reduction of Iran's anti-shipping weaponry, submarine and land-based.
If Iran survives with a fraction of its anti-ship weaponry intact, the Persian Gulf is closed for business. Nobody will be able to ship oil out of the Gulf and, sorry to say this kiddies, but that means a meltdown in the world economy. The US economy collapses into a depression and every other developed nation gets shoved into that same hole.
But surely Bush/Cheney wouldn't do anything that stupid, would they? How do you think they got their nation stuck in Iraq? They ignored reality, all the warnings, and went in believing they would be out within six weeks to six months. These are profoundly stupid people. Then again, that adds a certain spice to this looming peril, doesn't it?